Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
12/7/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Big Jam: $10 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $115k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $15 entry, $400k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Slam: $77 entry, $200k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for December 7, 2018
Best Guards for December 7, 2018
Steph Curry @ MIL ($10.0k DraftKings, $9.9k FanDuel)
The Warriors were embarrassed by Milwaukee last month in the same game Steph Curry suffered a groin injury. Needless to say, he’ll be motivated to carry the momentum of Wednesday’s 42-point eruption into a rematch with the Eastern Conference contenders. Milwaukee ranks fourth in pace and is launching the second-most three per game (40.6) this season while facing the seventh-most attempts. The Warriors lead the league in 3-point shooting (39.1%) and, of course, Curry leads the league in true shooting percentage (69.3%) with the second-best 3-point percentage (50.3%). He owns a ridiculous 144 offensive rating over his last two appearances and projects for huge FP totals in a game where the Warriors (+1.5) are slight underdogs.
Jimmy Butler @ DET ($7.4k DraftKings, $8.1k FanDuel)
When the 76ers struggle, they turn to Jimmy Butler. He was the only force keeping them competitive in Toronto Wednesday and will be needed against a Pistons team that ranks eighth in defensive rating. Detroit leads the league in 3-point defense but is also 26th in opponents 2-point shooting (54.0%) and ranks 25th in DvP against opposing SGs over the last 14 days. The great thing about Butler is his offensive versatility. He’ll take what the defense gives him and fill the stat sheet in competitive games. He’s averaging 23.9 PPG, 5.9 RPG, and 6.4 APG over his last five appearances against Detroit’s familiar defense.
Jamal Murray @ CHA ($7.1k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)
We’d advise paying up at guard tonight and trying to fit Jamal Murray into GPP lineups for increased upside. With Gary Harris (hip) ruled out, Denver’s backcourt offers values in Monte Morris and Malik Beasley, but Murray is obviously the preferred play. He boasts an average increase of 9.4 DK PPG when Harris sits. Murray just dropped 31 points with 8 assists in Orlando and will look to stay hot on the road against the Hornets. Charlotte yields the fifth-most PPG (21.44) and most 3PTM (2.57) per game to opposing PGs this season. Murray has the potential for 5.7x salary returns with a projection of 40.3 DK points per models on FantasyLabs.
Other guards to consider: DeMar DeRozan, Jrue Holiday, Kemba Walker, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Reggie Jackson, Jordan Clarkson, Tyler Johnson, Allen Crabbe, Josh Hart
Best Forwards for December 7, 2018
Kawhi Leonard @ BKN ($9.7k DraftKings, $10.2k FanDuel)
When he plays, and the game remains close, Kawhi Leonard nearly has the same ceiling as the other superstar forwards listed on tonight’s slate. Yet he’s not priced in the same range. Brooklyn (+9) may be a sizable underdog after losing eight straight, but the Nets only fell by two to a red-hot Thunder squad. They also recently took Memphis to double overtime. Leonard should eat against a team that ranks 23rd in DvP against opposing SFs over the last 14 days with Allen Crabbe and Joe Harris logging the bulk of minutes on the wing. While he’s only played six road games this year, Kawhi is averaging 24 PPG and 9.5 RPG in those contests. The Nets yield the third-most RPG (46.5) this season, giving Leonard a solid projection of 48 DK points withe a ceiling of 64.1 per FantasyLabs.
Rudy Gay vs. LAL ($5.9k DraftKings, $5.8k FanDuel)
The Spurs and Lakers face off again two nights after getting into a shootout that combined for 234 points. This game has been assigned a 226-point total in San Antonio, and the Spurs dropped a whopping 135 points in their last home game. Regardless, Rudy Gay is worth a look after trading buckets with LeBron James and company en route to 31 points on 12-of-21 FG shooting. San Antonio ranks 29th in defensive rating, and the Lakers are bottom five against every position over the last 14 days. This should be another up-and-down game with positive box scores from both sides.
JaMychal Green @ NO ($4.5k DraftKings, $5.2k FanDuel)
JaMychal Green continues to ramp up after missing 12 games with a broken jaw. He’s the cheaper Grizzlies forward (Jaren Jackson Jr. being the other) and could benefit if Anthony Davis (ankle) is inactive or limited tonight. Davis should have his hands full with Marc Gasol if active, and the Pelicans rank 28th in DvP against opposing PFs over the last 14 days even with The Brow lurking in the paint. Green is more efficient with his playing time this year, posting per-36 minute averages of 16.4 points, 10.9 rebounds, and 2.8 STL/BLK. He averaged 10 PPG and 10.3 RPG against fast-paced New Orleans last year, and the Pels are third in pace once again.
Other forwards to consider: LeBron James, Blake Griffin, Domantas Sabonis, Lauri Markkanen, Khris Middleton, Josh Jackson, Joe Harris, Richaun Holmes
Best Centers for December 7, 2018
Andre Drummond vs. PHI ($8.6k DraftKings, $8.8k FanDuel)
Because he couldn’t stay out of foul trouble against the Thunder (due to Westbrook) or Bucks (Antetokounmpo), Andre Drummond looks like he’s been a lame duck lately. He’s at least priced that way. Yet he’s fully capable of exploiting Joel Embiid and a 76ers team that yields the most FPPG (49.76) to opposing centers this year. Embiid has bested Drummond in consecutive outings to open the year, but Big Dre is still worth a look as a contrarian option for tournaments. He’s averaging 14 PPG and 16.6 RPG at home this year and has a high floor against a Sixers team that is seventh in pace and gives up the eighth-most RPG (44) this year.
Bam Adebayo @ PHO ($4.2k DraftKings, $5.5k FanDuel)
Apparently, Hassan Whiteside left the court early on Wednesday for good reason. He’ll miss Friday’s game due to the birth of his child. That opens the door for Bam Adebayo to eat against the Suns’ 28th-ranked defense. Phoenix is playing its third game in four nights and second night in a row. Rookie Deandre Ayton has been a mediocre defender, as the Suns rank 19th in DvP against opposing centers and 28th in opponent 2-point shooting (54.9%). Adebayo averages 14.2 points, 13 rebounds, and 2.8 STL/BLK per 36 minutes this year and has the second-higher per-dollar rating in DK models on FantasyLabs. Adebayo can’t serve as a value at center on FD, but we like Brook Lopez ($5.3k) on that site.
Other centers to consider: Joel Embiid, Nikola Jokic, Tristan Thompson, Kelly Olynyk