Week 12 NFL Parlay Picks And Predictions | Parlays For Sunday

Posted By Brian Sausa on November 28, 2021

If you’re using online sportsbooks to bet on the NFL each week, there’s a good chance you’ve tried betting parlays, which are the most popular bets outside of the standard moneyline, spread, and total.

These bets let you combine multiple sides into the same wager for a larger payout than normal, and they can be incredibly exciting on Sunday. There is a huge range of variations across the betting market and below, we’ll offer a few examples as our Week 12 parlay picks.

Week 12 NFL PARLAYS | BEST PARLAY BETS THIS WEEK

If you’re into other bet types aside from parlays, feel free to check out some of our other weekly NFL betting content:

But if you are indeed looking to build your own parlay, each sportsbook offers a huge range of markets and individual betting options for every game. If you’re looking for suggestions before building your own, keep on reading.

*odds are subject to change after writing*

NFL Week 12 Parlay Picks | Side/Total Parlays For Sunday

For each individual NFL contest, sportsbooks also offer bettors the chance to link the moneyline or spread together with the over/under. Think of this as a sort of same-game parlay (SGP), just without any props.

Correlation bets featuring a team and the total are growing in popularity and are offered in diverse ways at sites like FanDuel and BetMGM, among others. Even if the site you’re using doesn’t offer them, you can still create an SGP that includes both elements.

Thanksgiving NFL Parlay | Las Vegas Raiders At Dallas Cowboys (Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET)

Cowboys -2.5 & Under 51.5 (+175 or better): The Cowboys are giving away more than a touchdown to the Las Vegas Raiders, and I’m honestly not sure whether that is too many points. I still feel comfortable that Dallas wins, so covering the key numbers at -2.5 is a much safer play. Especially in a game that we feel trends under in the end. The total is right at 51.5 and it could be something of a sweat, but something like a 27-20 Cowboys win would cover this for us on Thanksgiving.

The strength of the Raiders’ defense is in the pass rush and the overall pass defense, and the run game is a way to neutralize that. Now that the offensive line for Dallas is healthy and Ezekiel Elliott seems to be improving (while Dak may not be), there is no better time than to commit to the run. That will take time off the clock while keeping Dallas in control of the game.

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)

Patriots ML & Under 48.5 (+120 or better): Before losing to the Texans, the Titans had an eight-game winning streak going including wins over some of the league’s best. But suddenly, they’re six-point underdogs. While it could be too many points, we do still expect the Patriots to win. If it goes how we project, New England and the under correlate nicely.

The Patriots are PFF’s top-rated rushing offense (No. 3 overall) and also run the ball at a top-10 rate despite rankings 20th in yards per rush. That tells us that New England faces a ton of third downs, where it converts at the fifth-best rate in the NFL. The Titans also excel at stopping the pass, which is even more reason for New England to play the ground game.

Without Derrick Henry and Julio Jones, the Titans’ offense just can’t sustain what we saw from it a month ago, even with A.J. Brown. New England should make enough stops to win this game and keep it under 48.5, a few points above the current total of 43.5.

Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET)

Chargers -2.5 & Under 54.5 (+180 or better): After watching the Chargers score 41 points against the Steelers, picking an under with this team doesn’t feel very comfortable. But the Broncos know better than to get into a shootout with this team, and Denver will run the ball against the Los Angeles’ terrible unit, killing the clock and keeping Justin Herbert off the field.

When the Chargers do get the ball, however, they shouldn’t struggle much with a defense that is 26th in total DVOA.

Because Denver should be able to run the ball, we think the overall pace of the game is slower than what we saw from the Chargers. Only two Los Angeles games have gone over 54 points this season, so we covered some key numbers from the original total of 48.5.

Week 12 NFL Parlay Picks | Three-Team Parlay For Sunday

One consistently popular NFL parlay strategy is to link several favorable lines into the same bet. That can be moneylines or alternate lines that are modified in your favor in exchange for lesser odds. The goal is to build a safer wager while enhancing the payout, even though the odds aren’t astronomical like we see with some parlays.

This week, we’re getting +438 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook for the following:

  • Minnesota Vikings +3.5
  • Atlanta Falcons ML
  • Philadelphia Eagles ML

Look, hitting parlays is hard, even if there are only three teams. Plus, there there are plenty of short lines this week with games that can go either way. That said, we picked three teams we’re willing to ride with, two on the moneyline and one underdog with the spread.

The Vikings have lost five games this season, all by four points or less. Every game but one has ended by one score, and we expect this to be no different. We have the hook and will rely on Kirk Cousins and the passing offense to go win this game, or at least keep it close.

Trusting the Falcons is the last thing you’d want to do in theory, but fading the Jaguars doesn’t sound so bad. Jacksonville has covered a few games as of late and even managed to beat the Bills a few weeks back, but we aren’t getting fooled by this team. If Cordarrelle Patterson is back for Atlanta, we’ll take the Falcons to just get the win since this is virtually a pick’em.

The Eagles will be on the road against the Giants, but MetLife Stadium is sure to have many Eagles fans in it and not much energy for the home team. The spread is 4.5 points but we’ve eliminated that and are asking for a third straight win for Philadelphia. The Giants are another team that can’t stop the run, and that sets up the Eagles’ No. 3 ranked DVOA rushing offense.

Week 12 NFL Betting Odds

HOW DO NFL PARLAYS WORK?

Parlays are bets which consist of two or more selections, resulting in the odds being boosted higher than you’d see from a typical straight bet. The potential to win much more than you risk is one of the reasons why parlays are so popular.

Exact parlay odds depend on multiple factors including the number of selections and the exact lines of each one, but all parlays will feature enhanced odds in some fashion. Remember that all legs of your parlay need to win for you to receive the full payout, and a push will remove the selection and keep the parlay alive.

You can include moneylines, spreads, totals, and even props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up 12 or more depending on the sportsbook. Parlays are wholly customizable, meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go, how many sides will be included, and how difficult to make each leg of the parlay.

While some bettors want high odds and a huge payday, just like you see on social media. But just because the occasional big wins are what you see go viral, they are closer to the exception and not the rule.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds. Of course, it’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk money you’re prepared to lose.

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Brian Sausa

Brian Sausa is a longtime sports writer with extensive betting experience and knowledge of the industry. A journalism graduate with an extensive sports background, Brian has been employed by multiple professional leagues including MLB, MiLB (Minor League Baseball), and the NHL.

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