NBA DFS picks

The NBA DFS season rolls on Tuesday, 1/22/19, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice, so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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1/22/19 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

MEGA Run and Gun: $11 entry, $500k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $125k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Clutch Shot: $4.44 entry, $400k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Slam: $33 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel)

NBA DFS Top Plays for January 22, 2019

Best Guards for January 22, 2019

Russell Westbrook vs. POR ($11.0k DraftKings, $12.5k FanDuel)

After consecutive quiet games (relatively speaking), Russell Westbrook is very reasonably priced on DraftKings. The nightly triple double threat is closer to his superstar teammate, Paul George, in a better matchup for the athletic PG. Westbrook almost always takes individual matchups personally and Damian Lillard is as talented an adversary as he’ll face in this league. While Lillard excels on offense, Portland is giving up the most PPG (22.27) and third-most FPPG (43.34) to opposing PGs this season. Westbrook went for 31 points, 9 rebounds, and 7 assists in a meeting with the Blazers earlier this season and was rolling with some eye-popping lines prior to a couple foul-plagued, rough shooting nights at the Sixers and Knicks. With a ceiling of 78 DK points per models on FantasyLabs, Westbrook has a chance to pay off his lofty price tag.

Derrick Rose @ PHO ($6.3k DraftKings, $6.6k FanDuel)

The Suns and Wolves meet again Tuesday after going down to the wire in a 116-114 Minnesota win on Sunday night. Now the Wolves travel to Phoenix in a game that should once again go down to the wire and the Suns will once again have a lot of trouble protecting the paint with Deandre Ayton (ankle) and Richaun Holmes (foot) both unlikely to play. Derrick Rose took advantage of that weak paint protection while dropping 31 points on 12-of-24 FG shooting off the bench Sunday. Rose has been ramping up since returning from his own ankle injury and it’s very encouraging to see him log nearly 38 minutes after playing a total of 47 minutes his previous two outings. Phoenix allows the most FTA (27.7) and second-most 2PTM (31.4) per game this season and Rose has been getting to the rim with ease during a resurgent campaign.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander @ DAL ($4.6k DraftKings, $3.9k FanDuel)

Despite pulling off a win in San Antonio, the Clippers are badly missing Lou Williams (hamstring) and Danilo Gallinari (back) on this road trip. That means more usage for Tobias Harris and increased playing time for Patrick BeverlyAvery Bradley and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The athletic rookie is the riskiest option of the trio, but is also close to the minimum on FanDuel, where the lowest score is dropped.

Gilgeous-Alexander shined with 24 points, 5 assists, and 3 steals against the Warriors before struggling badly on the road against the disciplined Spurs. Those dips in production can be expected from an inconsistent shooter, but the fact that “SGA” posted a usage rate of 21.5% or greater in a third consecutive contest tells you all you need to know. He’s averaging 0.11 more FPs per minute when Williams and Gallo are off the floor this season. The Mavericks are shorthanded in the backcourt with J.J. Barea (leg) done for the year and Dennis Smith (illness) unlikely to play. Expect Gilgeous-Alexander to attack Luka Doncic on both ends of the floor in an effort to tire the Mavs super rookie.

Other guards to consider: Luka Doncic, Damian Lillard, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Dennis Schroder, Fred VanVleet, Wes Matthews, Avery Bradley 

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Best Forwards for January 22, 2019

Pascal Siakam vs. SAC ($6.3k DraftKings, $6.9k FanDuel)

On a short slate, it’s fine to play wing players from the same team and Pascal Siakam is right next to Kawhi in terms of per-dollar upside amongst Raptors players tonight. The Kings are vulnerable at all levels and are giving up the second-most FPPG (39.79) to opposing PFs over the last 14 days. Siakam eased his way to 21 points on 8-of-11 FG shooting the last time he faced the Kings, flukily grabbing just three boards in the process. Siakam owns an 18% rebounding rate and we just mentioned how Sacramento yields the most rebounds per game. The likely candidate for Most Improved Player of the Year is a candidate for the unofficial award of Most Consistent Cash Play in DFS considering he’s met or exceeded value in 14 of his last 16 appearances.

T.J. Warren @ MIN ($5.7k DraftKings, $6.2k FanDuel)

Opposing defenses are selling out to stop Devin Booker and that’s opened things up for the Suns second-best scorer, T.J. Warren. Deandre Ayton‘s absence would thrust Warren into increased usage and make Dragan Bender ($4.4k, $4.4k) an appealing value play tonight against a Wolves team that ranks 20th in defensive rating on the season. Minnesota allows the fourth-most FPPG (39.06) and PPG (20.67) to opposing SFs and Warren has rather effortlessly dropped 21 points on the Wolves in both meetings this season. With Jimmy Butler traded and Robert Covington (ankle) out multiple weeks, Minnesota has no defensive stopper on the wing capable of stopping Warren’s versatile game.

Other forwards to consider: Paul George, Tobias Harris, Serge ibaka, Harrison Barnes, Kelly Oubre Jr., Al-Farouq Aminu, Jerami Grant, Dragan Bender

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Best Centers for January 22, 2019

Karl-Anthony Towns @ PHO ($10.6k DraftKings, $10.6k FanDuel)

If Deandre Ayton (ankle) is indeed ruled out, Dragan Bender will be worth a punt as a PF on FanDuel or a center on DK. But the biggest beneficiary will likely be Karl-Anthony Towns, who pounded Bender and the rest of the Suns’ frontcourt for 30 points on just 8-of-22 FG shooting. Clearly the Wolves were looking to exploit his individual matchup and should feed their young beast again with the Suns potentially missing both Ayton and Richaun Holmes. Towns posted 60 DK points in Sunday’s matchup and also went for 60 DK points in a meeting with Ayton earlier this season, so he’s obviously the top center on the board tonight and a worthwhile stud to pay up for with Jusuf Nurkic and Steven Adams locking horns in OKC.

DeAndre Jordan vs. LAC ($6.4k DraftKings, $7.0k FanDuel)

The “Revenge Narrative” has certainly played a part in DeAndre Jordan’s performance against his former team this season, as he’s averaging 13.5 PPG, 22.5 RPG and 3.5 APG over two meetings with the Clippers. Yet his price tag on DK hardly reflects that inflated production, making him a great per-dollar option in all formats. It’s no secret the Clippers struggle down low and that’s why they’ve turned to natural PF Montrezl Harrell as their starting center. The Clips still yield the second-most PPG (21.26) and fifth-most RPG (14.7) to opposing centers this season and cough up the fourth-most offensive RPG (11.6) overall. Look for the Mavs and poised floor general Luka Doncic to exploit the visitor’s weakness down low by feeding Jordan. That is partially why Jordan has the highest per-dollar rating on DK tonight in models on FantasyLabs.

Other centers to consider: Jusuf Nurkic, Montrezl Harrell, Willie Cauley-Stein

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