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NFL DFS

The Week 15 NFL schedule includes a premier Sunday night matchup between the Eagles and Rams. For this game and every other primetime contest, we’ll break down the sports betting lines and recommend where to place your bets at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook.

This advice is also relevant for fantasy contests on sites such as DraftKings and FanDuel and can be helpful in seasonal fantasy leagues as well.

Keep an eye on injury news right up until kick off since things can change quickly in the NFL. Any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if they don’t respond well in warm-ups.

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Week 15 Sunday Night Football Betting Odds

Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams

DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Rams -12.5, 52 total
888 Sportsbook OddsRams -13, 52 total
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Rams -13, 52 total
BetStars Sportsbook OddsRams -13, 52 total

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NFL Week 15 Sunday Night Football Breakdown

Let’s start with the plummeting Eagles. With Carson Wentz (back) out for the season, Nick Foles takes over under center for the Eagles.

Under the guidance of former OC Frank Reich (now the Colts HC), Foles shocked the world by shredding the Vikings and Patriots defenses to win the Super Bowl last season. Yet expectations should be tempered on the road against a Rams team searching for a resounding bounce-back win.

The Eagles offense is struggling after losing former QBs coach John DeFilippo as well as Reich in the offseason. They now rank 17th in TDs per drive and 19th in points per red zone trip. Those numbers came despite the strong pocket presence and excellent escapability of Wentz. Since Foles lacks those tools, the Eagles will likely implement a quick-hitting passing approach to neutralize the Rams strong pass rush. Over 73 percent of passes attempted by Foles this season have gone to RBs, TEs, or slot WRs. That’s a trend we can expect to continue.

The Rams struggling pass defense has improved thanks in part to the return of Aqib Talib from a bad ankle sprain. They’ve allowed just 208 passing yards over their last two games, moving up to sixth in DVOA pass defense. Talib has contained plus-sized receivers Kenny Golladay and Allen Robinson in those contests. By that evidence, he should be able to neutralize Alshon Jeffery.

Philly is rotating Golden Tate into the slot along with Nelson Agholor, but both WRs face a tough corner in Nickell Robey-Coleman.

Elsewhere, Zach Ertz caught 16 of 23 targets when Foles started in Weeks 1 and 2. The Rams have allowed the sixth-most receiving yards (874) to TEs this season, and Ertz remains the best bet for production in DFS contests on DraftKings and FanDuel in an otherwise inconsistent Eagles offense.

While the Rams rank 24th in DVOA rush defense and yield a notable 5.8 YPC at home this season, the Eagles aren’t well-equipped to capitalize on that weakness. That’s because Philly ranks 25th in DVOA rush offense and 25th in power run-blocking this season.

Josh Adams is likely to lead the backfield, and his role is a bit more secure with Corey Clement (knee) out. Gameflow should lead to more of a pass-heavy approach, and Darren Sproles is capable of piling up short receptions with the Eagles in comeback mode.

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Coming off a stunning six-point outing in cold Chicago, the Rams return home on Sunday night. That’s where Jared Goff is completing 70 percent of his passes with an 18:2 TD:INT ratio and averaging 366.5 passing YPG this season.

More importantly though, the Eagles defense has been completely ransacked by injuries. CBs Jalen Mills (foot), Ronald Darby (knee), FS Rodney McLeod (foot), and DE Derek Barnett are all on I.R. Additionally, MLB Jordan Hicks (calf), CB Sidney Jones (hamstring), and FS Avonte Maddox (knee) will all miss tonight’s contest.

To compensate for his injury-depleted secondary, DC Jim Schwartz has devoted more resources to the back end. The Eagles have struggled in run defense as a result, yielding a ridiculous 6.06 YPC and over 100 yards in five straight appearances.

Therefore, Todd Gurley is in line for a monstrous outing after posting quiet lines due to a mild ankle injury against the Chiefs and thanks to the Bears’ league-leading defense. Philly also allows the seventh-most receiving YPG (53.8) to opposing RBs. Gurley averages 13.13 yards per reception on the fast turf at L.A. Coliseum.

At receiver, Robert Woods has become the most consistent weapon with a team-high 32 targets over three weeks since Cooper Kupp (knee) went down with a torn ACL. Brandin Cooks is mixing in as a downfield threat and has big-play potential against an Eagles team that’s allowed the third-most pass plays (51) of 20-plus yards this season.

Additionally, Josh Reynolds should get opportunities to make plays in the red zone and down the field. He’s recorded 233 air yards over his last three games and could be overlooked with Philly devoting extra resources to contain Woods, Cooks, and Gurley. At tight end, Gerald Everett surpassed Tyler Higbee in terms of playing time (57% snap rate) and routes run (29) last week. The Eagles rank ninth in DVOA pass defense this year and have been stout against the position for several seasons.

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NFL Week 15 Picks

The Rams rank third in yards and points per drive, as well as drive success rate this season. At home, there is no doubt Sean McVay will guide his offense to a bounce-back effort.

With Wentz ruled out, the line has moved from Rams (-9) up to Rams (-13) in some spots. The point total has dropped from 54 to 52 at most books. The main question is: Will the Eagles be able to keep pace with Foles under center?

The Rams are likely to hit their projected team total of 32.5 points, but the Eagles have few favorable matchups on offense. The public expects a shootout with over 60 percent of bets down on the Over, but the sharps continue to move the line down with 75 percent of bets on the Under.

We still like the Over (52), especially if you see this thing hit 51.5 anywhere before kickoff.

Despite the rising line, 59 percent of bets and 60% of the money is still on the Rams (-13) to cover a lofty spread at home. Betting on a two-touchdown spread in a game between two teams of quality is always riskier than taking a chance on the point total in today’s NFL. If anything, we would advise taking the desperate Eagles (+13) to cover, capitalizing on the public perception that Foles will render their offense ineffective.

Excluding a 34-0 win over Arizona in Week 2, every contest at L.A. Coliseum has topped 56 combined points, and the average total (skewed by the historic MNF shootout with KC) is over 70 points. The Rams are 21st in points allowed per drive and 20th in red zone defense. While the Eagles are third in red zone defense, the Rams’ elite offense and Gurley’s reliability against a struggling front seven should prevail in a perceived tough matchup.

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