Hope everyone made lots of money with Fitzmagic and Tre Mason last week.
This week doesn’t offer as many blaring BUYs, but thanks to the power of NERDY BLOG NERD chalk play spreadsheets and mythical social listening tools, we’ll chart a course to Week 14 profitability.
These charts measure player price vs. the number of times they’ve been mentioned or “buzzed” about among a selected group of fantasy football pundits, touts and DFS degenerates over the last week on Twitter. The players are all considered “chalk” plays, i.e., they have an elite projection to price ratio (based on industry-wide average projections).
This week, Colin Kapernick is the cheap GPP play that people are talking about. Since Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 6 TDs last week anything is possible. I’ll gladly take a few Kaepernick shares, but if I want to really go under the radar, Shaun Hill and Eli Manning about the same (or less) and have a similar value projection on Fanduel, and no buzz.
Russ Wilson will probably be the top-owned cash game play… he’s got a ton of buzz and a nice mid-range price as a chalk play. Among the high-priced QBs, Breesus, Brady and Peyton are getting lots of love, while Luck and Aaron Rodgers aren’t getting as much buzz.
At RB, Jonathan Stewart and Frank Gore are the lowest-priced chalk plays. They both carry significant red flags but don’t need a lot of points to make value. There’s a good amount of buzz on both so that they’re both not under the radar.
Joique Bell seems to be under the radar at a slightly higher price. He’s on the lower end of the spectrum as a chalk play (10th projected value ratio) but I love him in GPP play.
Marshawn Lynch, along with his backfield mate Russell Wilson, is breaking the mentions counter and making the chart look more crowded than it really is. He’s the high-priced play that many people will be saving up for.
Once again, we have to remove Josh Gordon from this chart. Look at this:
Yeah, can’t read anything from that.
Ah, much better.
Here we can see Kenny Stills is leading the way again as a low-price, high-buzz chalk play. Love him in cash games, and he’s almost too good of a lineup-builder in GPP to ignore.
Somehow DeAndre Hopkins has very little buzz that’s getting picked up, but according to Benny’s Week 14 Fanduel ownership rates post he was the 2nd highest owned receiver in games that started on Thursday. Weird.
Greg Olsen, as always, is a higher-priced dart throw with no buzz.