Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
2/9/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Pullup Jumper: $10 entry, $75k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $15K to 1st!
Fadeaway: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Russell Shot: $9.99 entry, $333k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Sat. Slam: $55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for February 9, 2019
Best DFS Guards for February 9, 2019
James Harden vs. OKC ($12.2k DraftKings, $13.6k FanDuel)
Harden is averaging over 50 FPs on both sites in two prior encounters with the Thunder this season. He also comes in shooting 45.4 percent, including 39.2 percent from three-point range, at Toyota Center. He continues to boast a 50-fantasy-point floor and a mid-80s ceiling, a staggering figure that justifies his lofty prices. OKC comes in allowing the fifth-most DK (43.5) and FD (42.8) points per game to two-guards. They’ve also yielded bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in rebounds (6.6), assists (5.4), made threes (3.1), and steals (1.7) per game to the position. In turn, Harden is averaging career highs in made threes (5.0) and steals (2.2), along with NBA-best figures in usage rate (43.0 percent) and fantasy points per minute (1.69 DK/1.64 FD).
Mike Conley vs. NO ($8.2k DraftKings, $9.1k FanDuel)
Conley saw fellow star Marc Gasol exit Memphis via trade to the Raptors at the deadline. That makes Conley even more appealing. The veteran point guard sports a 29.0 percent usage rate and averages 1.09 DK/1.08 FD points per minute without Gasol on the floor this season. The Pelicans make for an inviting target for multiple reasons. One, Conley is already averaging 40.1 DK points against them over three games this season. Then, New Orleans is also allowing the fourth-most DK (50.1) and FD (49.3) points per game to PGs. Furthermore, they’re yielding bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in points (24.5), assists (8.7), and steals (2.2) per game to ones, along with the most made threes (3.1). Conley is already averaging 6.1 three-point attempts per game and draining them at a 36.3 percent clip. He figures to be even more aggressive moving forward in Gasol’s absence.
Zach LaVine vs. WAS ($6.6k DraftKings, $7.7k FanDuel)
LaVine is modestly priced for a player who’s scored over 40 FPs on both sites in each of the last two games, including one tally over 50. The Wizards have been particularly vulnerable to SGs of late as well. They’ve allowed the seventh-most DK and fourth-most FD points per contest over the last five games to the position. Then, no team has allowed a higher three-point success rate on the road than Washington. The Wizards allow a robust 40.2 three-point percentage on the road. That vulnerability could certainly spell trouble against LaVine’s long-range prowess, which, in turn, could pave the way for him to outpace his salary on either site for the third straight game.
Other guards to consider: Bradley Beal, Jrue Holiday, Kyle Lowry, Lou Williams, Chris Paul, Eric Bledsoe, Trae Young, Kris Dunn, Darren Collison, Tomas Satoransky, Dennis Smith, Jr., Kyle Huerter, Dennis Schroder, Eric Gordon
Best DFS Forwards for February 9, 2019
Paul George at HOU ($10k DraftKings, $11.4k FanDuel)
Russell Westbrook is still putting up eye-popping stats, but George has arguably been nearly as valuable. That notion is partly supported by the fact George has now drawn even with his teammate in usage rate (31.3 percent) and is averaging 1.40 DK/1.39 FD points per minute. The All-Star forward is averaging just over 50 FPs on DK and just under that mark on FD. He just saw a seven-game streak of at least 50 FPs on each site snapped, including four of at least 60. George has made 45 FPs his floor on either site, and he’s averaging over 55 FPs on both sites in two prior games against the Rockets this season. He should be heavily involved in a wire-to-wire battle, and Houston also comes in allowing 40.4 DK and FD points per game to threes.
Montrezl Harrell at BOS ($7k DraftKings, $7.7k FanDuel)
Harrell lost frontcourt mate Tobias Harris just before the trade deadline, which will leave the energetic forward with even more opportunities. Harrell already owns a 25.0 percent usage rate and averages 1.29 DK/1.37 FD points per minute without his teammate on the floor. He’s eclipsed 30 FPs with regularity this season, a range that becomes even more probable now that Harris is in Philadelphia. The fourth-year big will face a Celtics squad that’s become more generous to centers as the season has gone on. Boston allows 53.5 DK and 52.3 FD points per game to fives, along with a 54.1 shooting percentage. Then, the Celts have been atypically vulnerable in the paint recently, allowing 52.7 PPG in that area over the last three games. In turn, Harrell logs 78.6 percent of his points there.
Bobby Portis at CHI ($5.4k DraftKings, $6.5k FanDuel)
Portis’ Wizards debut on Friday night was a rousing success. He racked up 30 points, six rebounds, two assists, and one steal over just 27 minutes. Now, he immediately gets a rematch against his former Bulls teammates in a scenario that couldn’t be better scripted. Chicago makes for an interesting matchup, considering they’re ranked in the bottom half of the league in DK (48.1) and FD (46.7) points allowed to PFs. Of course, Portis was part of the reason for that ranking, but the vulnerability remains even after his departure. The Bulls also allow the sixth-highest offensive efficiency rating (60.5) in the paint, and their shooting struggles at home (44.6 percent, fifth-lowest figure in the NBA) should give Portis a fair share of chances on the defensive glass.
Other forwards to consider: Julius Randle, John Collins, Lauri Markkanen, Montrezl Harrell, Kenneth Faried, Aaron Gordon, Jaren Jackson, Jr., Pascal Siakam, Serge Ibaka, Thaddeus Young, Jayson Tatum, Domantas Sabonis, Danilo Gallinari, Bojan Bogdanovic, Larry Nance, Jr., Marvin Williams, Justin Holiday, Marcus Morris, Gordon Hayward
Best DFS Centers for February 9, 2019
Nikola Vucevic at MIL ($8.8k DraftKings, $9.4k FanDuel)
Vucevic didn’t get moved at the deadline, keeping him as the focal point of the Magic’s attack. The All-Star center is averaging over 35 FPs on both sites in two games versus the Bucks, shooting 52.9 percent in those contests. He’s actually generated slightly more fantasy production on both sites on the road as well and has eclipsed 50 FPs on both sites in five of his last nine contests. Those are excellent returns on his current prices, and the Bucks could help facilitate more of the same. Milwaukee is allowing the fourth-most points (25.1) and the most made threes (1.7) to centers, along with over 50 FPs per game to the position on either site. Vucevic has the talent to exploit those weaknesses. He’s averaging a career-best 20.6 points and shooting a career-high 38.1 percent from three-point range.
Al Horford vs. LAC ($6.6k DraftKings, $7.5k FanDuel)
Horford’s price is especially appealing on DK and remains reasonable on FD as well, especially considering his matchup. The veteran has been markedly better at home, shooting 60.0 percent and averaging well over 30 FPs on both sites at TD Garden. He just saw a seven-game streak of 30-plus fantasy-point tallies on each site snapped, a stretch that included three hauls greater than 40. The Clippers have been victimized by centers all season, yielding the second-most DK (62.3) and most FD (62.2) per game to the position, along with the highest offensive efficiency rating (37.5) to fives. They’re also yielding bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in points (26.02), rebounds (17.0), assists (4.2), and blocks (2.6), giving Horford no shortage of paths to fantasy success.
Cody Zeller at ATL ($4.2k DraftKings, $5.4k FanDuel)
Zeller has been playing well since returning from his hand injury. The veteran big has scored over 25 FPs on both sites in each of his first two games back. In other words, he’s picked up right where he left off, as he’d eclipsed 20 FPs in the four games prior to the injury, including one tally over 40. Zeller has averaged over 20 FPs on both sites in three games against the Hawks this season as well while shooting an impressive 57.9 percent. Moreover, the Hawks are allowing 56.6 DK and 56.9 FD points per game to centers, along with a bottom-10 figure in offensive efficiency rating (33.5) to fives and in the paint (61.3). Both numbers bode well for Zeller, considering he logs just under 75 percent of his points in that area.
Other centers to consider: Myles Turner, Steven Adams, Deandre Jordan, Thomas Bryant, Brook Lopez, Robin Lopez, Mitchell Robinson