Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
11/27/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Big Jam: $10 entry, $425k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Sharpshooter: $3 entry, $100k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot Machine: $7.77 entry, $400k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $50,000 to 1st!
Slam: $33 entry, $110k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for November 27, 2018
Best Guards for November 27, 2018
Mike Conley vs. TOR ($7.7k DraftKings, $8.8k FanDuel)
Underestimated overall and routinely underpriced on DraftKings, Mike Conley is a great option to consider in any format against Kyle Lowry and the Raptors tonight. The Raptors rank 10th in pace and allow the seventh-most APG (24.5). They haven’t faced Conley since January 2016, and he’s playing at a high level after sitting out most of last season. Conley is posting the highest usage rate (28.6%) of his career as the Grizzlies depend on him and Marc Gasol to produce while leaning on defense to win games.
Jamal Murray vs. LAL ($6.9k DraftKings, $7.3k FanDuel)
The Lakers have been an easy target for opposing guards this year. They rank fifth in pace and allow the ninth-most PPG (112.7). Early this season, Jamal Murray went for 22 points and 10 rebounds in a game at the Lakers and didn’t even shoot well. Now, he returns home where he’s shooting 46.2% from the floor and 92.1% at the FT line. The Lakers are allowing the most FPPG (43.92) to opposing PGs and rank 25th against the position over the last 14 days. Gary Harris (ankle) could be limited if active tonight, so give Monte Morris ($4.1k, $4.5k) a look as a potential value. It’s also worth noting that Nikola Jokic sees the greatest increase in usage rate (11.8%) when Harris is off the floor this year.
Wayne Ellington vs. ATL ($4.1k DraftKings, $4.7k FanDuel)
Dwyane Wade produced 35 points in a throwback effort with Goran Dragic (knee) and Tyler Johnson (hamstring) both out Sunday. Wayne Ellington took a back seat but still started in that game. He’ll likely play more over D-Wade with the Heat (-7.5) favored over Atlanta. The Hawks lead the league in pace, cough up the most PPG (118.5), and the most 3PTM (13.2) per game this season. Ellington is a career 38 percent shooter from downtown and flashed his upside in a plus matchup with a full line (8 points, 2 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 blocks, 4 steals) over 34 minutes at Chicago Friday night. Ellington has the best bargain rating on DK tonight in pro models on FantasyLabs, followed by Jamal Murray.
Other guards to consider: Devin Booker, Josh Richardson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Reggie Jackson, Trey Burke, Darren Collison, Fred VanVleet, Monte Morris
Best Forwards for November 27, 2018
Blake Griffin vs. NYK ($9.3k DraftKings, $9.8k FanDuel)
After disappointing in a plus matchup against the Suns, Blake Griffin is a great buy-low target. The Knicks come to town with an inexperienced front line that includes foul-prone Noah Vonleh and undersized PF Kevin Knox. Enes Kanter should be able to tangle with Andre Drummond, but neither of those PFs matches up well against Griffin. He’s posting a 29.1% usage rate and his highest defensive rebounding rate (25.6%) since his rookie year. Expect a strong showing against a Knicks team that ranks 27th in defensive rating and allows the fourth-most offensive RPG (11.4) this year. With a ceiling of 65.7 DK points on FantasyLabs, Griffin has the potential for 5.2x salary returns.
Domantas Sabonis vs. PHO ($6.7k DraftKings, $7.0k FanDuel)
Tyreke Evans leads the Pacers in usage rate (29.3%) when Victor Oladipo is off the floor. Yet Domantas Sabonis is second in usage (24.9%) and in better shape to produce on no rest than the injury-prone Evans. Sabonis averages an impressive 1.45 FPs per minute when Oladipo (who has missed four straight games with a knee injury) is off the floor. Overall, the second-generation NBA stud is averaging 21.4 points, 14.1 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per 36 minutes this season. Injuries to Oladipo and Myles Turner (ankle) have forced Pacers HC Nate McMillan to give him the run he deserves. Of course, tonight’s matchup is strong against the Suns’ 29th-rated defense.
Juancho Hernangomez vs. LAL ($4.8k DraftKings, $5.5k FanDuel)
Juan Hernangomez would only be an advised play in GPP formats, with Heat swingman Justise Winslow ($4.1k, $5.0k) and Indiana’s Thaddeus Young ($4.1k), $4.8k) checking in as punt plays with more consistent floors. Yet the potential is there for Hernangomez, who is playing 33 MPG over his last eight appearances. He went cold for three games before producing 15 points and 8 boards in an uptempo game at Oklahoma City, and as we mentioned above, the Lakers rank fifth in pace. The Lakers also give up the most FPPG (50.13) and rank dead last in DvP ranking against PFs this season. Despite his low volume, Hernangomez owns a 124 offensive rating and plays within the Nuggets’ seventh-ranked offense.
Other forwards to consider: Kawhi Leonard, Brandon Ingram, Jaren Jackson Jr., Noah Vonleh, Bojan Bogdanovic, Taurean Prince, Thaddeus Young, Justise Winslow
Best Centers for November 27, 2018
Marc Gasol vs. TOR ($8.9k DraftKings, $10.0k FanDuel)
Mike Conley and Marc Gasol should both produce in a very competitive game in Memphis tonight. The matchup is brutal for most centers, but Gasol is such a savvy player that he’ll exploit whatever weakness the defense shows. With averages of 22.7 PPG, 12.2 RPG, 3.7 APG, and 3.4 STL/BLK over his last six appearances, “Big Spain” has routinely exceeded value. Memphis has a great home crowd, and Gasol’s PPG (18.7) and APG (4.1) averages spike at the FedEx Forum. He does have a -6.84 plus/minus rating on FantasyLabs, so you may only want to pay up for Gasol in GPP formats given the risk of this matchup.
John Collins @ MIA ($6.2k DraftKings, $6.7k FanDuel)
John Collins was able to put up some diverse stat lines despite playing limited minutes in his first couple games of the season. Now, the training wheels are off. He managed 23 points and 11 rebounds over 30 minutes against Charlotte. Tonight’s opposing Heat have been very inconsistent defending centers since Hassan Whiteside has knee tendinitis and Bam Adebayo doesn’t know when his number will be called. Miami yields the third-most RPG (15.25) while allowing opposing centers to shoot a league-high 55% from the floor this season. Collins averaged 12.8 PPG and 8.8 RPG while shooting 48.7% over four meetings with the Heat last season.
Richaun Holmes vs. IND ($3.3k DraftKings, $4.3k FanDuel)
As a true punt play, Richaun Holmes doesn’t carry tremendous risk on DraftKings and could be dropped on FanDuel if he records the lowest score in your lineup. The Suns are using him alongside Deandre Ayton at times and may need a quicker front line to match up with Myles Turner and Domantas Sabonis. Holmes owns a 62.3 true shooting percentage and has been the recipient of many lobs this season with defenses crashing down on Devin Booker. Give him a look where desperate to save salary.
Other centers to consider: Andre Drummond, Enes Kanter, JaVale McGee, Bam Adebayo