Week 13 NFL DFS DraftKings Picks & Lineups
Twelve weeks of the season are in the books, and we’re back with a full slate of NFL DFS games at DraftKings for Week 13. But this isn’t your average week. In fact, it’s a somewhat momentous one as DraftKings will host their 100th DraftKings Millionaire Special on Sunday. We’re listing our NFL DFS best picks at quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end to target in Cash and GPP lineups.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes and slanted toward tournaments. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Injuries can also play a huge role in NFL DFS on a weekly basis. So always, always check the injury reports when playing an NFL slate.
DraftKings DFS Tournaments
100th Millionaire Special: $100 entry, $4M guaranteed – $1M to 1st! – Over $50,000 in bonus prizes
Mini 100th Special: $10 entry, $2M guaranteed – $200K to 1st!
Play Action: $3 entry, $800k guaranteed – $50K to 1st!
Best Week 13 NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks
Jameis Winston vs. CAR ($6.0k DraftKings)
Winston delivered last week thanks to two touchdowns and more than 300 passing yards, the first time he’s done that in over a month. This week, he faces a Panthers team that has lost three straight with a 1-4 record on the road this season. Winston seems back in control of this team, at least to the extent that he will be its starting quarterback, and it would certainly be in both parties’ best interests for him to succeed. He’ll have a good opportunity this week to deliver to fantasy owners as well, facing the 25th-ranked defense in DVOA in the matchup with the slate’s highest over/under.
Cam Newton @ TB ($6.6k DraftKings)
Likely to go highest owned at the QB position in tournaments, Cam Newton is still very much on my radar given the importance and upside of the matchup. If Winston has a strong matchup, then Newton is in for a big day. The Bucs rank third to last in passing defense DVOA and second worst in overall DVOA. The Panthers carry an implied total just a few tenths from 30, giving Newton enormous upside. Of course, the counter-argument is Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers back has been tremendous this season, finding yards and touchdowns through carries and receptions, alike. Of course, the former doesn’t help Newton, and, honestly, it’s the strongest case against him. Of course, the McCaffrey fade is a higher leverage one, especially when doubling down with Newton. I love him without any other Panthers in tournaments.
Patrick Mahomes @ OAK ($7.6k DraftKings)
The Chiefs lost a heartbreaker against the Rams prior to their bye week, but they’ll get a nice opportunity to bounce back here against the Oakland Raiders. Of course, Mahomes doesn’t really need to bounce back, having scored more than 40 DraftKings points against the Rams on 478 yards and six passing touchdowns. The kid has immense firepower, and the Raiders rank dead last in passing DVOA. They’re also very clearly in tear-down mode. With the highest implied total on the slate (35.3), the Chiefs and Mahomes are in for a big day. His floor/ceiling combination makes Mahomes an elite cash game play while his extremely hefty price tag should depress his ownership percentage enough to make him GPP viable.
Cash Game Options: Jared Goff, Jeff Driskel, and all the QBs above
Best Week 13 NFL DFS GPP Running Backs
Phillip Lindsay @ CIN ($5.4 DraftKings)
The Cincinnati Bengals are really hurting these days. In their last three games alone, they’ve allowed an average of 36.37 points to opponents. And last week, they allowed 35 points to the Cleveland Browns. Nick Chubb really stood out in that game with 128 total yards and two touchdowns. Phillip Lindsay, meanwhile, is on a tear of his own, with three touchdowns in his past two games and at least 20 DraftKings points in each of those games. He also eclipsed 100 yards rushing last week, the first time he’s done that since mid-September. The Bengals rank 30th and 32nd in DVOA against the run and RB-PA (RBs catching passes out of the backfield), respectively. Lindsay can do both, with at least three receptions in five of his past seven games and double-digit carries in five consecutive outings.
Saquon Barkley vs. CHI ($7.9 DraftKings)
It’s a tough matchup, which is both good and bad — the former, for obvious reasons. But the intimidating Bears looming could also keep Barkley’s ownership down. While the rookie may not be matchup-proof, or at least not have the track record to earn such a title, he has scored fewer than 20 DraftKings points in just one game this season. He has scored double-digit DraftKings points in all of them. At $7.9k, coming off seven catches, 101 rushing yards, and two total touchdowns, it’s going to be hard to pass up Barkley at this price if you want to pay up elsewhere (say, for Patrick Mahomes). The Bears have arguably the best rushing defense in the league, but it’s not as if they play Saquon Barkley every week. And on Thanksgiving Day, the Bears allowed 88 yards and two touchdowns to LeGarrette Blount. I’ll leave you with that.
Carlos Hyde vs. IND ($3.3 DraftKings)
It’s time to mend fences. Carlos Hyde has voiced frustration with his role on the Jags, and honestly, the trade hasn’t made any sense at all so far. Hyde has just over two-dozen carries since being traded over a month ago, and Leonard Fournette has really taken hold of the Jags backfield. But there’s a lot of narratives here, along with potential drama brewing. That’s the last thing Jacksonville needs. You know what they could use? Some differentiation in their offensive approach. Leonard Fournette didn’t give them much of a choice this week, getting suspended for throwing a punch against the Bills last week. Hyde is a versatile back who is probably good enough to start on a fair number of teams. At $3.3k, he should see more than enough volume to justify his price tag.
Cash Game Options: Christian McCaffrey, Kareem Hunt, Aaron Jones, T.J. Yeldon, Lamar Miller
Best Week 13 NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers
Marcell Ateman vs. SF ($3.6 DraftKings)
I mean, what am I supposed to say? Ateman did very little last week, but he did garner 10 targets. This could have been fluky though, and his inclusion here is predicated on the fact that we focus on tournament plays. With 15 targets in the past two weeks, along with seven catches, Ateman is getting a lot of volume for a guy in his pricing tier. Toss in the fact that the Chiefs rank 27th in DVOA vs. WR3, and now we have some upside. The Chiefs have a great defense in certain aspects. And they tend to have success shutting down opposing playmakers. Ateman doesn’t yet qualify, but with a heavy workload, playing from behind, he could eat. After all, the Chiefs defense, like New England’s, for instance, is willing to make concessions in the form to minimizing coverage unless absolutely necessary.
Brandin Cooks @ DET ($7.0 DraftKings)
The Lions are kind of in shambles, and Brandin Cooks has at least 20 DraftKings points in three consecutive outings. The Rams currently carry an implied total of 32.5, and the Lions rank 29th in DVOA vs. opposing WR1s and WR2s. With Robert Woods coming in just $100 cheaper, I don’t see the same upside as the explosive, big-play Cook. The Rams are going to score, and Detroit won’t be able to stop them. Cooks has the most impressive ceilings on this team, outside of Todd Gurley, and maybe Jared Goff, and he comes at a meaningful discount compared to the former.
Chris Godwin vs. CAR ($3.9 DraftKings)
We’re going back to Godwin this week with DeSean Jackson questionable at best. The Bucs are in another potential shootout with the week’s highest over/under. And the Panthers rank 25th in DVOA vs. the pass. They happen to rank second in DVOA vs. WR1, though, making a secondary wideout a more intriguing option. Godwin checks a lot of the boxes, even with back-to-back weeks of fewer than nine DraftKings points. He’s primed to explode, and the Bucs are going to have to put points on the board against a Carolina team favored on the road by 3.5 points. Godwin should see a moderate uptick in work compared to the four targets last week, and he continues to carry big-play potential, something the Bucs may need if Mike Evans is locked down.
Davante Adams vs. ARI ($7.9k DraftKings)
What a rough season for Green Bay. At 4-6-1, their playoff window is shrinking, but, fortunately, they’re back home with a bounce-back game against the Cardinals. Davante Adams has taken over as the top wideout in this offense, and he has six touchdowns over his last six games. He also has three 100+ yard games during that period. The Cardinals rank fifth in passing DVOA, and Patrick Peterson is going to scare most DFS players off Adams. But the Packers are in must-win mode, and Adams had 17.9 DraftKings points on the road in Minnesota last week. With Aaron Rodgers at the helm though, there’s plenty more upside to be had regardless of matchup.
Emmanuel Sanders @ CIN ($6.3 DraftKings)
The Broncos are 2-0 since they said farewell to Demaryius Thomas, losing to the Houston Texans three games ago in the veteran wideout’s first game in the NFL not on the Denver Broncos. That has opened the door for anyone to step up in Denver, and Emmanuel Sanders did just that last week. Against his former team, the Steelers, Sanders reeled in seven of 12 targets for 86 yards and a touchdown. The Bengals rank 27th vs. WR2, and that’s the role Sanders should fill, as Courtland Sutton is this team’s more traditional WR1. With Cincinnati allowing teams to roll over them as of late (110 points in their past three games), there’s additional upside for the veteran wideout and one of the last recognizable members of this once-vaunted Denver team.
Cash Game Options: Bruce Ellington, Julio Jones, Adam Thielen, T.Y. Hilton, Robert Woods, Kenny Golladay, Odell Beckham
Best Week 13 NFL DFS Tight Ends
Greg Olsen @ TB ($4.1 DraftKings)
OK, I know I mentioned rolling solo with Cam earlier, but I really like Olsen in this spot as well. The veteran will face a defense ranked second to last in DVOA vs. TE, and he’s yet to have a real breakout week this season. Fortunately, he played all but one offensive down in the Panther’s last game and should have more of a pass-catching role against the shootout-prone Bucs. Olsen isn’t safe, but history suggests he and Newton have phenomenal chemistry. And where there is chemistry between a tight end and quarterback, there is upside.
Jared Cook vs. KC ($4.7 DraftKings)
A great leverage play, Cook could reap the benefits of a high-octane Chiefs offense forcing Oakland to throw the ball. Cook has excelled at times this year, even racking up 30+ DraftKings points on two separate occasions. With Amari Cooper out of Oakland, his importance in the passing game, in theory, should only continue to grow. And we’ve seen it of late, with Cook finding the end zone in back-to-back weeks. The Raiders will need to find sources of production at every stop in this game, and Cook should find ways to contribute against a defense ranking 24th in DVOA vs. TE.
Cash Game Options: Eric Ebron, Matt LaCosse, Travis Kelce, Christopher Herndon
*Eligibility restrictions apply. See website for details.