Week 11 NFL DFS DraftKings Picks & Lineups
Ten weeks of the season are in the books, and we’re back with a full slate of NFL DFS games at DraftKings for Week 11. We’re listing our NFL DFS best picks at quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end to target in Cash and GPP lineups.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes and slanted toward tournaments. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Injuries can also play a huge role in NFL DFS on a weekly basis. So always, always check the injury reports when playing an NFL slate.
DraftKings DFS Tournaments
Best Week 11 NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks
Cam Newton @ DET ($6.2k DraftKings)
The Detroit Lions defense just got worked by Mitch Trubisky and the Chicago Bears, so a matchup against Cam Newton is hardly ideal. The Panthers are finally healthy (relatively) on offense, and Newton’s ability to work with Christian McCaffrey and Greg Olsen in the passing game makes this a very stackable offense. Just focusing on Newton, though, the Panthers star has at least two touchdowns in every game but one this season. He’s also added four rushing touchdowns on the season, which is where his upside truly lies. Last week, the Lions allowed Trubisky to get into the end zone on foot, and Newton has averaged eight rushing attempts per game this season. The game might not be a shootout, but, with Newton’s versatility and high floor, it doesn’t have to be for you to lock into a very safe (if not the safest) quarterback.
Eli Manning vs. TB ($5.2k DraftKings)
On the other side of the coin, there’s the unsafe option. Eli Manning threw three touchdowns last week, and the Bucs have one of the worst defenses in the league. While Ryan Fitzpatrick was very flat last week, this game has an over/under of 52. There’s real shootout potential here, as well as potential for a vintage Eli Manning performance. He’s a very interesting and affordable pivot for tournaments, especially if you’re paying up elsewhere. Take Manning and the Giants’ 27-point implied total as home favorites.
Marcus Mariota @ IND ($5.5k DraftKings)
Mariota is a new man now that he’s regained feeling in his throwing hand. While that’s a bit based in conjecture, he’s more or less said as much in recent weeks. The last two, specifically, in which Mariota eclipsed 20 DraftKings each, including 23.32 DraftKings points last week against the New England Patriots. This week, he’ll face a Colts defense that struggles against quarterbacks (bottom 10 in plus-minus). And while I really like Andrew Luck in this one as well, the Titans offense was really something last week against New England. Look for Mariota to carry this team once again in a game that has shootout potential, thanks largely to Luck on the other side of the ball.
Cash Game Options: Drew Brees, Carson Wentz, Backup Ravens QB (should Flacco sit)
Best Week 11 NFL DFS GPP Running Backs
Ezekiel Elliott @ ATL ($8.5 DraftKings)
Elliott exploded for 39.7 DraftKings points last week, thanks to 150+ rushing yards, seven receptions, and two total touchdowns. If it wasn’t readily apparent, this Cowboys offense lives and dies with Elliott’s performance. With a touch floor in the low 20s (very conservatively), Elliott will get plenty of work against this Atlanta defense, ranking 31st in DVOA against the run. Elliott’s $8.5k salary is a lot to stomach, but his upside in this one is clear. He arguably has the best combination of matchup and opportunity. He’s a stud in all formats.
Lamar Miller @ WAS ($4.6 DraftKings)
After a week in which he carried the ball 12 times for 21 yards, Miller should be very low-owned on this slate. But Washington ranks 28th in DVOA vs. the run, and Miller just saw his two-game streak of 100+ rushing yards come to a close last weekend. The point is he’s playing good football more often than not as of late, including scoring two touchdowns over the past three weeks. With Washington’s woes against the rush, Miller doesn’t have to do much to hit value. And if the Texans are in control of this one (currently 3-point favorites in a low-scoring contest), Miller may get workhorse numbers. He’s a strong pivot off the chalk, and a salary-saving one at that.
Mark Ingram vs. PHI ($4.7 DraftKings)
Mark Ingram exploded last week for just over 28 DraftKings points, yet his salary remains at just $4.7k. The Saints have a ton of mouths to feed on offense, but with an implied total of 32+ points, there’s plenty of scoring to go around. The timeshare with Alvin Kamara is certainly a concern, but by that logic, Ingram’s ownership shouldn’t be outrageous, even after a breakout week. With the Saints favored by 8.5 points, this seems like as good a game as any for Ingram to get the ball and run down the clock. And with the Saints constantly scoring, a touchdown for Ingram seems almost probable. At $4.7k, with the touchdown upside he has, Ingram is an excellent salary-saving option with upside.
Cash Game Options: Saquon Barkley, Melvin Gordon, David Johnson, James Conner, Dion Lewis, Christian McCaffrey
Best Week 11 NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers
Sterling Shepard vs. TB ($5.3 DraftKings)
While I do love OBJ in this spot, Shepard is more realistic. He’s about $3k cheaper, and though his floor and ceiling are much lower, he has three 20-DK-point performances this season. That may not sound like a lot, but considering how bad the Giants have been this year, it’s obviously something. This weekend, New York faces the lowly Tampa Bay Buccaneers in what could be a sloppy shootout or a sloppy rock fight. Either way, Shepard faces a defense ranking 31st in DVOA vs. WR2, and he’s a great stacking option alongside Eli Manning. Just think, you can own both of them for the typical price of Todd Gurley. That’s not a bad deal, considering how bad TB is.
Mike Evans @ NYG ($7.3 DraftKings)
On the other side of the field this Sunday, Evans will need to help pick this Tampa Bay offense off the ground, something he hasn’t done over the past two weeks, in which he managed a combined 67 receiving yards. But Ryan Fitzpatrick has turned many games into absolute shootouts this season, and the Giants rank 24th in DVOA vs. WR1. Evans’ salary is way too low right now, and many will fade him due to his recent performance. Fortunately for the faithful, this game has a ton of upside for the Bucs’ No. 1 offensive weapon.
Keenan Allen @ DEN ($6.7 DraftKings)
Allen’s upside has also been underwhelming in 2018, as he’s managed 20 DraftKings points in just two games this season. But his floor is as sturdy as they come. The veteran wideout has double-digit DraftKings points in every game this season, but, more importantly, the Denver Broncos rank 28th in DVOA vs. WR1. Allen caught his first red-zone touchdown since Week 1, and he has 19 targets in his last two games after seeing just 11 in the two prior. With everything trending in the right direction, the Chargers’ WR1 is in prime position to deliver on that extremely modest price tag.
Amari Cooper @ ATL ($5.4k DraftKings)
Sticking with big names and low price tags, we have Amari Cooper. The former top wideout in Oakland has 18 targets combined over his first two games as a Cowboy. And last week alone, he reeled in six catches for a respectable 75 yards, though he couldn’t secure his second touchdown as a member of this Dallas squad. This week, the Cowboys will seek to roll with that momentum all the way to Atlanta, a team ranking 30th in DVOA vs. WR1 and dead last in DVOA overall. While Elliott has already been mentioned, Cooper is for the gambler. There’s no clear path to slate-winning upside with Cooper, but if Atlanta’s offense can keep this competitive, he stands to gain a lot more than Elliott does. Cooper is a good option for those who want heavy usage relative to salary.
Alshon Jeffery @ NO ($6.3 DraftKings)
The Eagles are expected to lose this game by more than a touchdown plus a two-point conversion, so they’ll probably be passing a lot. Fortunately, the Saints seem absolutely fine with their opponents scoring as many points as they’d like, just so long as it comes in below their own total. And against WR1s this season, New Orleans ranks second-to-last in DVOA vs. WR1. Jeffery has struggled in recent weeks, but a matchup like this makes a 20-to-30-point outing entirely plausible. After all, the veteran has three 20-plus DK-point performances over the past six games and two that went over 27. He’s a strong tournament option in a game with very positive flow for wideouts.
Cash Game Options: Michael Thomas, Odell Beckham, Julio Jones, Corey Davis, DeAndre Hopkins, T.Y. Hilton, Brandon LaFell
Best Week 11 NFL DFS Tight Ends
Greg Olsen @ DET ($5.0 DraftKings)
The Detroit Lions rank third to last (30th) in DVOA vs. TEs, which is why we picked Trey Burton in this spot last week. Unfortunately, that didn’t work out all that well. Fortunately, Greg Olsen is a better, more proven tight end, and the guy throwing to him is Cam Newton. Olsen is averaging just over five targets per game over his last four, and he has a touchdown in three of those four games. Detroit’s defense just isn’t as strong as it once was, and Olsen is primed to take advantage, especially without a solid wide receiving corp in Carolina.
Evan Engram vs. TB ($4.1 DraftKings)
A little cheaper (and a lot younger) than Greg Olsen, Engram is an interesting, not-so-cheap tight end option also due to matchup. The second-year player has yet to achieve a breakout-level performance this year, with his top score on the season coming in at a respectable 19, but he’s also dealt with injury and the nonsense of this Giants offense when he was healthy. Fortunately, the Tampa Bay Bucs are a bad football team and rank fifth worst in DVOA against tight ends. Engram won’t have to do much to pay off his price tag, with additional upside for more.
Cash Game Options: Ricky Seals-Jones, Zach Ertz, Jordan Reed
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