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PGA DFS

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Plays for The Safeway Open

Welcome back for another week of PGA DFS at DraftKings and FanDuel. We’re here to give you the full report on fantasy golf picks for The Safeway Open at Silverado.

As always, our goal is for PlayPicks to be your first and last stop for an all-around PGA DFS news source each week … and for free! Give me a follow at @DFSJimmie if you haven’t already. And while you’re at it, go ahead and like PlayPicks on Facebook and follow us on Twitter. Now, back to your regularly scheduled PGA breakdown.

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The course

Silverado is located just north of Napa and west of Sacramento. The course stretches out to 7,200 yards and featuring Poa greens, typical of the West Coast courses. Originally designed by Robert Trent Jones in 1966 and recently revamped by Johnny Miller in 2011, the course has plenty of character, beautiful mountain views, and trees that frame but don’t encroach on the holes.

How it plays

With a variety of hole lengths and no par 4’s that exceed 450 yards, Silverado is a very gettable course in terms of scoring. Two of the four par 5’s are reachable by most of the field, while the winning score averages between -15 and -19 under in the past few years. The trickiest part of this weak field and benign course are the greens. The Poa is a tricky grass to putt and frequently gives the players fits as it gets bumpier throughout the day. Players with experience and success on the West Coast should get a bump because of the putting surface alone.

In general, this course has fairways that are middle of the road in difficulty to hit, and the approach shots will come from a variety of distances. Given this generic setup and weak field, any player could rise up this week. Give bombers a bit of a bump too since plenty will miss the fairways throughout the week. After all, if you are gonna be in the rough, it’s always better to be closer to the green.

Since this is technically the first event of the new season and most of the big names are getting over the Ryder Cup, favor hot players from “last year” and strong Poa putters.

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The breakdown

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Key stats

  • Strokes Gained Ball Striking
  • Birdies or Better
  • Par 5 Scoring
  • Poa Putting

PGA DFS players

Top Tier: $11.5K – $9.5K

Joaquin Niemann ($10.3K) 

He was the hottest young golfer to hit the scene last year and is now making his first appearance on the West Coast. Niemann has all the shots, plenty of length, and isn’t afraid of the moment. I love everything about this kid. At his discount in this field, he is hard to pass up. The only question mark is his Poa putting: he doesn’t have any stats from last year on Poa, so we really have no clue how he does on the surface. But if the elite nature of the rest of his game is any indication, I’m not worried. Look for him to be very popular on Fanshare Sports this week.

Emiliano Grillo ($10K)

Grillo notched his first win at this track a few years back. It makes sense: his game fits the bill for success here. He’s long and straight both off the tee and with his irons, and that leaves him plenty of opportunities. Since his win, he has posted a T26 & T28. With any luck, people will look past him because of those mediocre results. I won’t be, though. I like Grillo to start the season hot after showing some flashes toward the end of last season.

Others to consider: Brandt Snedeker and Ryan Moore are my other picks from this tier. Those two should be lower owned and have some history here. Meanwhile, Cantlay is a fade for me based on price and the fact that he isn’t a great Poa putter.

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Mid Tier: $9.4K – $7.9K

Brendan Steele ($9K)

I’m not exactly sure what DraftKings is thinking with the price on Steele this week. He won this tourney the past two years and was a staple on the leader board in the two years prior to his victories. Regardless of his form, his comfort level at this course dictates you give him some consideration. He should be a virtual lock in Cash games. Also, look for him to make it to the top 5 in FanShare tags this week.

Beau Hossler ($9.1K)

The second-year tour pro is ready to take on the West Coast swing where he found success in college. He is comfortable on Poa as well. Coming off his first run through the Fed Ex Cup and a strong rookie year, Beau should be well rested and ready to attack Silverado. Granted, he finished MDF last year at 74th, but I am not going to look too far into his single appearance here. Look for Beau to be aggressive. As one of the more talented golfers in this field, he should make the cut and contend on the weekend.

J.B. Holmes ($7.9K)

J.B rates out as first overall in my model this week. A streaky player who can bomb it around any course, Holmes also putts best on Poa. Holmes hasn’t played this track in the past few years, but his game should fit the course well, especially when it comes to scoring on the par 5’s and the short par 4’s. I expect J.B to make the cut and find plenty of DraftKings points along the way.

Others to consider: Ollie Schniederjans, Luke List, Kevin Tway, Peter Uihlein

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Value Tier: $7.8K and Lower

Cameron Davis ($7.9K) 

There won’t be a lot of stats or course history to go along with this pick. Cameron Davis is basically making his North American debut this week as an official tour card holder after securing it through the Web.com last year. Prior to that, he nabbed top Australian honors as an amateur. Davis is super talented and has the game to compete on any course. I really like him in this weaker field on a course that encourages some scoring.

Scott Piercy ($7.7K)

A world-class ball striker when he is on, Piercy showed some of his 2015 form at the end of last year after he got over a couple of nagging injuries. While not a strong Poa putter, Piercy has the striking and course management to put him in position for lots of opportunity this week. Previously, he has posted a 17th and a third place here, with only one missed cut back in 2014.

Martin Laird ($7K)

Laird is clearly comfortable at this track and on these greens, rattling off a 17/8/64/3 in his four tries at this track. This is more of a course-history play since Laird hasn’t shown a ton of form in a while. That said, it’s hard to know exactly what kind of form anyone will come in with this week after some time off. At only 7K, Laird offers a lot of consistency for your Cash lineups and plenty of upside for the GPP too. He should be able to make the cut and pay off his price tag pretty easily this week.

Tyler Duncan ($6.8K) 

Fresh off a strong rookie season that showed us quite a bit of consistency in his scoring and ball striking, as well as with his ability to contend in much more difficult fields, Duncan should be in a great place to repeat his fifth-place finish here last year. Overall, he’s a great way to round out your lineups this week. Duncan has plenty of firepower to get to the par 5’s and should be able to get aggressive on the shorter par 4’s as well.

Others to consider: J.J. Spaun, Chesson Hadley, Kevin Streelman, Hunter Mahan

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