NBA DFS

The NBA DFS season rolls on Thursday, 11/8/18, and we’ve got our best picks for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups tonight.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.

Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.

The Full Roster contests on FanDuel include a new scoring system in which the lowest score of the nine selected players is dropped, allowing users to take more risks with a punt play or two. Then, DraftKings has brought back its late swap for NBA contests.

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11/8/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Big Jam: $10 entry, $425k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Sharpshooter: $3 entry, $75k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot Machine: $7.77 entry, $400k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Slam: $44 entry, $125k guaranteed (FanDuel)

NBA DFS Top Plays for November 8, 2018

Best Guards for November 8, 2018

James Harden @ OKC ($10.1k DraftKings, $11.5k FanDuel)

The public will be all over Dennis Schroder ($7.0k, $7.0k) with Russell Westbrook (ankle) ruled out, but the greater value may be on the Rockets’ side of the ball. Schroder is nowhere near the defender Westbrook is, and the Thunder are likely to show some fatigue on the second half of a B2B set. James Harden has been slow to take off since returning from a hamstring pull, yet this could be a blowup spot for him against a Thunder team that ranks seventh in pace and is giving up 110.8 PPG over its last five contests. Harden averaged 26 PPG and 11.3 APG over three meetings with OKC last year and should benefit from the increased pace of play this season. He has the second-highest projection (54.7 DraftKings points) on the slate per pro models on FantasyLabs and likely won’t be this cheap going forward.

Kyrie Irving @ PHO ($8.0k DraftKings, $8.5k FanDuel)

After getting burned in consecutive games and visibly irked by the Jamal Murray’s antics Monday night, Kyrie Irving should vent his frustration on an easy target. Phoenix ranks 26th in defensive rating and 29th in opponent FG shooting (.501) this year. Diminutive Phoenix PG Isaiah Canaan stands no chance of guarding Irving, who has shown renewed pep in his step since being called out by Celtics color commentator Tommy Heinsohn for a lack of fitness. Irving is averaging 27 PPG and 5 APG while shooting a ridiculous 60% (39-for-65) from the floor over his last four appearances. The greatest threat to his upside tonight is a blowout win, but he’s a solid Cash play regardless.

Klay Thompson vs. MIL ($6.0k DraftKings, $6.5k FanDuel)

Milwaukee is attempting the most threes per game (41.1) and playing at the fifth-fastest pace in the league. The Bucks won’t be able to beat the Warriors in that type of game and could get lit up by a shooting guard in their second consecutive contest after yielding 40 points to C.J. McCollum Tuesday. Eric Bledsoe could do a decent job defending Steph Curry while Klay Thompson potentially goes off in this spot. Thompson is 20-of-38 from the floor and 7-of-16 from deep over his last two appearances. He shot 45 percent from 3-point range at home last season. Thompson saw a 5.0% increase in usage when Draymond Green missed games last year, and the Warriors PF has been ruled out with a sprained toe.

Other guards to consider: Steph Curry, Dennis Schroder, Lou Williams, Jaylen Brown, Isaiah Canaan, Patrick Beverley, Marcus Smart 

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Best Forwards for November 8, 2018

Paul George vs. HOU ($8.9k DraftKings, $10.5k FanDuel)

If Westbrook is ruled out, Schroder and Paul George will stand out as the best candidates to carry the Thunder offensively. George is the preferred play in this matchup since pesky PG Chris Paul could do an excellent job on Schroder. Plus, Clint Capela will make life tough for him at the rim. George averaged 21.7 PPG, 5 RPG and 4.3 APG over three meetings with Houston last year. He shot 45.7% from the floor and was quite efficient on zero rest last year. Thus, with the increased usage created by Westbrook’s absence, he could have a big game in a potential shootout. All that said, George is too expensive on FD, where Kevin Durant is right in his price range.

Khris Middleton @ GSW ($6.7k DraftKings, $7.5k FanDuel)

Figuring out the Bucks-Warriors game tonight will likely be the key to this slate. Despite the absence of Draymond Green, we’re advocating for a partial fade of Giannis Antetokounmpo. Kevin Durant ($10.2k, $10.8k) saw a 5.4% increase in assist rate when Green was out, and he’s capable of containing Giannis, but that leaves Middleton free to work against Klay Thompson or Andre Iguodala. Both are solid defenders, but Middleton is capable of picking up the scoring slack when defenses key in on Giannis. In last year’s trip to Oracle, Middleton posted a 24.5% usage rate to Giannis’ 25.9%. He was second to Giannis with a 26.5% usage rate in Tuesday’s loss at Portland, and this road tilt presents a similar challenge for “The Greek Freak.”

Evan Turner vs. LAC ($5.0k DraftKings, $4.6k FanDuel)

Lost in the shuffle of C.J. McCollum’s big game was another great outing from Evan Turner off the Blazers’ bench. As the leader of their second unit, he’s seeing a 19% usage rate and significant increase with a 23% assist rate this season. Turner produced a double-double in a fast-paced matchup with the Bucks, and the Clippers are ninth in pace of play this year. He’s probably going to regress closer to his average of 25 DK PPG, but Turner is a fine Cash option at a modest price tag on FanDuel.

Trevor Ariza vs. BOS ($4.6k DraftKings, $5.3k FanDuel)

An ageless wonder, Trevor Ariza is also a true professional. He is giving a full effort despite playing for one of the worst teams in the NBA out in Phoenix. He produced 16 PPG while shooting 7-for-17 (41.2%) from downtown to post a 139 offensive rating over two meetings with Boston last year. A competitor for his touches, T.J. Warren (back) is far from healthy and went scoreless over 13 minutes in his return to the lineup Tuesday. Look for the Celtics to key in on Devin Booker, who dropped 70 on them last year, leaving Ariza open from three as a result.

Note: Tobias Harris is questionable with an illness. Give a bump to Danilo Gallinari ($6.0k, $6.7k) and Lou Williams ($5.9k, $6.2k) with Harris likely to be under 100 percent if active.

Other forwards to consider: Kevin Durant, Jayson Tatum, Danilo Gallinari, Al-Farouq Aminu, Jerami Grant, Ersan Ilyasova, P.J. Tucker

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Best Centers for November 8, 2018

Steven Adams vs. HOU ($5.8k DraftKings, $7.8k FanDuel)

At this price tag on DK, Steven Adams is an easy choice for Cash lineups with the high likelihood he posts a double-double. Houston is attempting the fourth-most threes per game and rank 29th in total rebounding. Adams is posting a much higher defensive rebounding rate (18.7%) this year, mostly because Westbrook hasn’t been as aggressive in pursuing boards and has missed time. Adams shot 76% from the floor over three uptempo meetings with the Rockets last year and should thrive in pick-and-roll sets with Schroder in this matchup. He has the highest per-dollar rating (85.25) for DK contests of any center on FantasyLabs. On FanDuel, we might prefer Suns rookie Deandre Ayton.

Boban Marjanovic @ POR ($5.4k DraftKings, $5.4k FanDuel)

We can start to go on “Boban watch” based on the matchup the Clippers face each night. Boban Marjanovic has moved into the rotation with defensive liability Marcin Gortat relegated to nightly DNP-CD’s. The Blazers have a big-bodied center in Jusuf Nurkic, who doesn’t necessarily draw bigs away from the basket, so Marjanovic has a clear path to 20-25 minutes in a starting role. He’s incredibly productive while he’s out there with a 33% defensive rebounding rate and 25.5% usage rate, second only to Lou Williams on the Clippers. Portland yields the fourth-most offensive RPG (12.5) and eighth-most RPG (44.9) this year. The Blazers take a ton of jump shots in a guard-based offensive system.

Other centers to consider: Deandre Ayton, Al Horford, Jusuf Nurkic, Brook Lopez

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