Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
11/28/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Mini Blizzard: $15 entry, $500k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $100K to 1st!
Spin Move: $44 entry, $60k guaranteed (DraftKings)- $10K to 1st!
Shot: $9.99 entry, $300k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $50,000 to 1st!
Swish: $50 entry, $15k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Best Picks & Plays for November 28, 2018
Best DFS Guards for November 28, 2018
James Harden vs. DAL ($11.6k DraftKings, $11.6k FanDuel)
Harden is averaging 75.4 DraftKings and 69.7 FanDuel points per game without Chris Paul on the floor this season, and the latter is questionable for Wednesday’s game with the leg injury that’s already cost him two games. Naturally, “The Beard” is an excellent play under any circumstance, especially against a Mavericks team that’s allowing the fourth-most DK (43.7) and fifth-most FD (42.4) points to shooting guards. Just as important, they’re yielding the second-most points (26.3) and fifth-most made threes (3.2) to the position. Plus, they allow the second-highest three-point success rate overall on the road (41.1 percent). That could spell trouble against Harden, who’s coming off a 54-point explosion against the Wizards on Monday and is taking a whopping 11.4 three-point attempts per game.
Bradley Beal at NO ($8k DraftKings, $8.2k FanDuel)
Beal lit up the Pelicans for 45.0 DK and 47.2 FD points two games ago. He’s averaging 38.1 DK and 37.8 FD points on the season and will be in prime position for another strong outing Wednesday. The Pelicans continue to play at the fourth-highest clip in the league at home (108.0 possessions per game). They’re also allowing the third-highest three-point percentage (37.5) overall. Beal is averaging 7.1 three-point attempts per game (just under his career high of 7.2) and boasts a 25.4 percent usage rate, second highest on the Wizards behind backcourt mate John Wall. In what should be another tightly contested game between two defensively challenged squads, Beal is potentially poised for another 5x-6x return on his prices.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. PHO ($5k DraftKings, $5.6k FanDuel)
Gilgeous-Alexander is going to go little-owned in tournaments yet provides considerable flexibility with his affordable salary on both sites. The rookie is thriving as the Clippers’ starting point guard. He’s averaging over 24 fantasy points on either site over nine home games while shooting 46.8 percent. Gilgeous-Alexander will draw a premium matchup Wednesday. The Suns allow the fourth-most DK (50.0) and FD (49.6) points per game to point guards. They’re also yielding the third-most assists (9.0) and most steals (2.9) per game to ones, while Gilgeous-Alexander has at least one swipe in four straight. Plus, Phoenix is surrendering the highest shooting percentage (50.2) on the road in the NBA, furthering the rookie’s case at his modest price.
Other guards to consider: Russell Westbrook, Kemba Walker, John Wall, Damian Lillard, Devin Booker, Ben Simmons, DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine, D’Angelo Russell, Jeremy Lamb, Spencer Dinwiddie, Jeff Teague, Eric Gordon
Best DFS Forwards for November 28, 2018
Anthony Davis vs. WAS ($11.4k DraftKings, $12.5k FanDuel)
Davis missed the first game against the Wizards with a hip injury, but he’ll be in excellent position to extend his double-double streak to four games. The Wizards have allowed the seventh-most DK (58.8) and ninth-most FD (58.3) points per game to centers (though Davis is classifiable as a forward on DFS sites). They’re also allowing the third-most assists (4.4) to centers. On that note, Davis’ 4.9 dimes per contest are a career high by a wide margin. The Pelicans’ aforementioned accelerated pace suits Davis well too, as does the fact Washington surrenders the fourth-highest shooting percentage to centers (56.6). Then, even the Wizards’ league-high 41.6 percent allowed from three-point range could benefit Davis. The floor-spacing big man is averaging just over two shots per game from distance and posting a 33.3 percent success rate when doing so.
Montrezl Harrell vs. PHO ($7.2k DraftKings, $8.3k FanDuel)
Harrell continues to churn out starter-quality numbers despite his second-unit role. The energetic big man is averaging a career-high 25.6 minutes and parlaying them into career bests in points (15.8), rebounds (7.4), assists (1.5), blocks (1.8), steals (1.1), and shot attempts (8.9). Harrell’s usage rate is also a solid 21.8 percent. He’ll face a Suns team that’s been highly vulnerable to centers despite the presence of seven-footer Deandre Ayton down low. Phoenix is allowing the fourth-most DK (62.0) and third-most FD (62.7) points to centers. (Again, he’s a forward on DK and FD, though.) They’re also allowing a bottom-10 figure in points (26.2) to fives, along with the most steals (2.4). Finally, no team has been more vulnerable to scoring in the paint than the Suns. They’re allowing a league-high 54.4 points in that area of the floor per game, including 55.2 per contest on the road. In turn, Harrell is scoring 72.0 percent of his points in the paint, equal to 11.4 points per contest.
Rudy Gay at MIN ($5.9k DraftKings, $6.3k FanDuel)
Gay draws a matchup against a Timberwolves squad that he touched up for 28.8 DraftKings and 28.4 FanDuel points over just 23 minutes back on Opening Night. Minnesota is also allowing the third-most DK (45.1) and fourth-most FD (43.7) points per game to small forwards. What’s more, they’re yielding bottom-five or bottom-10 figures in points (22.0), rebounds (9.7), and assists (4.3) per game to SFs, along with the most made threes (3.4) to the position. Gay is averaging a career-high 7.3 rebounds and boasts career highs in both overall shooting percentage (50.0) and three-point percentage (48.8).
Other forwards to consider: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Paul George, Tobias Harris, LaMarcus Aldridge, Khris Middleton, Robert Covington, Danilo Gallinari, Noah Vonleh
Best DFS Centers for November 28, 2018
Joel Embiid vs. NY ($11.2k DraftKings, $11.1k FanDuel)
Embiid is averaging well over 50 games at home on both sites and walks into Wednesday’s matchup with five straight double-doubles. He faces a Knicks team that’s allowed 57.7 DK and FD points per game to centers, as well as the fifth-most blocks (2.8) per contest to the position. Then, Embiid is averaging a career-high 1.4 blocks per game. The third-year big man has scored no fewer than 40 fantasy points in any game since Nov. 7, and he’ll be in a good position to take advantage of New York’s vulnerability to offense near the basket. The Knicks are allowing the fifth-most points in the paint per game (51.3), including 52.5 per contest on the road. Embiid is averaging 12.3 points in that area of the floor and should be able to win a majority of his battles against Enes Kanter and rookie Mitchell Robinson down low Wednesday.
Clint Capela vs. DAL ($8.2k DraftKings, $9.2k FanDuel)
Capela has generated some explosive performances recently, posting six straight double-doubles. That includes a three-game stretch where he scored at least 23 points and hauled in at least 15 rebounds. The fifth-year pro also has multiple blocks in five straight, and he’s pushed his fantasy-point average to 40.2 on both sites. The Mavericks give up over 53 fantasy points per game to centers on both sites, and it’s worth noting that Capela enjoyed plenty of success against DeAndre Jordan when the latter was with the Clippers last season (18.3 PPG, 11.0 RPG, 2.7 BPG, and 1.3 SPG across four contests).
Brook Lopez vs. CHI ($4.8k DraftKings, $5.2k FanDuel)
Lopez’s contributions can admittedly be difficult to trust. However, he boasts a sky-high ceiling that far outpaces his current price tag on either site. The offensively proficient veteran is shooting 44.6 percent, but he’s displaying unprecedented aggressiveness from three-point range. Lopez is shooting a career-best 37.3 percent from behind the arc on a career-high 6.7 shot attempts per game. Meanwhile, the Bulls are allowing a 52.6 percent success rate from the floor to centers, along with the seventh-most points (25.5), fourth-most rebounds (17.9), and second-most blocks (3.0) per game. Those vulnerabilities have helped lead to Chicago yielding the third-most DK (62.1) and fourth-most FD (61.7) points per game to centers. That leaves Lopez in position to potentially turn into one of the biggest bargains of the slate if he gets the hot hand.
Other centers to consider: Nikola Vucevic, Rudy Gobert, Deandre Ayton, DeAndre Jordan, Steven Adams, Julius Randle, Tristan Thompson, Jarrett Allen