DFS NBA

The NBA DFS season rolls on Wednesday, January 30, 2019, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups for tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel (FD) include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings (DK) has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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1/30/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Mini Hangtime: $10 entry, $425k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Spin Move: $44 entry, $70k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $10K to 1st!
Clutch Shot: $4.44 entry, $400k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!
Spectacular Slam: $44 entry, $375k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100K to 1st!

NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for January 30, 2019

Best DFS Guards for January 30, 2019

Luka Doncic at NY ($8.8k DraftKings, $9.8k FanDuel)

There’s a dearth of guards in the top tier Wednesday. Kyrie Irving (hip) appears set to miss a second straight game. That makes Doncic a fine top option if you’re paying up, particularly against a Knicks squad that’s allowed the second-most DK (44.2) and FD (43.3) points per game to shooting guards. New York also checks in surrendering the most rebounds (7.0) and fifth-most assists (5.0) per game to ones, along with 2.9 made threes. Doncic has the ability to exploit all those weaknesses. He’s averaging 7.0 boards and 5.4 dimes. The rookie is also putting up 6.7 three-point attempts per game, which he’s draining at a 35.5 percent clip. Notably, Doncic has proven a slightly better three-point shooter on the road (37.1 percent, compared to 34.0 at home) and he already compiled 39.3 DK/36.8 FD points in one prior game against New York this season.

De’Aaron Fox vs. ATL ($7.7k DraftKings, $7.8k FanDuel)

Fox eviscerated the Hawks for 72.5 DK/65.5 FD points in their one prior meeting this season. The second-year guard brings 40-fantasy-point upside any time he takes the floor, and Atlanta could well draw another eye-popping performance out of him Wednesday. Atlanta remains as vulnerable as ever to ones, allowing them the most DK (52.3) and FD (51.8) points per game. The Hawks are also yielding bottom-five figures in points (25.2), rebounds (6.5), assists (8.8), and made threes (2.9), along with the second-highest shooting percentage (46.6). Then, needless to say, the pace of the game should certainly work in Fox’s favor. Atlanta is one of the only teams in the league that actually plays faster than the Kings. The Hawks’ 107.9 possessions per contest are the most in the NBA.

Terry Rozier vs. CHA ($6.1k DraftKings, $6.5k FanDuel)

Rozier appears primed for another start Wednesday in place of Irving. This makes him a solid value despite his bump in price on both sites. Rozier is already averaging over 25 FPs on both sites in two games versus the Hornets this season over an average of just 22.3 minutes. He’ll be set to log starter’s minutes Wednesday in the wake of eclipsing 35 FPs on both sites over 35 minutes versus the Nets on Monday. The Hornets rank about middle of the pack against point guards, allowing 46.1 DK and 45.2 FD points per game to the position. While Rozier’s shooting is always a reason for concern, he’s flashed a ceiling north of 40 fantasy points this season when seeing expanded minutes. The Boston backup PG boasts a solid 21.2 percent usage rate with Irving off the floor.

Other guards to consider: Jrue Holiday, Bradley Beal, Damian Lillard, Donovan Mitchell, Kemba Walker, Mike Conley, Trae Young, C.J. McCollum, Buddy Hield, Zach LaVine, Justise Winslow, Kris Dunn, Tomas Satoransky, Darren Collison, Tim Hardaway, Jr., Dennis Smith, Jr., Aaron Holiday

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Best DFS Forwards for January 30, 2019

John Collins at SAC ($7.9k DraftKings, $8k FanDuel)

Collins draws an enticing matchup Wednesday against an exploitable frontcourt. The Kings allow the second-most DK (50.7) and FD (49.2) points per game to PFs. Only Collins’ own Hawks are more vulnerable to the position. Sacramento is also allowing the most points (23.8) and seventh-most blocks (1.5) per contest to fours, along with 50.3 percent shooting. In turn, the floor-spacing Collins is shooting 57.6 percent on the road, including an impressive 42.6 percent from three-point range. The projected breakneck pace of this game should help him in the form of a few extra possessions. Finally, it’s worth noting the Kings are also giving up the fourth-most points in the paint per game (51.5). Collins logs just under 68 percent of his points in that area.

Joe Ingles at POR ($5.6k DraftKings, $5.8k FanDuel)

Ingles is averaging over 25 FPs on both sites in three games versus the Blazers this season while shooting 48.1 percent, including 38.5 percent from three-point range. The sharpshooting Aussie has eclipsed 30 FPs on both sites thrice in the last 10 games. And he’s been over 25 in seven contests during that stretch overall. Portland continues to be a solid target for fantasy purposes when it comes to SFs. The Blazers allow bottom-10 figures in DK points (42.7), FD points (42.6), points (21.9) and rebounds (8.6) per game to threes. Then, the Trail Blazers are tied with several teams for the fourth-highest three-point percentage allowed (36.6). Ingles is averaging 5.6 three-point attempts per game and draining them at 35.7 percent.

Bam Adebayo vs. CHI ($4.3k DraftKings, $4.9k FanDuel)

Adebayo continues to log minutes in the upper teens to mid-20s on the majority of nights. While his fantasy production fluctuates, the second-year big has scored over 20 fantasy points on three occasions and over 30 in two other games over his last 10. That’s an impressive ceiling at his current prices, and the Bulls could well facilitate a similar caliber of production. Adebayo is already averaging over 25 FPs over 24.3 minutes in two games against the Bulls this season. Chicago is allowing the fourth-most DK and FD points (60.3) per game to centers, along with the fifth-most rebounds (17.1) to the position. Then, the Bulls’ pedestrian 44.1 shooting percentage on the road and the Heat’s own mediocre 44.2 percent success rate from the field at home should afford Adebayo some extra rebounding opportunities on both ends.

Other forwards to consider: Buddy Hield, Will Barton, Lauri Markkanen, Domantas Sabonis, Josh Richardson, Noah Vonleh, Thaddeus Young, Bobby Portis, Jaren Jackson, Jr., Marvin Bagley III, Derrick Favors, Kevin Knox, Harrison Barnes, Paul Millsap

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Best DFS Centers for January 30, 2019

Nikola Jokic at NO ($10.9k DraftKings, $11.2k FanDuel)

Jokic is coming off a pair of outings with more than 65 FPs on both sites two and three games ago versus the Jazz and Sixers. Jamal Murray (ankle) is already listed as out for Wednesday’s game as well, which will up Jokic’s offensive responsibility even further. “The Joker” sports a 28.7 percent usage rate and is averaging 1.48 DK/1.47 FD points per minutes without Murray on the floor this season. He’s also averaging just under 50 FPs in two previous games against the Pelicans this season. New Orleans will be on the back end of a back-to-back Wednesday and is allowing just over 56 FPs per game on both sites to centers. Moreover, they’ll once again be without Anthony Davis (finger) down low, and they’re already allowing the fifth-most points in the paint (53.3) over the last three games without the big man in the lineup.

Myles Turner at WAS ($6.9k DraftKings, $7.3k FanDuel)

While Jahil Okafor rightfully figures to be a highly popular mid-priced center option on both sites, Turner makes for an appealing and likely under-owned pivot Wednesday. His matchup is considerably more enticing, factoring in that the Wizards have allowed the sixth-most DK (58.1) and eighth-most FD (57.4) points per game to centers. Then, Washington is allowing the highest shooting percentage (57.6) to centers, while Turner is averaging over 50 FPs on both sites over two prior games against the Wizards this season on averages of 22.0 points and 14.5 rebounds per contest. Finally, Turner’s 23.6 percent usage rate and average of 1.16 DK/1.24 FD points per minute with Victor Oladipo (knee) and Tyreke Evans (back) off the floor this season serve to add to his considerable appeal.

Alex Len at SAC ($4.5k DraftKings, $4.6k FanDuel)   

Len continues to log consistent minutes off the bench behind Dewayne Dedmon, and he’s proven capable of outpacing his current prices on multiple occasions this season. Len has actually been a much better road player too, shooting 50.6 percent (compared to 45.3 percent at home) while averaging 11.8 points (compared to 9.0 at home) and 6.4 rebounds (compared to 5.1 at home). The big man has vaulted over 30 FPs twice on both sites in the last three games, and he also eclipsed 50 on both sites versus the Thunder on Jan. 15. Len is in position to take advantage of the Kings’ previously cited vulnerability to scoring near the basket. The former No. 5 overall pick by the Suns logs just under 64 percent of his points in the paint. 

Other centers to consider: Karl-Anthony Towns, Jusuf Nurkic, Rudy Gobert, Marc Gasol, Hassan Whiteside, Al Horford, Deandre Jordan, Jahlil Okafor, Willie Cauley-Stein

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