Week 10 NFL DFS DraftKings Picks & Lineups
Nine weeks of the season are in the books, and we’re back with a full slate of NFL DFS games at DraftKings for Week 10. We’re listing our NFL DFS best picks at quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end to target in Cash and GPP lineups.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes and slanted toward tournaments. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Injuries can also play a huge role in NFL DFS on a weekly basis. So always, always check the injury reports when playing an NFL slate.
DraftKings DFS Tournaments
Best Week 10 NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks
Blake Bortles @ IND ($4.9k DraftKings)
With his salary below $5k for the second consecutive week, Bortles falls squarely onto my radar in GPPs. Almost no one will be on him, yet he managed just over 19 DraftKings points last week priced at $4.7k. Sure, Bortles has had some real duds this season, and his position at the helm of this team seems at least in some question. But he’s playing the Colts this week. Indianapolis is projected to score 27 in this one, just shy of a field goal better than the 25 implied points for Jacksonville. But this game has some shootout potential, as Luck is a true gunslinger who has very much returned to at least a semblance of his former self. The Colts are bottom 10 in both passing yards allowed per game and points allowed per game, making this Jaguars offense an appealing target. Bortles, who completed 24 of 41 passes for 286 yards last week, is seeing a strong workload.
Alex Smith @ TB ($5.3k DraftKings)
Another contrarian play is Smith, who faces the Bucs this week. This game has shootout potential, thanks largely to Ryan Fitzpatrick’s gunslingin’ ways. Plus, there’s the Over/Under of 51. For what it’s worth, Washington is projected to score just 24, meaning they are road dogs, if only by a field goal. Smith was in this very spot for our picks last week, and he delivered with a 20.44-point outing for DK. This week against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks 25th in total DVOA, Smith is once again poised to deliver on his salary with low ownership and game flow upside to boot.
Aaron Rodgers vs. MIA ($6.4k DraftKings)
It’s kind of amazing Aaron Rodgers isn’t on a frustration-based tour of destruction across the NFL. The Packers are a mess, flailing under the guidance of Mike McCarthy. While Davante Adams has been good this year, Rodgers is this entire offense (and obviously the Most Valuable Player in the NFL). Now, I’m not a Packers fan, but I’ll be rooting for Rodgers this week as a 10-point favorite against the Dolphins in Green Bay. Rodgers had just 19 DK points last week against New England, and the gut-wrenching loss to the LA Rams a week prior still has to sting. The Dolphins are bad, and the Packers carry an implied total of 28.8. A three-touchdown performance from Rodgers isn’t out of the question, especially with how cloudy his backfield has been (for years now, it seems).
Cash Game Options: Philip Rivers, Drew Brees, Patrick Mahomes, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Matt Ryan
Best Week 10 NFL DFS GPP Running Backs
Tevin Coleman @ CLE ($5.4 DraftKings)
Coleman takes on the Cleveland Browns defense this week, which ranks 31st in DVOA vs. the run. And Coleman is coming off a thrilling performance last week, in which he scored 32.6 DraftKings points, thanks largely to two receiving touchdowns. Given Devonta Freeman’s injury, Coleman is the clear back in Atlanta. His seven targets last week show his importance to the air attack, as well. With so many weapons in Atlanta, there are more mouths to feed than time on the clock allows. But Coleman’s high floor/ceiling combination makes him a very strong play at this price.
Dion Lewis vs. NE ($4.6 DraftKings)
Who doesn’t enjoy a good revenge game? Dion Lewis was the Patriots’ top running back for several years before signing a lucrative deal with the Titans this past offseason. And it’s not that the Patriots didn’t want to bring back Lewis, as much as they just didn’t want to pay that much for him. Last week, Lewis showed flashes of his upside with 62 rushing yards and 60 receiving yards (plus a receiving touchdown), allowing him to eclipse the 20-point mark on DK for the second consecutive week. If the Titans want to hang with Tom Brady and the Pats, they’ll need to get Lewis involved. The disappearance of Derrick Henry makes it likely the former Patriots starter will see double-digit carries, as well as multiple targets. He boasts strong upside at this price range in a game against a defense that is merely average against RBs. After all, the Packers’ backfield averaged 5.2 yards per carry against NE last week. Lewis is also a strong cash play.
Mark Ingram @ CIN ($4.5 DraftKings)
Ingram is hard to trust these days, but the New Orleans Saints have won seven straight and are very much in contention for a title run. Just look at their signing of free agent star Dez Bryant this week. They’ve bolstered their WR corp, and now it would behoove them to rejuvenate this once-vaunted RB committee. To do that, New Orleans will need to make a more concerted effort at getting the former Crimson Tide star touches. He’s seen decent work over the past two weeks, but he’s yet to explode back onto the DFS scene. Fortunately, the Bengals rank 27th in DVOA vs. the run, and Ingram has extremely good chances of finding the end zone this week. There are a lot of points to go around in New Orleans, as the Saints currently carry an implied total of 29.8, and Ingram is a cheap, high-upside way to get exposure to that scoring.
Cash Game Options: Todd Gurley, Alvin Kamara, Melvin Gordon, Mike Davis (if no Carson), Kareem Hunt
Best Week 10 NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers
Mike Evans vs. WAS ($7.0 DraftKings)
Evans saw 10 targets last week, failing to turn that into anything. But now that Ryan Fitzpatrick is back at the helm, things are looking up for the Bucs’ top wideout. Washington ranks 31st in DVOA vs. the pass and 23rd in DVOA against WR1s. Evans has caught four touchdown passes this season, and all four of those were on passes from Ryan Fitzpatrick, not Jameis Winston. As home underdogs, the Bucs will need to find some additional offense to be competitive in this one, and the simplest formula I can think of is Fitzpatrick-to-Evans. There’s a ton of upside here at a very reasonable price tag.
John Ross vs. NO ($3.9 DraftKings)
A.J. Green is out. John Ross is in. Not a fair trade. With the Bengals superstar lost for some time, Ross will step into some immediate playing time, and the Bengals play the red-hot Saints this week. Cincinnati has been ravaged with injuries this season, at least injuries to their key guys. But they’re sitting at an implied total of 24.3 this week according to Vegas, and they’ll almost certainly be forced to take to the air in order to keep up with Drew Brees and the kind-of-insane Saints offense. The Bengals don’t appear to have enough to compete in this one, but Ross should still see plenty of targets for a sub-$4k wideout. Oh, and New Orleans ranks dead last in DVOA vs. WR1s and WR2s. Probably should’ve led with that.
Josh Gordon @ TEN ($6.0 DraftKings)
I fear for Malcolm Butler this week. The former Patriots cornerback signed with Tennessee this offseason after a dramatic and very public exit from New England. He’ll likely face off against Josh Gordon in this one, and the oversized wideout, who still looks a bit slower than peak-state, is going to give him all sorts of trouble in this one. Butler has been torched this year, and last week he allowed eight receptions for over 100 yards and two scores. As a Titans fan, I’m appalled, but as a daily fantasy player, I’m intrigued. The Patriots are slated to score a respectable 26 points in this one, based on Vegas odds. And Gordon has a very nice matchup to build off his 130-yard, one-touchdown performance last week. Would Bill Belichick have it any other way?
Danny Amendola @ Green Bay ($4.5 DraftKings)
We’ve touched on several notable current and former New England Patriots in this piece, so what’s one more. Danny Amendola heads to Green Bay with the Dolphins this week, and if you’re looking to go contrarian, he might be your guy. The veteran is averaging 7.75 targets per game over his last four, including an 84-yard, one-touchdown day two games ago. Now, he’s risky, as there is blowout potential here, like, mega-blowout potential. The Packers have to be seething after consecutive crushing losses to some real contenders in the Rams and Patriots. But if Ryan Tannehill can pull together some semblance of a passing attack, Amendola stands to gain the most against this defense ranking 23rd in DVOA vs. the pass. Miami will be forced to pass in this one, and Amendola has double-digit target potential here. Just understand the risk associated.
Davante Adams vs. MIA ($7.8 DraftKings)
Aaron Rodgers has a weird array of targets at his disposal this season. His best rapport is with Davante Adams, who he seems to believe is the Packers’ best path to contention. As I’ve mentioned before, the Packers need to right the ship. Adams is a consistent, high-ceiling receiver for your DFS lineups. The clear-cut number 1 pass-catching option for arguably the best quarterback in the league, Adams has scored double-digit DK points in every game this season, while topping out at 32. With the Packers set at 10-point favorites, there’s certainly blowout potential. I just happen to believe Adams will be doing a lot of the initial scoring and could push that top score higher this week. He’s a strong leverage play off of Marquez Valdes-Scantling who will likely be very highly owned.
Cash Game Options: Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Michael Thomas, Corey Davis, Keenan Allen, Tyler Boyd, Mo Harris, Larry Fitzgerald, Cooper Kupp
Best Week 10 NFL DFS Tight Ends
Trey Burton vs. DET ($3.9 DraftKings)
The Detroit Lions rank third to last (30th) in DVOA vs. TEs, which works out well for Trey Burton. The Bears’ top tight end has flashed real upside this season, including a 30-point DK performance against the Patriots last month. He’s also found his way into double-digit DraftKings scoring in all but three weeks this season. Not bad for a tight end priced at sub-$4k. The Bears are favored by a touchdown in this one, and they may not have to work the ball through the air a ton. But Burton should prove a secure short-yardage option to keep the clocks moving while boasting big play potential against this weak Detroit pass defense.
Jordan Reed vs. TB ($4.4 DraftKings)
We picked on the Tampa Bay defense with tight end Greg Olsen last week and that worked out. The veteran reeled in six passes for 73 yards and a touchdown against the Bucs. This week, fellow veteran Jordan Reed may or may not suit up, and you’ll need to monitor his questionable tag. That said, the former DFS stud is priced at just $4.4k, facing off against a defense ranking 29th in DVOA vs. TEs. He’s absolutely a strong GPP play with upside against this bad Tampa defense. There’s also shootout potential thanks to the fast-paced Tampa offense.
Cash Game Options: Jimmy Graham, Jack Doyle, Travis Kelce, OJ Howard, Ben Watson
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