Week 14 NFL DFS DraftKings Picks & Lineups
Thirteen weeks of the season are in the books, and we’re back with a full slate of NFL DFS games at DraftKings for Week 14. We’re listing our NFL DFS best picks at quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end to target in Cash and GPP lineups.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes and slanted toward tournaments. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Injuries can also play a huge role in NFL DFS on a weekly basis. So always, always check the injury reports when playing an NFL slate.
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Best Week 14 NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks
Jameis Winston vs. NO ($6.2k DraftKings)
Winston has now posted back-to-back two-touchdown weeks, and he’ll face the Saints on Sunday to attempt to build on that. And he’ll need to if the Bucs want to compete in this one. Tampa Bay is currently slated to score roughly 24 points this weekend, which is around where they netted out over the past two weeks. Now, the Saints have a good defense, but they rank 22nd in DVOA vs. the pass. While I don’t expect Winston to have much support from the run, what else is new? The Bucs will need a performance out of Winston, and the sheer scoring in this one provides more than enough upside for the Bucs’ signal caller. He’ll be fairly popular, but he’s a terrific leverage play if you think the Bucs are in a position to steal one from New Orleans.
Deshaun Watson ($5.9k DraftKings)
Watson’s importance to the Texans cannot be overstated. Same for his week-to-week upside. Last week, he laid an egg against the Cleveland Browns, but his services weren’t really required in that blowout. The same cannot be said this week. The Indianapolis Colts are competitive once again, raised from the dead thanks to Andrew Luck. With Luck, they’re always in games, and shootouts are always possible. The Colts defense has been solid most of this season, but they are below average against the pass (21st in DVOA). Meanwhile, they rank 4th in DVOA vs. the run. Vegas has Houston’s implied total at 27, and it doesn’t sound like a “Lamar Miller” game. This should have Watson’s fingerprints all over it. He stands as a low-risk leverage play with upside, especially at a discount from the chalk options.
Josh Allen vs. NYJ ($5.6k DraftKings)
Don’t look now, but Josh Allen has scored 26.3 and 33.74 DraftKings points over his past two games (against Jacksonville and Miami, respectively). The Jets defense ranks 12th in DVOA vs. the pass, but that might not do much to stop Allen’s athleticism. The rookie has 234 rushing yards over his past two games, including 135 last week alone. The Jets probably have enough tape on their opponent to at least prevent a 100+ yard rushing effort, but at what cost? If they allow Allen to take advantage of lighter coverage, he could match or exceed the 231 passing yards he racked up last week. And as for passing touchdowns? The Jets have allowed, on average, two per game over their past three, and Allen spun two TD passes last week against Miami. He’s a terrific leverage play, as the masses flock to the chalk.
Cash Game Options: Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, Drew Brees, Lamar Jackson
Best Week 14 NFL DFS GPP Running Backs
Mark Ingram @ TB ($5.7 DraftKings)
The Bucs rank 30th in DVOA against the run, and Ingram is probably the least egregiously priced member of the Saints offense. Drew Brees and Alvin Kamara aren’t necessarily overpriced, but Ingram gives you upside and exposure to the highest implied total (and game total) on the slate. The Saints offense stalled against the Dallas Cowboys to close out their November, but Tampa offers little in terms of defense. The Bucs rank third-to-last in DVOA, while their offense has scored an impressive 51 points over their past two games, largely thanks to the re-emergence of Jameis Winston. Still, it’s hard to imagine Tampa Bay posing much of a threat, and the Saints are currently sitting at -8. Ingram should get enough work to pay off that salary, while the Bucs weakness against the run gives him additional upside.
Tevin Coleman @ GB ($4.4 DraftKings)
Coleman has spent seemingly his entire career disappointing fantasy owners. That’s not really a fair gauge, but, alas, here we are. This week, the veteran will get a nice matchup against the Packers, who rank fourth worst in DVOA against the run, and they are almost equally as bad at stopping backs from catching passes and running amok downfield. Coleman doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence, but that’s partially why he’s here — the leverage. That said, the Falcons back is just one month removed from a 32-DK-point performance against Washington. The Packers are a worse defense, and they just fired their head coach. Maybe that inspires this Packers defense. To me, it’s just another reason to buy low on Coleman. When he was priced up $2k several weeks ago, Coleman offered very little upside. My, how that’s changed. Take the leverage and get some differentiation on the field.
Jaylen Samuels @ OAK ($3.7 DraftKings)
He’s expected to split time with Stevan Ridley, but Samuels will get the start for the Steelers on Sunday in place of the injured James Conner. Samuels has just 12 carries and seven receptions this season, and he should probably expect to nearly double his season count for touches in this one game. The Raiders are second to last in DVOA vs. the run, and they’re also just generally bad. Samuels has a clear path to hitting value. And he’s got clear matchup upside beyond that. Fade at your own risk.
Cash Game Options: Christian McCaffrey, Aaron Jones, Jeffery Wilson, Justin Jackson, Ezekiel Elliott
Best Week 14 NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers
Chris Godwin vs. NO ($4.9 DraftKings)
DeSean Jackson’s season is in doubt, and, hey, the Bucs’ season is pretty much over. But they have played competitively as of late, picking up wins in two straight. Chris Godwin has been one big reason why, and his 101-yard, one-touchdown performance last week showcased just why he made our list for DraftKings 100th Millionaire Special. Well, we’re going back this week. The Bucs will need to throw in order to keep up with the New Orleans Saints, and Godwin’s six targets last week were the most he has seen since his last 100-yard game, almost a month prior against Washington. With Winston playing well, and the Saints defense ranking 32nd against WR2, Godwin is more than worth a strong look. There aren’t a lot of red flags here.
Larry Fitzgerald vs. DET ($4.9 DraftKings)
With Christian Kirk sent to IR, Fitzgerald and David Johnson are all that remains of a once-promising Cardinals roster, one which could not survive the quarterback drought. Palmer’s absence has been shockingly apparent each week. Even dead-arm Carson could find ways to get Johnson involved.
But I digress. The Cardinals don’t have much to offer opposing defenses, but fortunately, Detroit has a bad one. The Lions rank 25th in DVOA vs. WR1 and 30th in DVOA vs. the pass. DJ seems to have vanished this season, and there really is no depth at wide receiver. By default, Fitzgerald should see more work than typical, giving him the most upside he’s had in weeks. He’s also a terrific leverage play, as very few will target this game (for good reason), and game-log-watchers will flee on first sight. Don’t fret. Fitzgerald is a veteran with the clock ticking. I only see his usage going up this week in what could be a surprisingly efficient offensive day for both squads.
Courtland Sutton @ SF ($4.5 DraftKings)
After 85 yards and a touchdown last week, Sutton is seeing a bump in his price, especially with Emmanuel Sanders set to miss this one. Sutton has immense upside on a larger scale (think: three years out), but the Broncos are pushing him along aggressively. Fine by me. Sutton faces a defense in the 49ers who are just slightly below average in DVOA vs. WR1. I wouldn’t be on him if Sanders was in, but the lack of options in Denver should mean more volume for the rookie. Vegas has the Broncos’ implied total at 24.8. That will be difficult to hit without strong work from Sutton.
Keenan Allen vs. CIN ($7.4k DraftKings)
It’s still up in the air whether Melvin Gordon suits up, and that is critical when it comes to rostering Allen. Regardless of Gordon’s status, he’s cash viable. However, if Gordon is out, Allen’s upside is impossible to ignore. He flashed it last week against the Steelers when he scored just shy of 40 DraftKings points. This week, he’ll face a lesser defense from Cincinnati. The Bengals rank 28th overall in DVOA, and Allen hasn’t scored fewer than 20 DraftKings points in any of his last three games. He’s one of the NFL’s finest, and he’ll be one of DFS’s this week too if he’s forced to shoulder the load once again.
Davante Adams vs. ATL ($8.4 DraftKings)
Adams is the third-most expensive receiver on this slate, but that’s for good reason. In just his last eight games, he has gone for over 100 yards four times and caught eight touchdowns. The Falcons rank 28th in DVOA vs. WR1, and Adams has over 20 DraftKings points in three of his last four games. The Packers will almost certainly have some sort of chip on their shoulder, for better or worse, given the firing of Mike McCarthy. But they remain favorites in this one, with an implied total of 27.5. And if Mike McCarthy turns out to be the equivalent of a (longer-tenured) Jason Kidd (you see what the Bucks are doing this season?), then there’s even more upside than usual if Rodgers is unleashed. Then, maybe then, Packers fans can R-E-L-A-X.
Cash Game Options: Adam Humphries, DeAndre Hopkins, DaeSean Hamilton, Bruce Ellington, Amari Cooper
Best Week 14 NFL DFS Tight Ends
Travis Kelce vs. BAL ($6.7 DraftKings)
He’s expensive, and the Ravens have a good defense, but how can you not be thinking Kelce here? Baltimore’s weakness is against the tight end, so even though I believe the Chiefs will have more problems than usual, Kelce should get his. He has 31.7 and 42.8 DraftKings points in his last two weeks, respectively, and it’s clear he is going to rake in a lot of work left behind by Kareem Hunt. Look, his salary is a lot. But Kelce may have the highest upside of anyone on this slate. With 28 targets combined over his past two games, you know his volume is safe. With Baltimore typically capable of finding success at stopping other positions, look for Patrick Mahomes to seek out Kelce in this one, early and often.
Vance McDonald @ OAK ($3.8 DraftKings)
It’s hard to feel good about a guy who infrequently finds his way to double-digit DraftKings points. But the matchup is right, and McDonald has upside in this one as a result. The Raiders rank dead last in DVOA vs. TE. And with James Conner set to miss Sunday, and Big Ben playing where he struggles (on the road, anywhere, it seems), we may not see the same explosive offense we’re used to from Pittsburgh. However, the gritty McDonald has made a career of being a strong all-around player. He saw two-thirds of Pittsburgh’s offensive snaps last week and could see an uptick given the Steelers’ short-handedness. This is a lesson in opportunity, one to which James Conner can attest. McDonald is a unique option that gets you leverage at a low cost. Consider him in GPPs only.
Cash Game Options: Eric Ebron, Zach Ertz, Christopher Herndon
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