2021 NFL Week 15 Survivor Picks | Miami’s Time To Shine

Written By Nate Weitzer on December 17, 2021 - Last Updated on December 18, 2021

While there are always tons of options for bettors to choose from at online sportsbooks, there are other ways to make money while watching football, even if you aren’t looking at NFL odds and placing moneyline or spread bets. One of those ways is a season-long survivor pool and if you’re a part of one and still going now that we’ve reached Week 15, a big congrats to you.

We know your pool must be coming down to the wire, so we’ll get into several games as ones to consider or avoid entirely when making your Week 15 NFL survivor picks.

NFL Week 15 Survivor Pool Picks

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins () – Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

The Dolphins took a 5-game win streak into their bye week with some dominant defensive numbers during that stretch. They allowed just 11 points per game with 11 turnovers and 19 sacks against some quality competition.

Now Miami faces a Jets team that is stubbornly sticking with Zach Wilson at QB despite the fact that they’re averaging 14.2 PPG in his starts compared to 24.5 PPG in games started by Joe Flacco or Mike White. Wilson has thrown 11 picks over his first nine appearances and fumbled three times, but hasn’t lost any of them. The Jets are posting the second-worst turnover margin (-1.2) and averaging the third-fewest rushing YPG (84.2), so there isn’t much to threaten Miami’s defense.

The Dolphins’ offense has been steady during their win streak with Tua Tagovailoa completing 72% of his passes at a rate of 7.1 yards per completion. Miami has also struggled to find success on the ground, but the Jets rank dead last in DVOA pass defense and they’re playing with a rest disadvantage here. They’re also 0-4 and giving up 37.3 PPG this season against AFC East competition.

Week 15 Survivor Lock: Miami Dolphins

Full Jets vs. Dolphins Betting Preview

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers () – Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET

The Niners got their two most important players on offense and defense back last week with Deebo Samuel (groin) and Fred Warner (hamstring) making an immediate impact in a hard-fought win at Cincy.

San Francisco’s workhorse RB Elijah Mitchell should return from concussion protocol this week to face a Falcons team that is yielding 117.1 rushing YPG and the fifth-most PPG (28.2) this season. George Kittle is on fire and the Falcons are one of the worst teams in terms of guarding TEs, as they allow the fifth-highest completion rate (68.6%) this season.

On one side of the ball, Atlanta is posting the lowest sack rate (3.31%) in football, and on the other side, Matt Ryan has been sacked 17 times over his last seven starts. The Niners ran seventh in sack rate (7.3%) and ninth in opponent’s third-down conversion rate (37.1%) this season. On the other side, San Francisco leads the NFL in TD conversion rate in the red zone (73%) so there is a massive gap here in terms of execution.

Week 15 Survivor Leverage Pick: San Francisco 49ers

Full Falcons vs. Niners Betting Preview

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams () – Tuesday, 7 p.m. ET

The Rams are in a potential letdown spot after earning a tough win at Arizona on Monday night, while the Seahawks coasted to an easy win at Houston. Seattle got back on track with a division win over the 49ers and will certainly be fired up to try and spoil the Rams’ chances at an NFC West title.

Russell Wilson is starting to show signs of efficiency after struggling in his return from a broken finger and the Seahawks suddenly rediscovered their rushing attack with Rashad Penny averaging 8 YPC in a big performance against the Texans.

The Rams will hope to get Jalen Ramsey, Darrell Henderson, and Odell Beckham Jr. and several other players off the COVID/Reserve List, but they could be limited or some could fail to clear testing by Tuesday night. This game is now in a strange time slot that could lead to unexpected results.

The Rams’ pass defense has been below expectations all season and they’re coughing up a healthy 246.5 passing YPG. While the Seahawks don’t have many advantages in this matchup on paper, Wilson and his receivers could always hit a few deep balls and Pete Carroll could out-coach young Sean McVay in a divisional slugfest.

The Rams are only 9-8 against the NFC West since 2019 and the Seahawks are 9-8 in the same span.

Week 15 Land Mine Survivor Pick: Los Angeles Rams

Full Seahawks vs. Rams Betting Preview

NFL Week 15 Betting Odds

2021 NFL Survivor Pool Rules

The format for survivor pools is pretty self-explanatory. In order to survive, you must pick one NFL team each week to win their game. The catch is that each team can only be used once, limiting the number of choices you have as the season progresses. The last person standing wins the jackpot, which usually consists of entry fees paid by everyone in the pool.

Each week, we offer multiple survivor selections of varying risks. This includes the pick we’re most confident in along with an option that could offer leverage to help you save the elite teams for a later game. Our third and final selection is a land mine pick, which indicates a team you may want to stay away from this week.

If you are interested in betting on sports, this information can still be valuable. Feel free to take this analysis and head over to some of the leading brands in the industry including DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM, which have a huge range of betting options for every NFL game. Many of these sites also have free-to-play survivor pools, which don’t require an entry fee.

Play the survivor pool at DraftKings for a FREE chance at $1 million!

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Nate Weitzer

Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.

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