NBA DFS

The NBA DFS season rolls on Friday, 2/1/19, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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2/1/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Friday Shootaround: $12 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $100k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $15 entry, $360k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Shot: $7.77 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel)

NBA DFS Top Plays for February 1, 2019

Best Guards for February 1, 2019

Mike Conley @ CHA ($7.9k DraftKings, $8.5k FanDuel)

James Harden is now a bit more affordable, but if you want to save at guard to afford a certain elite center tonight, Mike Conley offers a great floor-ceiling combination. The Grizzlies PG has been dynamite with averages of 21.5 points, 6.7 assists, and 1.5 steals per 36 minutes this season. Plus, he’s averaging 23 PPG and 8 APG over his last six appearances. The Hornets yield the most FPPG (45.71) to opposing PGs over the last 14 days and the most 3PTM (2.57) to the position this season. Conley averaged 22.5 PPG while shooting 53% from the floor and 7-for-14 from deep over two meetings against Charlotte in his last healthy season. Because he’s questionable with a knee injury, Conley offers GPP appeal.

Trae Young @ UTA ($7.0k DraftKings, $7.3k FanDuel)

While the Hawks (+11.5) are certainly at risk of getting blown out in Utah tonight, Trae Young should see close to 30 minutes regardless of game flow as Atlanta plans for the future. Aside from a blowout win over Cleveland, Utah has barely edged weak opponents such as the Bulls, Pistons, and Timberwolves in recent home games. Meanwhile, Atlanta has shown backbone with road wins over the Sixers and Clippers over the last month. Young has been a big reason for those showings.

Young, the No. 5 overall pick is averaging 26.3 PPG, 8 APG, and 3 triples per game over his last three outings. Utah ranks 23rd in opponent 3-point shooting (36.4%) this season. Young owns a bigtime 40.3% assist rate and a 27.6% usage rate over his last seven appearances and has been more efficient with 105 offensive rating while shooting 42.2% from the field on the road. Ricky Rubio (hamstring) is not yet back to full strength, and Utah lacks defensive stoppers off the bench with Raul Neto (groin) and Dante Exum (ankle) out.

Allonzo Trier vs. BOS ($5.4k DraftKings, $4.0k FanDuel)

By adding Trey Burke to the blockbuster trade involving Kristaps Porzingis, the Knicks left themselves without a legitimate PG for at least one game while Dennis Smith Jr. gets cleared by team doctors. Ron Baker or new acquisition Kadeem Allen could start at PG. But the biggest winner in terms of usage may be rookie Allonzo Trier. The Arizona product showed signs of breaking out with 31 points in a duel with James Harden (who dropped 61) last week. Now, he’ll look to fill the void with Burke and Tim Hardaway Jr. gone. Trier rocks a 29.4% usage rate (6.5% increase) when those players are off the floor in addition to Emmanuel Mudiay (shoulder), Frank Ntilikina (groin), and Enes Kanter (DNP-CD candidate). He’s simply a phenomenal bargain on FanDuel tonight.

Malik Beasley vs. HOU ($4.4k DraftKings, $4.5k FanDuel)

The Nuggets are expected to be without Jamal Murray (ankle) for at least one more game and haven’t gotten much from Gary Harris (groin) recently. That opens the door for Malik Beasley to fire away when coming off the bench. He exceeded value with 22 points over 29 minutes in a win over the Pelicans Wednesday. Beasley sees a 5% rise in usage rate (to 23.5%) and averages 0.12 more FPs per minute when Murray and Harris are off the floor this season.

With Murray out, Torrey Craig should start at SF, and Monte Morris ($4.4k, $4.5k) should run the point. The Rockets give up the fourth-most FPPG (37.32) and second-most PPG (23.07) to opposing SGs this season and are giving up the third-most FPPG (44.59) to PGs over the last 14 days. We love Morris in Cash games and would consider doubling down with Beasley in some GPP lineups.

Other guards to consider: James Harden, Kemba Walker, Ricky Rubio, Monte Morris, Jaylen Brown, Kevin Huerter, Justin Holiday, Damyean Dotson 

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Best Forwards for February 1, 2019

Paul George @ MIA ($9.9k DraftKings, $11.4k FanDuel)

The crop is very thin at forward on this five-game slate, so it might make sense to punt the position and pay up at center and guard. However, you can gain an edge over the field by spending on the one forward with significant upside in Paul George. A surprising MVP candidate on a team with usage hog Russell Westbrook, George is averaging 30.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 3.9 APG, and 2.43 SPG since the start of December. His usage rate climbs to 30.1% and he averages 28.6 PPG on the road this season. Miami is 11-14 and faces 31.1 3PTA per game at home. George trails only James Harden and Steph Curry with 174 triples on the year.

Kenneth Faried @ DEN ($6.9k DraftKings, $7.9k FanDuel)

Kenneth Faried has been a locked-and-loaded option in all formats since joining forces with Harden in Houston. He should have a little extra motivation tonight in a revenge game at Denver. The former Nuggets forward is averaging 15.2 PPG, 9.8 RPG, and 2.6 STL/BLK per game with his new team and is thriving offensively with defenses collapsing on Harden’s drives. Denver allows the third-most FPPG (45.88) and second-most PPG (22.68) to opposing PFs this season and ranks 21st in DvP against centers over the last 14 days. Faried will have his hands full on defense against Nikola Jokic but should pile up plenty of counting stats in a fast-paced affair with a generous point total (227.5).

Kevin Knox vs. BOS ($5.7k DraftKings, $5.0k FanDuel)

When the five Knicks mentioned above are off the floor, Kevin Knox leads the Knicks with a 30.9% usage rate (8.1% increase). He’ll be asked to carry the offense tonight along with Trier unless Dennis Smith Jr. is somehow able to pass a physical and suit up for his new team in just one day. The Knicks might not be able to keep the score competitive for four quarters, but their roster is so thin that the volume is bankable from their top remaining offensive options. Luke Kornet ($4.3k, $5.5k) is also worth a look as a punt play. He boasts upside depending on how he many minutes he can log in his return from an ankle sprain.

Other forwards to consider: Will Barton, Justise Winslow, Jayson Tatum, Paul Millsap, Marcus Morris, Taurean Prince, Bam Adebayo

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Best Centers for February 1, 2019

Nikola Jokic vs. HOU ($10.8k DraftKings, $11.5k FanDuel)

Here is the man for whom you’ve perhaps been saving your salary space. Nikola Jokic won’t come cheap, but he should be worth it with a triple-double in three of his last five outings. He struggled a bit with 20 points, 13 rebounds, and 8 turnovers in a trip to Houston last month, but that was with Clint Capela (thumb) active. The Rockets are now allowing the seventh-most FPPG (47.52) to centers over the last 14 days. Plus, they’re coughing up 118.2 PPG over their last five road games. When Murray and Harris are off the floor, Jokic leads the Nuggets with a 34.8% usage rate (6.5% increase) and averages an absurd 1.65 FP per minute. Regardless of his supporting cast, Jokic has emerged as Denver’s closer with a 33.3% usage rate and +25.2 net rating in “clutch time.”

Al Horford @ NYK ($7.0k DraftKings, $7.9k FanDuel)

The Knicks dealt Kristaps Porzingis and are apparently ready to move Enes Kanter, who has logged four DNP-CDs over his last five appearances. That leaves second-year center Luke Kornet and foul-prone Mitchell Robinson to man the paint against crafty veteran Al Horford. Kornet is only eight days into a two-week time table on his ankle injury, so he may struggle with lateral movement tonight. Robinson bites on just about every pump fake and could get exposed by Horford. Kyrie Irving (hip) is expected to play tonight, but Horford’s usage rate (19.3%) remains virtually the same when his pick-and-pop partner is on the floor. Horford has produced 38 points, 19 rebounds, 8 assists, and 7 blocks over his last two meetings with the Knicks and has scored in double figures in seven straight games now that he’s healthy again.

Other centers to consider: Marc Gasol, John Collins, Steven Adams, Luke Kornet

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