Week 14 NFL DFS Picks | Best Bets For DraftKings And FanDuel Lineups

Written By Nate Weitzer on December 12, 2021

We’re entering the final games of the NFL’s first 17-game season and Week 14 brings another full slate of Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) contests offered on DraftKings and FanDuel with big prize pools and exciting formats such as Best Ball and Showdown mode.

Whether you’re located in a state that won’t allow you to wager on NFL odds or just prefer DFS to traditional sports betting, there are many contests to choose from each and every week of the season. Here, we’ll provide you with lineup advice for a variety of contests including cash games (i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up) and GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments.

NFL WEEK 14 DAILY FANTASY | BEST CONTESTS AT DRAFTKINGS & FANDUEL

Week 14 NFL DFS Lineup Picks | Predictions For DraftKings & FanDuel

Whether you play at DraftKings or FanDuel, we want to make the process of choosing your lineup as simple as possible. Below, we have suggestions for several different DFS contest types along with prices for each player from both sites.

Quarterback

Best Play: Josh Allen (DK: $7,800, FD: $8,800)

Conditions will be completely different for Allen and his receivers as they travel down to Tampa Bay following a frustrating loss to the Patriots on Monday night. The Bills are built to pass and the Bucs are facing the highest pass-play rate (67.2%) while yielding a 68.2% completion rate this season. Allen is averaging 8.3 yards per completion and 289.5 passing YPG and he’s tacked on 216 rushing yards with a TD over six road games. Tampa’s secondary is still banged up and this game has the highest implied total (53.5) on the slate.

Value Play: Taysom Hill (DK: $5,600, FD: $7,700)

Hill injured his finger early in Thursday’s start against the Cowboys, yet still produced 27 DraftKings points with 101 rushing yards to go along with 264 passing yards. Forget the fact that he tossed four interceptions because now Hill is facing the Jets’ 32nd-rated pass defense and his rushing upside is immense in this matchup. Sean Payton is using Hill as his primary ball carrier with Alvin Kamara (MCL) still recovering, and he can complete relatively easy passes if the Jets sell out to stop him.

GPP Play: Cam Newton (DK: $5,400, FD: $7,400)

Newton was abysmal in a loss at Miami before the Panthers bye, and his ownership rate should be down as a result. With Christian McCaffrey (ankle) out, Carolina is likely to implement a run-heavy game plan under new OC Jeff Nixon. Newton might struggle to complete downfield throws, but he can still convert in short-yardage and goal-line situations. He has a rushing TD in all three appearances since rejoining the Panthers and Atlanta has coughed up the fourth-most rushing yards (286) to QBs this season.

Fade: Dak Prescott (DK: $6,700, FD: $8,100)

While we expect the Cowboys to beat Washington on the road this Sunday, they might have to do it in ugly fashion. The WFT is allowing just 284 total YPG and 17.4 PPG over their last five contests. Washington ranks 23rd in pace of play and plays at the slowest pace in the NFL when leading by 7-plus points. The WFT even plays at the fifth-slowest pace when trailing by 7-plus points. Prescott might fall short of expectations against a defense that couldn’t stop anyone early, but has found its identity.

Running Back

Best Play: Leonard Fournette (DK: $7,400, FD: $7,600)

The Bills simply couldn’t stop New England’s ground game on Monday night and their defense will have a tough time containing Tom Brady’s passing attack without Tre’Davious White (ACL). If Buffalo drops more men into coverage, Brady will option to run plays and keep feeding Fournette, who has played on 81% and 87% of snaps over Tampa’s last two games. Fournette has handled a whopping 50 red zone touches this season and leads all RBs with 58 receptions.

Value Play: Dontrell Hilliard (DK: $5,300, FD: $7,000)

Hilliard isn’t being priced like a lead back at DraftKings, yet he’s clearly passed D’Onta Foreman on the depth chart. He’s played on 83 snaps since getting called up from the practice squad in Week 11 and is averaging 8.7 YPC with nine receptions in those two games. With the Titans (-9.5) expected to roll the Jaguars at home, he should get the majority of work in a contest with positive game flow.

GPP Play: Saquon Barkley (DK: $6,000, FD: $7,300)

There isn’t a better matchup for a three-down back than facing the Chargers, and Barkley has returned to his workhorse usage in recent weeks with snap rates of 87% and 75% in two low-scoring affairs. The Giants offense could get a big lift if Daniel Jones (neck) is able to suit up this Sunday. The Chargers are playing at the fifth-fastest pace in football and the fourth-fastest pace when leading by 7-plus points, so Barkley should get plenty of opportunities.

Fade: Nick Chubb (DK: $7,600, FD: $7,500)

The Browns have been a disaster on offense and will likely look to get creative in an immediate rematch with Baltimore. That means more Kareem Hunt ($5,600; $6,500) and a little less Chubb, who was stonewalled to the tune of 16 rushing yards on eight carries at Baltimore two weeks ago. The Ravens are exposed at the back end without CB Marlon Humphrey (pec) and that could coax Cleveland to throw more and use Hunt as their preferred back in passing situations.

Wide Receiver

Best Play: Stefon Diggs (DK: $8,100, FD: $8,200)

Top receivers had a field day against Tampa last season and the Bucs have only been marginally better in pass coverage this season. If Tampa’s offense continues to light it up, Diggs and Josh Allen could respond with huge lines in a comeback bid. Like Allen, Diggs is seeing far more production on the road, where he averages 89.8 receiving YPG and 15 yards per catch this season.

Value Play: Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (DK: $4,500, FD: $5,700)

Julio Jones (hamstring) is expected to return this week, but it could be in more of a decoy role as he tries to ramp up ahead of the playoffs. A.J. Brown (chest) remains out, leaving Westbrook-Ikhine as the top option against a Jaguars team that ranks 31st in DVOA pass defense and allows a league-high 71% completion rate this season. Ryan Tannehill has an absurd 140.7 passer rating with nine TDs and zero picks over his last four games against Jacksonville.

GPP Play: Amari Cooper (DK: $5,900, FD: $6,700)

While we’re willing to fade Dak Prescott, his top receiver is an appealing buy-low candidate at this price tag. Cooper missed two games with COVID and admitted that he was barely in shape to play last Thursday. Now he’ll face Washington’s 30th-rated pass defense on extra rest. Since joining Dallas in 2018, Cooper is averaging 101.6 receiving YPG with four TDs over five meetings with Washington.

Fade: Chris Godwin (DK: $7,100, FD: $7,700)

Godwin is coming off a franchise-record 15-catch performance against the Falcons and should come back to earth in a tougher matchup against the Bills. The absence of Tre’Davious White will benefit Mike Evans more on the outside, while Godwin still has to contend with Levi Wallace, elite slot CB Taron Johnson, and Buffalo’s highly-rated safeties – Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer. Buffalo allows the fewest fantasy PPG to opposing WRs thanks in no small part to their ability to limit underneath throws to possession receivers like Godwin.

Tight End

Best Play: George Kittle (DK: $6,900, FD: $7,100)

Kittle’s price tag has certainly jumped after a huge performance (9-181-2TD) against Seattle, but he’s worth the cost of his salary in a good matchup. The Bengals are giving up 50.5 receiving YPG with five TDs allowed to TEs through 12 games this season. With Deebo Samuel (groin) unlikely to suit up, Kittle should once again serve as San Francisco’s top receiving option and the Niners should throw early and often against Cincy’s pass-funnel defense.

Value Play: Ricky Seals-Jones (DK: $3,600, FD: $4,500)

After missing three games, Seals-Jones (hip) has returned to practice with a good chance to play against the Cowboys. Logan Thomas just tore his ACL, so Seals-Jones could log a hefty snap rate if active, and he has far more upside than third-string TE John Bates ($3,000; $4,600). Dallas is coughing up the eighth-most receiving YPG (61.1) to opposing TEs and allowing 7.6 yards per attempt on the season.

GPP Play: Dawson Knox (DK: $5,000, FD: $6,000)

Knox has a legitimate shot to finish as the top-scoring TE on this slate if he can convert on some red zone chances this week. The Bills have targeted him twice in the red zone in three straight games and he’s played on at least 91% of offensive snaps in those contests. Tampa has given up the third-most receptions per game (6.3) to TEs due to a blitz-heavy scheme that often leaves the intermediate areas of the field open.

Fade: Travis Kelce (DK: $7,400, FD: $7,500)

Kansas City’s last offensive explosion came in Vegas four weeks ago, but the Raiders are strangely better defensively on the road. Vegas has allowed 20 TDs at home compared to 13 TDs on the road and that comes despite their recent 36-33 shootout in Dallas. Fading Kelce is more about his price tag on a team that is moving away from a pass-first approach to complement its surging defense and avoid turnovers.

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Nate Weitzer Avatar
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Nate Weitzer

Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.

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