Week 13 in the NFL concludes with Redskins vs. Eagles on Monday Night Football. For this game and every other primetime contest, we’ll break down the sports betting lines and recommend where to place your bets at DraftKings Sportsbook, BetStars, and FanDuel Sportsbook.
Keep an eye on injury news right up until kick off since things can change quickly in the NFL. Any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if he doesn’t respond well in warm-ups.
Week 13 Monday Night Football Betting Odds
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles
It is more difficult than usual to get a bead on the best DFS plays in this matchup between two struggling offensive teams with full-blown committees at multiple positions.
The Eagles gave RB Josh Adams 22 carries, and he churned out 84 rushing yards, last week against the Giants. That was the highest total for an Eagles RB this season. Adams popped up on the injury report after injuring his hip in practice Saturday.
While Adams should continue to lead the committee, Corey Clement is a threat to take over if the former shows any limitations from that hip stinger. Meanwhile, Darren Sproles (hamstring) is expected to return from a lengthy absence and handle some passing-down work. Finally, Wendell Smallwood could steal some touches despite his relative inefficacy.
Washington has given up the sixth-most receptions (71) to opposing RBs this season and is notably allowing 5.01 YPC over the last month. Washington’s defensive line ranks 30th in adjusted line yards allowed.
The Redskins have been very vulnerable in pass defense over the last month, culminating in a 180-yard, two-touchdown eruption from Amari Cooper on Thanksgiving. They have now allowed 285-plus passing yards in four of their last five games and are allowing the third-highest YAC per reception in the NFL.
Golden Tate has yet to post a big game for the Eagles but has drawn eight targets in consecutive games. He is the best bet to break a big play from a short gain. On that note, Washington’s conservative defense shaves 10 percent off the average depth of target (aDOT) this year.
Zach Ertz remains the favorite target for Carson Wentz and is too talented to be ignored. He was limited by the Saints defense in a beatdown two weeks ago, and Washington hasn’t allowed a TE to go over 60 yards this season, but that’s mostly due to a lack of elite opponents at the position. Ertz has seen an average of 10 targets per game. He is worth a look as always in DFS contests on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Alshon Jeffery will get opportunities to run routes right at RCB Quinton Dunbar (shin), who is questionable. The Skins are using Josh Norman as a stationary LCB once again, and the Eagles could be content to “sacrifice” Nelson Agholor to his coverage. Agholor has basically become irrelevant since Tate was acquired.
Wentz is averaging 294.4 passing YPG with a 72.4% completion rate and 106.4 passer rating at home this season. He torched the Redskins for 4 TDs and 268 yards on 10.72 Y/A in a start at Century Link last year.
Colt McCoy taking over at QB may be a blessing for the Redskins. They rank 29th in yards per attempt and 25th in passing YPG this year with Alex Smith (leg, I.R.) mostly running the show.
Washington has lost three starting offensive linemen (Trent Williams, Brandon Scherff, and Josh Lauvao) for the season. Thus, their running game has predictably struggled.
Adrian Peterson has managed just 3.05 YPC over the past month. The Eagles’ usually stout run defense has sprung leaks during that same span but will be fired up for a key divisional matchup. They are fully capable of denying “AP” any sort of traction.
Philadelphia does rank 25th in DVOA pass defense against opposing RBs and has allowed the fifth-most receptions (72) to the position this year. Therefore, Chris Thompson (ribs) will be worth a look as he returns from a lengthy absence this Monday.
Despite dealing with several injuries to key members of their secondary, the Eagles have held their own on the back end thanks to superior scheming from DC Jim Schwartz. Philly’s pass rush has helped at home, where they’re holding opposing QBs to an 87.3 passer rating with 2 INT and just 6 TDs allowed over five games.
Since McCoy is more willing to push the ball downfield than Alex Smith, Josh Doctson has become a relevant GPP option in DFS tournaments. Philly is vulnerable to perimeter receivers like Doctson and has already ruled out starting CBs Jalen Mills (foot) and Avonte Maddox (ankle).
Jordan Reed is also benefiting from McCoy’s aggressiveness. But he’s nursing a back injury, and Philly ranks fifth in DVOA pass defense against TEs. Reed has compiled 17 catches for 193 yards and 4 TDs in his last two trips to CenturyLink Field, so he’s another a viable tournament play.
Should Jamison Crowder (ankle) return to action, it would be very hard to trust young slot WR Trey Quinn (ankle), who is also listed as questionable. Maurice Harris would see a marked reduction in snaps, and Reed may see fewer targets down the seam if Crowder is active.
These offenses have routinely disappointed, ranking 23rd and 24th in points per drive. The Eagles allow the fourth-fewest TDs per red zone trip, and Washington allows the seventh fewest.
The low 45-point total is justified, as the last seven Washington games have combined for an average of 39.8 PPG. Then, the Eagles are averaging 20.2 PPG over five home games. But the struggles of both defenses lately have us leaning toward the Over (45 on Betstars), which is seeing over 70 percent of public money.
While Philadelphia is 25th and Washington is 28th in neutral situation pace, the Redskins rank 10th in pace when trailing by 7-plus points. We should see the Eagles establish an early lead and the game turn into more of a back-and-forth affair from that point.
Washington (+6) is getting enough points to make it worthwhile taking the road dog in an important divisional matchup.
The Eagles are 2-3 against the spread at home, and the Redskins are 3-2 ATS on the road this season. More bets are down on the Eagles, but money is split close to evenly in a tough game to call.