Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
2/11/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Monday Night Throwdown: $15 entry, $500k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Box Out: $88 entry, $100k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $20K to 1st!
Magic Shot: $9.99 entry, $300k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $50K to 1st!
Mon. Slam: $55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for February 11, 2019
Best DFS Guards for February 11, 2019
Russell Westbrook vs. POR ($11.4k DraftKings, $12.1k FanDuel)
Westbrook checks in $600 and $1,200 cheaper than James Harden on DK and FD, respectively. Yet he offers just as much upside. The perennial All-Star is working on a streak of nine straight triple-doubles. That’s a stretch during which he’s essentially made 60 FPs his norm on both sites. Westbrook also comes in averaging right about that amount in two prior games versus the Blazers this season, and he’s averaging over 58 DK points in his home games. Portland comes in allowing 45.5 DK and 44.8 FD points per game to point guards. They’re also yielding 52.7 points in the paint over their last three games, a spike from their 47.4 seasonal figure. That’s a vulnerability Westbrook is highly capable of exploiting on his signature drives.
Chris Paul vs. DAL ($6.9k DraftKings, $7.8k FanDuel)
There is no shortage of appealing mid-tier guard options on this large slate. However, Paul stands out, particularly for his stagnant DK price since returning from a long injury absence. The veteran point guard has scored over 30 FPs on both sites in six straight. That sample includes a pair of tallies over 40 on DK and one on FD. Paul already amassed 40 DK and 38.4 FD points in his one prior meeting with the Mavericks this season. He’s also averaging just under 40 FPs on both sites at home and shooting an impressive 40.7 percent from three-point range at Toyota Center. In turn, Dallas allows the seventh-most DK (48.1) and FD (47.6) points per game to point guards. They’re also yielding the fourth-most steals (2.1) to PGs. Paul counters with the same amount of thefts per contest.
Cory Joseph vs. CHA ($4.4k DraftKings, $4.9k FanDuel)
Joseph has been shattering his current price projections over the last pair of contests. The versatile veteran has taken advantage of expanded minutes to score at least 34.8 FPs on either site in each game. Joseph came just a rebound shy of a triple-double against the Cavaliers on Saturday draws another solid matchup Monday. The Hornets are allowing the eighth-highest offensive efficiency rating (49.1) to opposing backcourts, and the highest such figure (48.8) to opposing second units. Charlotte is also yielding 46.2 DK/45.4 FD points per game to point guards and 44.1 DK/43.3 FD points per game to two-guards. Those are the two spots where Joseph will potentially fill. Then, it’s worth noting the Hornets’ vulnerability to shooting guards includes allowing the third-most assists (5.2) to the position. In turn, Joseph is averaging a career-high 4.1 dimes this season.
Other guards to consider: D’Angelo Russell, Kyle Lowry, C.J. McCollum, Eric Bledsoe, Zach LaVine, Lou Williams, Andrew Wiggins, Dennis Smith, Jr., Jamal Murray, Darren Collison, Tomas Satoransky, Malcolm Brogdon, Reggie Jackson, Caris LeVert, Jeremy Lamb, Jordan Clarkson, Patrick Beverley, Tim Hardaway, Jr., Collin Sexton
Best DFS Forwards for February 11, 2019
Giannis Antetokounmpo at CHI ($11.3k DraftKings, $12k FanDuel)
Antetokounmpo should play Monday after missing the Bucks’ Saturday contest with knee soreness. The do-it-all big man has already lit up the Bulls for nearly 60 FPs per game over two encounters this season, games in which he shot an impressive 61.1 percent. Prior to Saturday’s absence, “The Greek Freak” had eclipsed 60 FPs in three straight on DK and two out of those three games on FD. Chicago makes for a likely candidate to facilitate more of the same. That’s because the Bulls have allowed 47.8 DK and 46.4 FD points per game to PFs. They’re also surrendering the ninth-highest offensive efficiency rating (25.4) to the position. Then, it’s worth noting that Chicago has seen a drastic spike in points allowed in the paint since Bobby Portis left town via trade. Giannis is logging a career-high 65.2 percent of his scoring in that area.
Blake Griffin vs. WAS ($9k DraftKings, $9k FanDuel)
Griffin already touched up the Wizards for 48 DK points over two previous encounters this season. He shot 54.0 percent in those contests, including 50.0 percent from three. Now, Washington is vulnerable as ever to power forwards. The Wizards come in allowing the highest offensive efficiency rating to the position (28.3), along with the second-most DK (50.9) and fourth-most FD (48.5) points per game to fours. Griffin is also taking a career-high 6.7 three-point attempts per contest and draining them at the second-highest clip (36.1 percent) of his career. That dovetails perfectly with the fact the Wizards allow the highest road three-point success rate (39.9 percent) in the NBA. Overall, those metrics leave Griffin poised for another one of the spectacular returns he’s made his norm this season.
Larry Nance, Jr. vs. NY ($5.9k DraftKings, $7.1k FanDuel)
Nance shapes up as a bargain particularly on DK, but he’s still worth the investment on FD. The young big has exploded for 50.25 and 40.5 DK points in his last two games, along with 49.8 and 40 on FD. And the matchup lines up extremely well for him Monday. The Knicks have been trampled by power forwards all season. New York is allowing the fourth-most DK (50.2) and third-most FD (48.6) points per game to fours. They’re also yielding bottom-10 figures in points (22.9), assists (4.1), made threes (2.3), and blocks (1.6) per game to PFs. They’ve also been vulnerable to centers, the other position Nance will spend time in. New York is allowing the eighth-most DK (57.8) and seventh-most FD (57.4) points per game to fives, along with the fifth-most points (24.9) and fifth-most blocks (2.6) to the position. Then, Nance already touched up New York for 39.3 DK and 43.7 FD points in their one 2018-19 encounter. The fact that he scores 63.1 percent of his points in the paint also dovetails with the 52.6 per road contest (third highest in NBA) that the Knicks allow there.
Other forwards to consider: Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, Lauri Markkanen, Kevin Love, Montrezl Harrell, Andrew Wiggins, Pascal Siakam, Khris Middleton, Bobby Portis, Thaddeus Young, Serge Ibaka, Danilo Gallinari, Bojan Bogdanovic, Domantas Sabonis, Jabari Parker, Will Barton, Al-Farouq Aminu, Jake Layman
Best DFS Centers for February 11, 2019
Karl-Anthony Towns vs. LAC ($10k DraftKings, $11.2k FanDuel)
KAT is a virtual lock for a double-double any time he takes the floor. He’s accomplished the feat in four straight and in eight of the last 10 overall. Towns has already compiled 52.5 DK and 55.4 FD points against the Clippers in their one meeting this season. Moreover, it’s worth noting Towns racked up a 27-point, 12-rebound double-double versus the Lakers on Jan. 24, with some of that production coming against the Clippers’ new starting center Ivica Zubac. Los Angeles already comes in with some of the worst metrics in the NBA versus centers. They’re allowing the second-most DK (62.3) and most FD (62.2) points per game to fives. The versatile Towns is capable of exploiting their many weaknesses against bigs. Overall, he’s one of the very best ways to spend up at a position Monday.
Kenneth Faried vs. DAL ($6.8k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)
Faried has been “found money” for the Rockets in the wake of Clint Capela’s extended absence. The energetic forward has revitalized his moribund career in Houston, rattling off seven double-doubles in his last eight games. That’s consistently locking him into fantasy-point tallies in the low-to-mid-30s on both sites. The Mavericks come in with solid seasonal metrics against centers. However, most of those were accrued with DeAndre Jordan still in town. It’s also worth noting Faried should have no shortage of rebounding opportunities on both ends of the floor Monday: the Mavericks are shooting a pedestrian 44.0 percent on the road while Faried’s own Rockets are draining just 44.8 percent of their home attempts. Finally, the 58.7 points in the paint Dallas is yielding over their last three are good for Faried: 78.9 percent of his scoring originates in that part of the court.
Ivica Zubac at MIN ($4k DraftKings, $3.9k FanDuel)
It appears Doc Rivers will give Zubac a legitimate shot at holding down the starting center role, which keeps Montrezl Harrell in the second-unit role for which he’s suited. Zubac generated 28.25 DK/29.8 FD points over just 23 minutes against the Celtics in his Clippers debut Saturday. The young center has flashed a ceiling north of 40 FPs on both sites this season, and this matchup against the Timberwolves could allow him to provide a handsome return on his very modest prices. Zubac had a solid 10-point, eight-rebound performance against Towns and the T-Wolves on Jan. 24 as a member of the Lakers. Minnesota also comes in allowing 53.8 DK/52.7 FD points per game to fives. Moreover, they’re yielding the fifth-highest shooting percentage (56.1) to the position, and Zubac is shooting a career-high 57.6 percent.
Other centers to consider: Nikola Jokic, Andre Drummond, Jusuf Nurkic, Hassan Whiteside, Steven Adams, Marc Gasol, DeAndre Jordan, Brook Lopez, Thomas Bryant, Jarrett Allen