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DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Plays for The RSM Classic at Sea Island

Welcome back for another week of PGA DFS at DraftKings and FanDuel. We’re here to give you the full report on fantasy golf picks for The RSM Classic at Sea Island.

As always, our goal is for PlayPicks to be your first and last stop for an all-around PGA DFS news source each week … and for free! Give me a follow at @DFSJimmie if you haven’t already. And while you’re at it, go ahead and like PlayPicks on Facebook and follow us on Twitter. Now, back to your regularly scheduled PGA breakdown.

The course

This week there are actually two courses in play. The Seaside and the Plantation are both located onsite at the Sea Island Resort. The players will have three rounds on the Seaside course and only a single round on the Plantation. The Seaside is a links-style, exposed, par-70 layout. A scant 7,000-yard course, it is playable for all types of games on the tour.

Meanwhile, the Plantation course is more modern and situated like a typical parkland-style par 72 but with very small greens. Both courses have Bermuda greens. While both are affected by the wind, the Seaside is always at its mercy. It is worth noting that many-a-tour-player makes this area his year-round home. The SEC plays its conference championships here as well.

How it plays

Since we have the two courses this week, I’ll sum up what the players need to do on their single round at the Plantation course very quickly: they must score often. The easier of the two courses and with the two additional par 5’s, the Plantation course should let players make hay while they can.

The Seaside is very dependent on weather and wind. Anything from a clean lift and calm conditions to dry and windswept throughout is on the table at Seaside. Since both courses are short and fairly easy for players to find fairways, performance on both really comes down to tight approaches and converting putts on the bumpier Bermuda greens. We generally see some low scores at this event, so players will need to avoid the big numbers on several key holes to keep themselves in the mix this week.

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The breakdown

The tour only keeps stats for the Seaside course, so that’s what the breakdown below reflects. You will notice the abundance of 400-to-450-yard par 4’s this week. It’s crucial for players to find success on holes in that range if they want to contend.

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Key stats

  • Birdie or Better
  • Approaches from 150-175
  • Strokes Gained Ball Striking
  • Bermuda Putters

Top Tier: $11.5K – $9.6K

Webb Simpson ($11.8K) 

Let me first start by saying the price tag for Webb Simpson is a bit prohibitive. Typically I am not a huge fan of spending all the way up, especially when that top-priced golfer is Webb. That said, my justification for writing him up is largely based on projected ownership and the fact that he is the only golfer in this price tier who ranks inside the top five (third overall) in my model this week. Webb has a mixed bag of results at this tournament, including a W/D last year and a seventh as his best finish in the past five years. The lackluster results should help to keep his ownership in check this week. He’s in form and playing as consistently as ever with a much-improved putter. What’s more, Bermuda greens are far and away his favorite surface. Fire Webb up in GPPs this week.

Russell Henley ($9.5K) 

Russell Henley has been anything but consistent lately. He let us down the last time he made my write-up. Still, the course fit and history hold strong enough here for me to get back on Russell at The RSM. Henley seemed to settle back into his game last week on a similar track at the OHL. Henley is a stout Bermuda putter and, throughout his career, has excelled on these coastal tracks with Bermuda greens. With a track record of 10th, 6th, and 4th in his past three outings here, Russell should be a deservedly popular top-tier play this week.

C.T. Pan ($9.7K)

Last week, C.T. Pan was the no. 1 ranked golfer in my model. He paid that off with a solid performance for his price: a 16th-place finish. Pan should fall only into the GPP category this week as he tends to favor other putting surfaces over Bermuda. The course fit is there for his short but steady Tee 2 Green game to shine. To help support his play this week, Pan did put up a 13th and a 6th in his only two appearances here. With his price getting a bump, expect him to be a polarizing play this week.

Others to consider: Cameron Champ, J.J. Spaun, Chesson Hadley

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Mid Tier: $9.5K – $7.9K

Joaquin Niemann ($8.9K)

As it turns out, fading Niemann last week worked out pretty well. He struggled with the tighter fairways and the dense jungle. While the fairways are a bit tight this week, I doubt he has the same struggles and, instead, finds plenty of birdies along the way. While he doesn’t have any course history, he does rank no. 1 in my performance-by-hole-length metric without any comp courses factored in. I am also hoping his disappointing last week will keep the masses away. Keep an eye on his Fanshare tags. He should be able to hit plenty of irons around this track and contend easily in this weak field.

Chris Kirk ($8.5K)

Be warned this is Chris Kirk we are talking about. Things can go south in a hurry for him when he isn’t sharp out of the gate. That said, Kirk has done exceptionally well at this venue with finishes of 4th/MC/18th/4th/1st in his last five outings. His game goes well with coastal Bermuda-laden tracks. Coming off two made cuts, but mediocre finishes, might serve to keep a few folks from loading up on Kirk, but his upside and floor are there at Sea Island.

Jamie Lovemark ($8.1K)

Jamie is typically thought of as a bomber who dominates tracks with his length, but he has played this shorter track very well the past three years: consecutive top 10 finishes before missing the cut last year. A bit of an enigmatic player who runs in spurts but typically scrambles well, Lovemark may well repeat the high-upside performances of 2015 and 2016. He will likely be low owned and thus makes a great GPP play.

Others to consider: Harold Varner, Brian Harman, Sungjae Im, Zach Johnson, Sam Ryder

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Value Tier: $7.8K and Lower

Ryan Armour ($7.5K)

A solid ball-striker who’s previously won on tour but fell on some rough patches toward the tail end of last year, Armour is more than capable of putting up a strong week at the RSM. He’s posted three made cuts in three attempts at this track, with a 36th as his best finish. Expect that to improve this time around. Armour is also on a strong streak of made cuts at eight, dating all the way back to the Wyndham. He posted a 21st last week at the OHL.

Graeme McDowell ($7K)

Team Old Guy had a strong week last time out with Kuchar and Westwood dropping some long overdue victories. While I don’t expect that from Graeme McDowell this week, this is exactly the kind of track he favors, and he certainly won’t have an issue with the length. McDowell typically excels on coastal windy tracks to accompany his strong Bermuda putter. GMAC has only played at this event twice: once was a missed cut, but the other was a third-place finish. Look for GMAC to find himself somewhere in the middle of those two extremes this week but with a decent bit of upside. He also rates out fifth in my overall model this week.

Joel Dahmen ($6.9K) 

Joel Dahmen was the DFS darling at a point last year. He paid off several times over before fading a bit. Now that his price is way down, here’s a course that should suit his game style just fine. Currently on a streak of five made cuts, Dahmen seems poised to recapture that spark from last season that saw him shoot up leaderboards week after week. While he hasn’t proven himself a course horse at Sea Island, I expect him to improve upon his 49th-place finish of last year. A good value for a made cut at his price tag, Dahmen also ranks 12th overall in my model.

Others to consider: Robert Garrigus, Trey Mullinax, Sam Saunders, Stephen Jaeger, Ben Martin

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