Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
2/2/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Calm Before the Storm: $15 entry, $375k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Spin Move: $44 entry, $60k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $10K to 1st!
Sat. Groundhog Shot: $9.99 entry, $333k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Sat. Slam: $55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $20K to 1st!
NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for February 2, 2019
Best DFS Guards for February 2, 2019
Ben Simmons at SAC ($9.2k DraftKings, $9.7k FanDuel)
Both J.J. Redick (rest) and Wilson Chandler (quadriceps) will sit out Saturday’s game for the Sixers. That makes an already appealing matchup even better for Simmons. The second-year guard boasts a 23.8 percent usage rate and is averaging 1.32 DK and FD points per minute with both of his teammates off the floor this season. Then, Simmons is averaging well over 40 FPs on both sites. He’ll face off against a Kings squad that’s allowed the fifth-most DK (50.2) and FD (49.1) points per game to ones. Sacramento is also allowing bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in points (24.4), rebounds (6.3), assists (8.9), made threes (2.9), and steals (2.0) per contest to point guards. Even the Kings’ vulnerability to allowing scoring near the basket (51.3 points in the paint per game) meshes well with Simmons’ profile: he’s logging 78.5 percent of his points in that part of the floor.
Trae Young at PHO ($7.5k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)
Young appears to truly be hitting his stride after some production inconsistency earlier in the season. The rookie has eclipsed 30 FPs in 11 straight games on DK and in eight of those contests on FD. That sample includes four tallies of 40 or greater on either site. Young has also been an appreciably better shooter on the road, where he drains 42.2 percent of his attempts (compared to 39.3 percent at home). The Suns could well serve as facilitators for continued strong production. Phoenix is still one of the most vulnerable teams in the league to PGs, allowing the sixth-most DK (49.2) and FD (48.1) points per game to ones. The Suns have also allowed the second-most steals (2.2) and the third-highest shooting percentage (45.6) to PGs. That affords Young no shortage of paths to fantasy success.
Derrick White vs. NO ($5.7k DraftKings, $6.1k FanDuel)
White continues to churn out very solid production relative to his mid-tier prices, and Saturday’s matchup offers the right combination of cost and opportunity. The Pelicans represent a nice bump in pace for San Antonio, as they’re averaging 106.3 possessions per game on the road. New Orleans is also ranked near or at the bottom of the league in several categories versus PGs: DK points (50.5), FD points (49.6), points (24.7), assists (8.8), made threes (3.2), and steals. White comes in having scored 45.75 DK and 46.6 FD points versus the Nets on Thursday. He’s also scored over 25 FPs with regularity on both sites in nine of the last 10. Finally, it’s worth noting how much more effective White has been on his home floor: 54.2 percent from the field, including 42.5 percent from three-point range.
Other guards to consider: James Harden, Stephen Curry, Jrue Holiday, Devin Booker, Donovan Mitchell, Kemba Walker, Bradley Beal, Luka Doncic, D’Angelo Russell, DeMar DeRozan, De’Aaron Fox, Jimmy Butler, Eric Bledsoe, Rajon Rondo, Chris Paul, Kris Dunn, Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Brandon Ingram, Shabazz Napier, Jerryd Bayless, Jordan Clarkson, Alec Burks, Malik Beasley, Tim Frazier
Best DFS Forwards for February 2, 2019
Giannis Antetokounmpo at WAS ($10.9k DraftKings, $11.7k FanDuel)
Antetokounmpo flirts with 60 FPs on both sites regularly these days. Saturday’s matchup is just the type to draw out one of his more dominant performances. The Wizards have yielded the fifth-most DK (49.8) and eighth-most FD (47.5) points per game to power forwards. They’re also surrendering the highest shooting percentage (52.6) to the position. Additionally, Washington is yielding bottom-10 figures in points (23.0), rebounds (12.2), and assists (3.9) per game to PFs, making them an ideal matchup for a player with Antetokounmpo’s skill set. The Greek Freak has more or less made 50-55 FPs his floor on both sites this season, as he’s averaging 56.4 DK/55.2 FD points per contest. Washington’s frontcourt has also been highly permeable at home (50.8 points in the paint per game allowed, fifth most), while Antetokounmpo is logging a career-high 65.4 percent of his points in the paint this season.
Aaron Gordon vs. BKN ($6.5k DraftKings, $7.2k FanDuel)
There are a host of enticing options at forward around Gordon’s price Saturday. However, he has no shortage of appeal himself. The fifth-year forward is shooting 63.6 percent across two games versus the Nets this season, including 60.0 percent from three-point range. He’s also been a much sharper shooter on his home court. He’s draining 47.3 percent of his attempts there, including 40.8 percent from three-point range. That’s a sharp improvement over the respective 42.7 and 26.4 on the road. Additionally, Brooklyn comes in surrendering the third-most points in the paint per game (51.2), a vulnerability Gordon has the ability to exploit. Finally, it’s worth noting Gordon has eclipsed 40 FPs on both sites on multiple occasions over the last 10. That represents an excellent return on his current prices.
Darius Miller at SA ($4.4k DraftKings, $5k FanDuel)
Miller has been thriving in a first-unit role due to the Pelicans’ barrage of frontcourt injuries. His prices are nowhere near reflective of his recent production. Miller has scored over 30 FPs in three of his last four games on FD and in two of his last four on DK. The veteran forward is highly capable of compiling points by spacing the floor, as he’s shooting 38.1 percent from distance on an average of 4.9 three-point attempts per contest. Then, the Spurs are yielding a 35.9 percent success rate from three-point range overall. They’re also surrendering the third-highest shooting percentage (51.0) to fours, and over 45 FPs per game on both sites to the position.
Other forwards to consider: LeBron James, Kevin Durant, LaMarcus Aldridge, John Collins, Lauri Markkanen, Khris Middleton, Kenneth Faried, Will Barton, Draymond Green, Kelly Oubre, Jr., Cedi Osman, Rudy Gay, Bobby Portis, Trevor Ariza, Thaddeus Young, Domantas Sabonis, Josh Jackson, Richaun Holmes, Paul Millsap, Marvin Bagley III, Jonathan Isaac, Mikal Bridges
Best DFS Centers for February 2, 2019
Joel Embiid at SAC ($10.7k DraftKings, $11.6k FanDuel)
As mentioned earlier in Simmons’ entry, the 76ers will be short-handed Saturday in their starting five. That suits Embiid just fine, considering his 37.0 percent usage rate and average of 1.64 DK/1.62 FD points per minute without Redick and Chandler on the floor. The Kings already make for an appealing matchup for the dominant big man. They’ve yielded 56.8 DK and 55.4 FD points per game to centers. Sacramento has also allowed the most rebounds per contest (19.7) to fives, certainly a weakness Embiid is qualified to exploit. Embiid is averaging 13.6 rebounds per contest on the road and has posted 60 FPs on both sites with regularity this season.
Ante Zizic vs. DAL ($6k DraftKings, $6.4k FanDuel)
Zizic has been a revelation during a prolonged starting stint in place of Tristan Thompson (foot). The emerging big man has scored over 25 FPs on both sites in eight straight. That stretch includes five tallies of over 30. Zizic is getting it done on both the scoreboard and the boards, making him a threat for a double-double any time he takes the floor. He’ll be in an interesting spot Saturday, as the Mavericks no longer have DeAndre Jordan down low. That should leave Zizic frequently matched up against the likes of Dwight Powell and Salah Mejri, a battle he should be able to win often. Then, Zizic should see a fair share of extra rebounding opportunities on both ends of the floor Saturday. The Cavaliers own the fourth-lowest home shooting percentage (44.7), while the Mavericks check in with the fourth lowest on the road (43.9 percent).
Ed Davis at ORL ($4k DraftKings, $4.3k FanDuel)
Davis is perpetually under-owned, yet his prowess on the boards could especially come in handy Saturday versus a Magic squad shooting just 43.1 percent over its last three games. Davis has been outpacing his current prices on a regular basis lately, as he’s scored over 20 FPs in five of the last 10 games on DK and four of the last 10 on FD. The veteran has encouragingly played over 20 minutes with greater frequency as well, while the Magic come in allowing a robust 53.0 DK and 52.6 FD points per game to centers. Brooklyn also owns the sixth-lowest road shooting percentage (44.5) in the NBA, which could afford Davis a few extra chances on the offensive glass.
Other centers to consider: Nikola Jokic, Nikola Vucevic, Karl-Anthony Towns, Rudy Gobert, Jahlil Okafor, Deandre Ayton, DeMarcus Cousins, Myles Turner, Dewayne Dedmon, Brook Lopez, Jarrett Allen, Alex Len, JaVale McGee, Kevon Looney