Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.
11/14/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Excellent 8’s: $8 entry, $425k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Spin Move: $44 entry, $150k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot: $9.99 entry, $333k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $50,000 to 1st!
Slam: $55 entry, $125k guaranteed (FanDuel)
NBA DFS Top Plays for November 14, 2018
Best DFS Guards for November 14, 2018
John Wall vs. CLE ($9.1k DraftKings, $10.2k FanDuel)
Despite the Wizards’ dismal season, Wall continues to excel night in and night out. The All-Star point guard is averaging 44.4 DK and 44.6 FD points per contest. A matchup against a Cavaliers squad that’s been vulnerable to point guards all season is just the recipe for more. Cleveland comes in allowing 46.9 DK points and 45.3 FD points per game to PGs, along with the sixth-most points (25.5), fifth-most made threes (3.1), and the highest shooting percentage (51.0) per game to the position. Wall is shooting a red-hot 55.3 percent on his home floor and should frequently have his way with rookie Collin Sexton as his primary defender. The fact the Wizards continue to play at a top 10 pace (106.7 possessions per game) only serves to further his case.
Kyle Lowry vs. DET ($8.1k DraftKings, $8.5k FanDuel)
Lowry’s price has come down after a pair of clunkers against the Knicks and Pelicans. Despite his failure in those appealing matchups (average of 7.0 points on 4-for-15 shooting), Lowry should be poised for a bounce-back performance against a Pistons squad that’s been generous to point guards. Detroit comes in allowing the eighth-most DK (49.0) and seventh-most FD (48.0) points per game to PGs. They’ve also yielded the fifth-most rebounds per contest (6.6) to the position and the fourth-highest shooting percentage (47.6). Meanwhile, Lowry is shooting a blistering 53.1 percent in eight home games thus far.
Joe Harris vs. MIA ($4.7k DraftKings, $4.8k FanDuel)
Harris remains priced quite cheaply for a player who’s already averaging 22.9 DK and 21.2 FD points and is shooting an eye-popping 61.0 percent across five home games, including 64.0 percent from distance. Harris’ usage should also pick up in the wake of Caris LeVert’s foot injury. He’ll draw an appealing matchup Wednesday with which to extend his excellent stretch of play at home. The Heat are allowing 41.3 DK and 42.0 FD points per game to SGs. What’s more, Miami is yielding the second-most steals (2.1) and third-most blocks (1.0) to twos, as well as the sixth-highest three-point shooting percentage (37.4).
Other guards to consider: DeMar DeRozan, Damian Lillard, Jrue Holiday, Ben Simmons, Kyrie Irving, Devin Booker, Donovan Mitchell, Derek Rose, C.J. McCollum
Best DFS Forwards for November 14, 2018
LaMarcus Aldridge at PHO ($8.3k DraftKings, $8.4k FanDuel)
Aldridge continues to be a force on both the scoreboard and the boards on most nights: 18.9 points and 10.5 rebounds per contest. The veteran big has been even better on the road, where his rebounding average bumps up to 11.0, and his shooting percentage checks in at an impressive 50.0 percent. Aldridge already racked up 24 points over 24 minutes against this same Suns squad on Halloween. Phoenix also comes in allowing well over 40.0 fantasy points per game to power forwards on both DK and FD. Moreover, the Suns come in allowing the most points in the paint per game (55.1, including 56.0 at home) while Aldridge continues to score over half his points (51.1 percent) in that area of the floor.
Julius Randle at MIN ($6.9k DraftKings, $7.3k FanDuel)
Randle could well draw another start Wednesday in place of Nikola Mirotic (ankle). However, even if the Kentucky product is back on the second unit, he still checks in as a strong value play. The former Laker is averaging nearly six more fantasy points per game on the road on both sites. He’ll face one of the most vulnerable defenses to both power forwards and centers in the NBA on Wednesday. The T-Wolves have allowed the third-most DK (53.5) and fourth-most FD (51.6) points per game to fours. They’ve also allowed bottom-five or bottom-10 figures to the position in points (23.6), rebounds (13.2), assists (4.4), made threes (2.3), and blocks (1.7). Then, they’ve yielded the fifth-most points (26.00) and made threes (1.3) per game to centers, two numbers that dovetail well with Randle’s considerable skills as a scorer. He should see a minutes load in the mid-20s at minimum even if he doesn’t start, making him worth the mid-tier investment.
Taj Gibson vs. NO ($4.8k DraftKings, $5.5k FanDuel)
One of the players most responsible for Minnesota’s defensive weaknesses to power forwards is Gibson. Nevertheless, he shapes up as an appealing option down low at his discounted price. Gibson is expected to eventually lose his starting job at the four to the newly acquired Dario Saric. But that’s not expected to be a factor Wednesday. The veteran will thus be in a solid position versus the Pelicans, who allow 48.1 DK and 47.1 FD points per game to PFs. They’re also yielding the seventh-most points per game (22.8) to the position, along with the eighth-highest shooting percentage (49.6). Then, Gibson comes in posting his best rebounding average (7.5) since his rookie 2009-10 campaign. New Orleans’ vulnerability to offense in the paint (51.1, fifth most in the NBA) dovetails well for fantasy purposes with the fact Gibson scores 63.8 percent of his points in that area.
Other forwards to consider: Anthony Davis, Giannis Antetokounmpo, LeBron James, Paul George, Blake Griffin, Aaron Gordon, Al Horford
Best DFS Centers for November 14, 2018
Joel Embiid at ORL ($10.5k DraftKings, $11k FanDuel)
Embiid is averaging career bests across the board, and he’s coming off a 35-point, 18-rebound double-double against the Heat on Tuesday. The big man has dominated in nearly every game, including in a 32-point, 10-rebound, three-assist effort versus this same Magic squad back on Oct. 20. Orlando has allowed 55.8 DK and 55.3 FD points per game to centers. Nikola Vucevic, like most centers in the NBA, won’t have what it takes to offer consistent resistance to the gargantuan Sixers big man. Even at a five-figure price on each site and Jimmy Butler expected to put a dent into Embiid’s usage, he’s worth the investment in a favorable matchup.
Hassan Whiteside at BKN ($8.4k DraftKings, $9.2k FanDuel)
Speaking of elite big men in favorable spots Wednesday, Whiteside shapes up as a highly appealing pivot off Embiid if you’re paying down. The rim protector has four straight double-doubles, and he’s just four games removed from a nine-block effort against the Spurs. He’s recorded multiple blocks in three of the last four as well. Meanwhile, the Nets are yielding the most DK (65.9) and second-most FD (63.8) points per game to centers. They’re also allowing the most rebounds (20.2) per contest to the position. With one of the Nets’ better shooters in LeVert now out, there could be even more opportunities on the boards for Whiteside. Brooklyn is also surrendering bottom-10 figures in points (28.5) and assists (4.3) per game to fives, cementing Whiteside’s case.
Jusuf Nurkic at LAL ($6.5k DraftKings, $8k FanDuel)
Nurkic is particularly priced to move on DK, but his cost is fair on FD as well considering the matchup. The emerging big man is averaging 34.1 DK and 33.3 FD points per game. Those totals partly consist of a Nov. 3 matchup versus this same Lakers squad where he totaled 39.75 DK and 39.6 FD points on the strength of a 14-point, 13-rebound double-double. Los Angeles comes in allowing the third-most DK (63.8) and FD (62.2) points per game to centers, along with the most points (30.0) and third-most rebounds (18.4) per contest to fives. Plus, they’re allowing the second-most points in the paint per game (54.5). In turn, Nurkic is scoring 69.3 percent of his points (10.6 per game) there.
Other centers to consider: Karl-Anthony Towns, Andre Drummond, Nikola Vucevic, Marc Gasol, DeAndre Jordan, DeAndre Ayton, Dwight Howard, Tristan Thompson