NBA DFS

The NBA DFS season rolls on Monday, 1/28/19, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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1/28/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Monday Night Throwdown: $12 entry, $450k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $125k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $9.99 entry, $350k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Slam: $55 entry, $125k guaranteed (FanDuel)

NBA DFS Top Plays for January 28, 2019

Best Guards for January 28, 2019

Mike Conley vs. DEN ($7.7k DraftKings, $8.3k FanDuel)

The Grizzlies (-1.5) host the Nuggets tonight in what could be one of the only close games on Monday’s slate. While Marc Gasol and Nikola Jokic could do well to curb each other’s production, Mike Conley is poised to carry Memphis at home in a juicy matchup against a subpar defensive backcourt. Denver ranks 29th in DvP against PGs over the last 14 days and yields the seventh-most APG (8.57) to the position this season. Conley is rolling with averages of 22.3 PPG, 7.3 APG, and 2.3 SPG while shooting 51.7% from the floor over his last four appearances. All four of those games were home and he should keep rolling at “The Grindhouse” in an effort to showcase his talents to be traded to a contending team.

Lou Williams vs. ATL ($7.4k DraftKings, $7.1k FanDuel)

The Hawks have given up impressive lines to diminutive guards in each of their last three games, including a triple-double to Portland’s C.J. McCollum on Saturday. Lou Williams posted the first triple-double of his career over the weekend shot just 2-for-16 in an easy win over Sacramento last night, but is poised to wreck Atlanta’s 26th-rated defense tonight. The Hawks cough up the most PPG (117.5) while leading the league in pace and Williams thrives in an uptempo game. He’s averaging 18.4 PPG with a sky-high 34.3% usage rate when playing on 0 days rest this season and will be needed with Danilo Gallinari (back) still doubtful. Williams leads the Clips with a 34.2% and averages 1.31 FPs per minute (0.08 increase) when Gallo is off the floor this season. Additionally, he played high school ball in Georgia and is averaging 21.7 PPG and 7.7 APG over his last three meetings with Atlanta. Williams leads all players in per-dollar rating on FanDuel according to models on FantasyLabs.

Shabazz Napier @ BOS ($4.6k DraftKings, $4.9k FanDuel)

Spencer Dinwiddie (thumb) will miss at least two weeks and Nets HC Kenny Atkinson has stayed true to his word by slotting Shabazz Napier right into Dinwiddie’s role as a combo guard next to D’Angelo Russell. Napier should have room to operate tonight as the Celtics look to contain Russell, who absolutely torched them in their recent trip to Brooklyn. Napier is from Boston and went for 10 points, 5 rebounds, 6 assists and 3 defensive stats in his last trip to TD Garden. He’s averaging 19.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per 36 minutes this season and owns a career-best 110 offensive rating. in addition to Dinwiddie, Joe Harris (hip) is questionable and Allen Crabbe (knee) is likely to remain sidelined, freeing up more playing time for Napier.

Monte Morris @ MEM ($4.6k DraftKings, $4.1k FanDuel)

Jamal Murray (ankle) won’t play Monday and that opens the door for Monte Morris to start. Malik Beasley should also see steady run off the bench and Gary Harris is likely to see increased usage with Murray out. Morris sees a 1.6% increase in usage rate (to 20.8%) when Murray is off the floor this season and is an extreme bargain on FanDuel. He’s been efficient with his playing time all season and owns a 123 offensive rating, so Morris can be trusted to stay on the floor in a tough road environment.

Other guards to consider: Kyrie Irving, D’Angelo Russell, Patrick Beverley, Justin Holiday, Theo Pinson, Cory Joseph, Trey Burke

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Best Forwards for January 28, 2019

Noah Vonleh @ CHA ($6.2k DraftKings, $6.6k FanDuel)

The Knicks seem willing to use Noah Vonleh as a hybrid center with Luke Kornet (ankle) on the shelf and Enes Kanter in the doghouse. If Kanter didn’t see the floor in a matchup against the Nets, a team that uses a traditional center, then he’s a likely candidate for another DNP-CD tonight. The Hornets will gladly match up with Vonleh at center since Cody Zeller (thumb) remains out. They’ll have a tough time defending the former Trailblazers forward, who was very quiet last night in against surging Heat center Hassan Whiteside. That should allow Vonleh to fly under the radar in a much better matchup tonight and his upside is apparent with the potential for 5.8x salary returns on DK per FantasyLabs. Also consider Trey Burke from the Knicks roster with Frank Ntilikina (groin) out in addition to Emmanuel Mudiay (shoulder).

Jaren Jackson Jr. vs. DEN ($5.7k DraftKings, $6.5k FanDuel)

Again, Gasol and Jokic are tough to take tonight in a H2H matchup between premier centers, but the Grizzlies have another big man capable of making plays. Rookie Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 19 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 3.3 STL/BLK per 36 minutes this season and has scored in double figures in six consecutive appearances. Paul Millsap is still not fully healthy and that’s part of the reason Denver ranks 26th in DvP against PFs over the last 14 days. The Nuggets continue to decline in overall defensive rating (11th) and are coughing up far more production with averages of 109.1 PPG, 43.4 RPG, and 14 STL/BLK per game allowed on the road.

Taurean Prince vs. LAC ($5.4k DraftKings, $5.3k FanDuel)

Now that he’s logged nearly 36 minutes in a game, Taurean Prince emerges as an appealing mid-tier option on either main DFS site. The Clippers are on the second half of a B2B set and weren’t very solid against wing players regardless, especially with Danilo Gallinari likely out again tonight. Prince is averaging 18.2 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 2.7 assists per 36 minutes  and is benefitting from the absence of Kent Bazemore (ankle) on the Hawks side of the ball. Since the Clippers rank ninth in pace and the Hawks are first, this is a great game to target and one that should be closer than expected with the Clips playing on 0 days rest.

Other forwards to consider: Kevin Durant, Thaddeus Young, Jayson Tatum, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyreke Evans, Gordon Hayward, Mason Plumlee

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Best Centers for January 28, 2019

DeMarcus Cousins vs. IND ($6.5k DraftKings, $7.2k FanDuel)

The Warriors are rolling with DeMarcus Cousins added to the fold. Their main priority at this point should be getting the big man back up to full speed. That makes him one of the safer bets on the board in a potential blowout at shorthanded Indy, and his individual matchup is not one to cringe at either. Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner both give up a lot in terms of height and weight when lining up next to Boogie. He’s averaging an absurd 1.51 DK points per minute over his last four appearances and is far more appealing at his price tag on that site. Nikola Jokic is so dominant within the Nuggets elite offense that he’s worth paying up for even in a tough matchup against Gasol and the Grizzlies, but if you need to allocate salary elsewhere, Cousins is a legitimate Cash play with a projection of 32.2 DK points and a ceiling of 46.1 DK points per FantasyLabs.

Al Horford vs. BKN ($6.4k DraftKings, $6.9k FanDuel)

Seemingly healthy after playing on a minutes limit for a couple of weeks, Al Horford flashed his solid per-dollar upside with 22 points, 13 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 blocks in a loss to the Warriors Saturday night. He saw 34:38 of run in that contest and will be needed tonight to deal with young Jarrett Allen and the Nets. Brooklyn yields more peripheral stats (14.38 RPG, 1.91 BPG) than traditional points to opposing centers, which matches up well for Horford’s game. The Nets also yield the sixth-most 3PTM (0.36) per game to centers and Horford is shooting 37.5% from three and 59.6% from the field at home this season. He owns a 126 offensive rating and TD Garden and should see plenty of openings as the primary pick-and-pop partner with Kyrie Irving.

Other centers to consider: Nikola Jokic, Montrezl Harrell, Myles Turner, Jarrett Allen

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