Week 17 NFL DFS DraftKings Picks & Lineups
Sixteen weeks of the season are in the books, and we’re back with a full slate of NFL daily fantasy sports games at DraftKings for Week 17. We’re listing our NFL DFS best picks at quarterback, running back, wide receiver and tight end to target in Cash and GPP lineups.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes and slanted toward tournaments. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Injuries can also play a huge role in NFL DFS on a weekly basis. So always, always check the injury reports when playing an NFL slate.
DraftKings DFS Tournaments
Best Week 17 NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks
Jameis Winston vs. ATL ($6.1k DraftKings)
Winston’s season has been tumultuous, but the Bucs quarterback will look to finish on a high note against a team he has dominated in his short career. In four starts against the Falcons, Winston has thrown 14 touchdowns to just three interceptions. At home in Tampa against Atlanta (where Sunday’s game will take place), Winston has thrown six touchdowns in two games while managing to avoid throwing even a single INT.
The Falcons and Bucs are out of the playoff hunt, but there is still plenty of motivation driving some players, notably Winston, who is trying to re-solidify himself as a franchise quarterback. He won’t be able to do that in just one game, but he’s also never thrown for fewer than three touchdowns against Atlanta (in four games). There is some real upside to be had in this one, plus an O/U of 52.
Aaron Rodgers vs. DET ($6.3k DraftKings)
Aaron Rodgers seems motivated; just look at his comments following the Packers’ playoff elimination a few weeks ago. His play supported that last Sunday when his Packers came from behind on the road to beat the Jets. Rodgers threw two touchdowns in that game, along with rushing for two more. All told, he racked up just a fraction of a point shy of 46 on DraftKings. This week, he’ll face a Lions team that, somehow, was more disappointing than the Packers this season. With an implied total of just over 26 points, the Packers are expected to put points on the board. They’re also favored by more than a touchdown. That would worry me, except Rodgers is on the warpath. Whatever his angle heading into the offseason, expect continued accountability on display from Rodgers, who threw 55 times last week. He’ll likely be afforded ample passing opportunities this week against a Detroit team ranking dead last in DVOA vs. the pass.
Josh Allen vs. MIA ($6.0k DraftKings)
If you’re chasing rushing-yard upside, Allen’s your guy. The Bills quarterback torched this Miami defense a month ago to the tune of 135 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. He added two passing touchdowns and 231 yards through the air as well. The Dolphins have allowed the second-most rushing yards this season, and they rank 24th in DVOA vs. the pass. The Bills currently have an implied total of roughly 21, which is not a huge vote of confidence from Vegas. But Allen carries rushing upside, enough to give him one of the highest ceilings at the position. He’ll also be relatively low-owned, making him an excellent leverage option in tournaments.
Cash Game Options: Nick Foles, Patrick Mahomes, Ben Roethlisberger, Lamar Jackson, Matt Ryan
Best Week 17 NFL DFS GPP Running Backs
Chris Carson vs. ARI ($6.5 DraftKings)
The Cardinals are in shambles, and they’re allowing more yards per game on the ground to opposing teams than any other franchise in the league. Carson has been dominant at times this season. In each of his past two games, the Seahawks back has eclipsed 100 rushing yards and scored at least one rushing touchdown (last week, he had two). He’s also seen more than 20 carries in each of the past two games. With the Seahawks favored to win this game by 13.5 points (that’s more than the Cards’ implied total of 12.5), Seattle should look to get in and out with a win. The ground is how they should do it, and the past few weeks suggest they are more than comfortable executing that gameplan with Carson.
Jalen Richard @ KC ($4.2 DraftKings)
The Raiders and Chiefs are at very different stages at this point in the season, but regardless of the playoffs aspirations in Kansas City, they struggle mightily against opposing running backs. Since Marshawn Lynch landed on IR, the Raiders haven’t had much of a run game, but Jalen Richard is unique as he’s primarily a pass-catching back. Ranking 32nd and 28th in DVOA vs. the run and DVOA vs. RBs in the passing game, respectively, the Chiefs are exploitable with the right weapon. Richard has at least five targets in each of his last two games, and he managed a rushing touchdown last week. He’ll be little owned, as well, which adds to his appeal from a leverage perspective.
Jeffery Wilson @ LA ($4.4 DraftKings)
Matt Breida has been ruled out for Week 17, which paves the way for Wilson to take on an expanded role. He disappointed with under 30 yards on 11 carries, but that was against the Chicago Bears. This week, he’ll face a defense ranking 29th in DVOA vs. the run in the LA Rams. With Dante Pettis also missing Week 17 for the Niners, there will be even more potential work for Wilson. The matchup is there, and the salary is low. And with Breida missing, Wilson could potentially see something like the nine targets he garnered against Seattle at the start of this month. That’s tremendous upside for a guy in this salary range.
Cash Game Options: Elijah McGuire, Jamaal Williams, Saquon Barkley, Damien Williams, C.J. Anderson, Melvin Gordon, Sony Michel
Best Week 17 NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers
Robert Woods @ ARI ($6.6 DraftKings)
We ran with Woods in this very spot last week, and it paid off. The Rams receiver reeled in six receptions for 89 yards and a touchdown. He added another 15 yards on the ground, along with a score. All told, he walked away with 28.4 DraftKings points. This week, he’ll face a bad 49ers team, one that ranks 26th against WR2. Woods has scored double-digit DraftKings points in all but one game this season—the very first. Without Cooper Kupp, and potentially without Todd Gurley, the Rams need all they can get from Woods.
Davante Adams vs. DET ($8.0 DraftKings)
Adams also made the list last week. And he also delivered, with 24.1 DraftKings points. Adams was targeted a massive 18 times. He reeled in a touchdown but failed to amass even 80 yards. While the Packers are heavy favorites against the Lions, Adams’ workload is secure, and Aaron Rodgers is still playing like these games mean something. Even with the blowout potential, Adams has arguably the highest WR ceiling on the slate and faces a team that’s dead last in DVOA vs. WR1.
Isaiah McKenzie vs. MIA ($3.7 DraftKings)
The Bills face the Dolphins at home in Week 17, and the newfound threat McKenzie should play a role. The Bills have attempted to get him involved over the past few weeks, as he has at least seven targets in each of the past three games. That’s a great cost-per-target rate, and the Dolphins rank 24th in DVOA against the pass. Since Zay Jones has struggled to produce throughout this season, McKenzie has stepped up. And with an implied total of 24 points in this one, the Bills ought to produce some points. Look for McKenzie to claim a reasonable workload, and maybe even find the end zone for the first time this season.
Mike Evans vs. ATL ($7.7 DraftKings)
Evans will look to cap off this season with a big performance against Atlanta, a defense that ranks 27th in DVOA vs. WR1. The Bucs are also in the midst of an apparent falling out with DeSean Jackson, which puts an even greater emphasis on one of their only stable producers. Evans and the Bucs currently carry an implied total of 26.5 as slight home favorites (-1.5). The star wideout scored just 9.5 DraftKings points against the Falcons earlier this season, but he’s coming off a 21 DK-point performance against a tough Dallas defense in his last game. The Bucs might not have anything to play for, but as an individual, Evans carries the highest upside on his team for fantasy owners.
Robby Anderson @ NE ($5.6 DraftKings)
The Jets might be out of the playoffs, but Robby Anderson is on a real heater. He’s increased his DraftKing-point production in three consecutive weeks, capped off by a 32 DK-point performance last week. This week, he’ll face a New England defense that is below average against WR1. With so many injuries to the Jets, and nothing left to lose, Anderson should be a focal point of an offense desperately trying to steal a win from New England. Anderson has double-digit targets in consecutive weeks. And he should see the same this week, which provides a lot of upside at this price tier.
Cash Game Options: DeAndre Hopkins, Donte Moncrief, Ted Ginn, Kendrick Bourne, Antonio Brown, Curtis Samuel, Julian Edelman, Courtland Sutton, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, Adam Thielen
Best Week 17 NFL DFS Tight Ends
Travis Kelce vs. OAK ($7.2 DraftKings)
The Chiefs currently carry an implied total of more than 33 points, and Travis Kelce should turn things around after two disappointing weeks (in which he still broke double-digit DK points). Last week, we recommended paying up for Zach Ertz, and that worked out well. With Kelce facing a defense ranking dead last in DVOA vs. TE, we’re recommending paying up again. The Chiefs are still attempting to find the right post-Kareem Hunt rhythm, but they’re still scoring a bunch too. Kelce doesn’t need a lot to go right to impress. And against a woeful Raiders defense, he has immense upside at a position where that usually isn’t a promise.
Jimmy Graham vs. DET ($3.4 DraftKings)
Long gone are the days of Jimmy Graham as an elite tight end, it seems. But that could be more his new situation in Green Bay than anything. The veteran tight end will get a terrific matchup to cap off his season in the form of the Detroit Lions, a defense ranked second to last in DVOA vs. tight ends. Graham has just eight targets over the past two weeks, but the Packers are expected to score more than 26 points in this one. With the future of the team uncertain, and Rodgers still hellbent on winning, Graham has some upside at his low salary, along with some leverage due to his expected low ownership.
Cash Game Options: Zach Ertz, David Njoku, Gerald Everett, George Kittle, Christopher Herndon
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