Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
12/3/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Big Jam: $10 entry, $350k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Four Point Play: $4 entry, $125k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $9.99 entry, $300k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $50,000 to 1st!
Slam: $44 entry, $125k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for December 3, 2018
Best Guards for December 3, 2018
Steph Curry @ ATL ($9.5k DraftKings, $9.7k FanDuel)
While he was quiet in his return from a groin injury, Steph Curry is bound to erupt in one of his next few appearances. There’s a chance that happens tonight since the Warriors (-11.5) aren’t necessarily expected to blow out the Hawks on the road. As long as this game remains close, Curry should thrive against an opponent that leads the league in pace and allows the most 3PTM (13) per game this season. Atlanta also allows the most assists, steals, and FTA, all of which are keys to Curry’s production. He’s been having the most efficient season of his career and should have little trouble getting good shots against Trae Young and the Hawks.
Jamal Murray @ TOR ($6.4k DraftKings, $7.0k FanDuel)
This is a huge game for Jamal Murray in his native Canada. He only managed 15 points in a visit to Toronto last March, but played 40 minutes with a chance for a bigger game if not for inaccurate 6-of-18 FG shooting. Murray went for 24 points on 8-of-10 FG shooting in a home game against the Raptors earlier last season and is even more of a chucker this year with a 24.2% usage rate and he’s posting a career-high 20.1% assist rate. While he remains a GPP play, Murray has established good consistency with averages of 17.7 PPG and 5.2 APG this month. Kyle Lowry (back) could miss this game, which would improve Murray’s individual matchup. Murray has the potential for 5.4x salary returns with a ceiling of 49.2 DraftKings points in pro models on FantasyLabs.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander @ NO ($5.5k DraftKings, $6.0k FanDuel)
Both of these fast-paced teams played on Sunday and this game could top its lofty 235-point Over/Under as a result. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is unlikely to suffer from fatigue at just 20 years old, and he’s gained a stranglehold on PG duties for the first-place Clippers. When these teams met in October, Patrick Beverley flirted with a triple-double, while “SGA” came off the bench for 20 DraftKings points on a 22.4% usage rate. The rookie continues to become more involved with a 21.2% usage rate and 19.3% assist rate over his last 5 appearances and faces a Pelicans team that gives up the eighth-most PPG (21.01) and FPPG (40.76) to opposing PGs this season.
Emmanuel Mudiay vs. WAS ($5.0k DraftKings, $5.0k FanDuel)
Emmanuel Mudiay is finally starting to show flashes of his potential. He dropped 27 points in a plus matchup at home against the Pelicans, then went for 28 points and 7 assists with the game-winning shot in his next home game against the Bucks. The Knicks stay home tonight to face Washington’s 29th-rated defense and Mudiay is locked into big minutes with Trey Burke (knee) ruled out. The Wizards are giving up a league-high 122.4 PPG and 27.1 APG on the road, while Mudiay averages 15 PPG with a 26% usage rate at MSG this year.
Other guards to consider: James Harden, Jrue Holiday, Tim Hardaway Jr., Lou Williams, Andrew Wiggins, Gary Harris, Fred VanVleet, Damyean Dotson, Allen Crabbe
Best Forwards for December 3, 2018
Anthony Davis vs. LAC ($11.5k DraftKings, $12.7k FanDuel)
If this is the premier game to target on tonight’s 7-game slate, then Anthony Davis is clearly the premier stud to target. He’s given the Clippers trouble with averages of 30.3 PPG and 11.7 RPG over their last 5 meetings and has a much easier path to success with DeAndre Jordan replaced by subpar defender Marcin Gortat at center. Davis averaged 30.3 PPG and 3.4 BPG with a 31.6% usage rate when playing on 0 days rest last season and is set up for success against a fast-paced Clippers team that yields 115.8 PPG and 46.8 RPG on the road. Despite his lofty price tag, Davis has the best per-dollar rating of any player on FantasyLabs tonight.
Pascal Siakam vs. DEN ($6.0k DraftKings, $6.8k FanDuel)
After a strong start to the season, Denver’s defense has collapsed lately. The Nuggets are bottom 10 in DvP rank against ever position over the last 14 days and give up the third-most FPPG (45.88) to opposing PFs this season. Paul Millsap doesn’t match up well against Pascal Siakam, an athletic and versatile forward with expanding range and great slashing ability. When Kyle Lowry is off the floor, which he may well be tonight, Siakam sees a 1.9% increase in usage and averages 1.04 FPs per minute. He’s averaging 23.8 points (132 offensive rating) per 100 possessions this season and is playing 32 MPG since the start of November.
Markieff Morris @ NY ($5.9k DraftKings, $6.6k FanDuel)
The Wizards remain competitive despite their horrendous defense because their offense is coming alive. Markieff Morris has keyed that improvement as a stud off the bench with averages of 15.9 PPG and 7.7 RPG while playing 29.4 MPG over his last 7 appearances. He rebounded from a dud in Philly with a strong outing against the improved Nets defense and will face a Knicks team that ranks 27th in defensive rating while allowing the third-most 3PTM (11.7) this season. Morris has been invited to fire with 40 3-point attempts during those last 7 outings and his role will be even more secure should Jeff Green (back) miss another game.
Other forwards to consider: Blake Griffin, Kawhi Leonard, Tobias Harris, Robert Covington, Danilo Gallinari, Noah Vonleh, Taurean Prince, Kent Bazemore, Kelly Oubre Jr.
Best Centers for December 3, 2018
Karl-Anthony Towns vs. HOU ($9.0k DraftKings, $9.4k FanDuel)
The Wolves are running everything through Karl-Anthony Towns, and that almost assuredly means a big line tonight with the high-scoring Rockets coming to town. Towns is once again thriving in home games with averages of 20.8 PPG and 13.8 RPG while shooting 43% from downtown in Minnesota this season. He averaged 23.8 PPG, 14.8 RPG, and 2.5 BPG over 4 meetings with Houston last year. The Rockets are giving up the fourth-most PPG (23.4) to opposing centers over the past two weeks. Towns is a great Cash play with a floor of 34 DK points and a ceiling of 66.2 DK points per FantasyLabs.
Steven Adams @ DET ($6.4k DraftKings, $7.3k FanDuel)
Steven Adams has been a great Cash play on DraftKings all year and has sneaky upside on FanDuel with his defensive stats rising considerably. The strong center is averaging 15.6 PPG, 11.8 RPG, and 2.1 STL/BLK per game on the road this season. He’ll face a Pistons team tonight that lacks discipline when facing elite guards and will likely sell out to stop Russell Westbrook, opening the door for easy buckets for Adams. Detroit ranks dead last in DvP against opposing centers while yielding 52.71 FPPG to the position over the last 14 days. Adams is capable of going toe-to-toe with Andre Drummond and posting comparable results in DFS contests.
Other centers to consider: Andre Drummond, Montrezl Harrell, Tristan Thompson, John Collins, Mason Plumlee