NBA DFS

The NBA DFS season rolls on Monday, 2/4/19, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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2/4/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Monday Night Throwdown: $15 entry, $500k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Micro Millions Opener: $3 entry, $125k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Clutch Shot: $5.55 entry, $360k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Slam: $44 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel)

NBA DFS Top Plays for February 4, 2019

Best Guards for February 4, 2019

Devin Booker vs. HOU ($9.0k DraftKings, $9.0k FanDuel)

Even if the Rockets win in blowout fashion tonight, Devin Booker has a great chance to meet value. Donovan Mitchell just exceeded value in Utah’s 27-point home loss to Houston Saturday, and Booker could follow suit in attempting to outscore James Harden rather than guard him. The Rockets are still allowing the second-most PPG (23.07) to opposing SGs this season. And they rank 28th in DvP against PGs over the last 14 days. Booker is back in prime offensive form and is averaging 30.6 PPG on 52.4% FG shooting with a 36% usage rate over his last five appearances. He averaged 25.3 PPG and 9.7 APG with a 31.6% usage rate over three meetings with Houston last year. Playing Booker is a good way to hedge exposure to a game with a 230-point total if you can’t afford Harden.

Trae Young @ WAS ($7.6k DraftKings, $7.6k FanDuel)

Atlanta failed to cover in Utah on Friday night, but Trae Young still exceeded value on DraftKings. The Hawks won in Phoenix the next night, and Young provided a nearly identical box score. The rookie has become a very solid Cash play with consistent averages of 23.2 PPG and 8.8 APG over his last six appearances. Tonight, Young should keep rolling against a Wizards team that ranks 25th in defensive rating and 29th in opponent 3-point shooting (36.9%) this season. Washington gives up the ninth-most APG (8.54) to opposing PGs. And Young has been controlling the Hawks’ fast-paced offense with a 39.8% assist rate over his last nine appearances.

Reggie Jackson vs. DEN ($5.2k DraftKings, $6.8k FanDuel)

The Nuggets offer a pair of enticing values tonight in Monte Morris ($6.0k, $5.8k) and Malik Beasley ($5.5k, $4.9k). They should both be considered if Jamal Murray (ankle) misses another game. Reggie Jackson will do his best to match the production of the Nuggets’ stacked backcourt in a locked-in role for the Pistons. He’s quite affordable on DK tonight. Jackson is averaging 20.8 PPG and 7.5 APG over his last four appearances and has been rewarded with 35-plus minutes in each of those contests. Despite a solid overall defensive rating, Denver is coughing up the second-most FPPG (45.46) to opposing PGs over the last 14 days. Detroit (+4) is expected to compete at home tonight. Jackson has been assigned a 6.03 plus/minus rating with the potential for 5.7x salary returns on DK per FantasyLabs.

Other guards to consider: James Harden, Jrue Holiday, De’Aaron Fox, Monte Morris, Kevin Huerter, Bryn Forbes, Frank Jackson, Patty Mills

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Best Forwards for February 4, 2019

LaMarcus Aldridge @ SAC ($8.0k DraftKings, $9.5k FanDuel)

DeMar DeRozan (knee) has returned to the Spurs lineup, but LaMarcus Aldridge appears to have taken a slight lead in the pecking order of Gregg Popovich’s offense. He posted consecutive double-doubles with 45 combined points in DeRozan’s first games back and draws a much juicier matchup for his position tonight. Sacramento is allowing the second-most FPPG (50.32) to opposing PFs over the last 14 days and coughs up the second-most RPG (48.2) overall this season. Aldridge pulled down 18 boards with 14 points in his sole meeting with the Kings this season. He also owns a 122 offensive rating since the start of December.

Trevor Ariza vs. ATL ($5.7k DraftKings, $6.1k FanDuel)

There is a lot of value in taking Trevor Ariza at his current price tag, which has decreased due to quiet outings against disciplined defensive teams. Disciplined Atlanta is not; plus, the Hawks play at the fastest pace in the league. Atlanta coughs up the most PPG (118) and sixth-most 3PTM (11.9) per game this season. Since rejoining the Wizards, Ariza is jacking up 7.4 threes per 36 minutes. And he’s taken on increased playmaking responsibilities with a 15.6% assist rate. Washington doesn’t have many options beyond Bradley Beal and Ariza, so both scorers are bankable options in a game with a 233-point total.

Kenrich Williams vs. IND ($4.3k DraftKings, $4.9k FanDuel)

Indiana is still one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, but the Pacers aren’t going to be as competitive on the wing with Victor Oladipo (quad) done for the year. They’ll also be keying in on Jrue Holiday, the Pelicans’ lone star standing. That leaves unknown rookie Kenrich Williams free to operate. Williams has scored 41 points in efficient fashion (60.7% FG shooting) while logging 30, 38, and 30 minutes over the Pelicans’ last three games. With Anthony Davis (finger, trade rumors) approaching shutdown status, New Orleans has little incentive to rush Julius Randle (calf) and Nikola Mirotic (calf) back into the lineup. Both are out again tonight, putting Williams in line for big minutes.

Other forwards to consider: Blake Griffin, Kenneth Faried, Thaddeus Young, Josh Jackson, Marvin Bagley III, Jeff Green, Darius Miller, Gerald Green 

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Best Centers for February 4, 2019

Nikola Jokic @ DET ($10.5k DraftKings, $11.3k FanDuel)

How can you fade this man right now? Especially at a thin center position and especially when his price tag drops a bit on DK, Nikola Jokic is a primary building block for most lineup models tonight. After a huge game (31 points, 13 rebounds, 9 assists) against Houston, he dropped a triple-double over just 29 minutes against Minnesota Saturday. Now, he’ll play on normal rest against a Pistons team that’s coughing up the most FPPG (52.71) to centers over the last 14 days. Andre Drummond is not known for his defensive prowess, and Jokic has taken on even more responsibilities as a scorer with Jamal Murray on the shelf.

Brook Lopez @ BKN ($5.4k DraftKings, $6.4k FanDuel)

This is a revenge game for Brook Lopez at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, but it’s also just a great matchup. Young Jarrett Allen is great at protecting the rim but well below average at guarding stretch fives: Brooklyn coughs up the fifth-most 3PTM (0.36) per game to opposing centers. Lopez got loose for 15 attempts from three in a home game against the Nets in late December and canned seven of them. He’s shooting 40% from deep and averaging 13.2 PPG on the road this season and will certainly be motivated in his only 2018-19 appearance at his old stomping grounds. Lopez has the second-highest per-dollar rating amongst centers on FantasyLabs tonight.

Other centers to consider: Myles Turner, Deandre Ayton, Jarrett Allen

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