MLB DFS DraftKings.com & FanDuel.com Lineups & Picks for September 29, 2018
Happy Saturday, DFSers. We’re back for another full slate of MLB DFS games scheduled for 9/29/18 at DraftKings and FanDuel. We’re listing our MLB DFS best picks at pitcher, hitter, and stacks to target in Cash and GPP lineups.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mookie Betts can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Chris Sale can get lit up by an unexpected team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate.
9/29/18 MLB DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Extra Inning: $10 entry, $75k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $10,000 to 1st!
Switch Hitter: $180 entry, $100k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $20,000 to 1st!
MLB Rally: $9 entry, $50k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $10,000 to 1st!
MLB Grand Slam: $66 entry, $50k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $10,000 to 1st!
Best MLB DFS Pitchers for September 29, 2018
Corey Kluber @ KC ($11.1k DraftKings, $12.2k FanDuel)
With double-digit strikeouts in three of his last four games, Kluber carries a price tag of some significance today. You should still consider him. The Cleveland ace is three games removed from striking out 10 Kansas City Royals hitters across 6.2 innings. He also earned the win in that one, something he’s also done three times over his past four games. But this isn’t surprising looking at the second half of Kluber’s season. The veteran is 7-1 over the past two months and is weirdly playing his best baseball as we head into October. Good timing for Kluber and good timing for DFS owners rostering him today.
Kyle Gibson vs. CWS ($8.1k DraftKings, $7.5k FanDuel)
The White Sox have scored three runs or less in five of their last 10 games, and they’re striking out more over the last 10 games than every other offense on this slate. Kyle Gibson has been a model of consistency as of late, but he’s yet to truly put together a dominant performance since back in July when he went on a bit of a heater. But given his back-to-back wins in his most recent two outings, coupled with the fact he hasn’t had a dud since August, Gibson has matchup appeal and upside. The White Sox are a bad team, and Gibson should be able to do better than his five strikeouts per game (over his last four) given Chicago is averaging more than 10 Ks per game over their last 10.
Trevor Richards @ NYM ($7.7k DraftKings, $6.7k FanDuel)
If you’re looking for high-risk, high-reward, look no further. Richards is coming off a nine-strikeout performance in his last outing, a dominant one in which he allowed three hits and zero runs over seven innings against the Cincinnati Reds. Today, Richards faces a Mets team that has the second-most strikeouts per game over their last 10 out of all offenses on this slate. They’re also playing in pitcher-friendly Citi Field. However, in his last go-round at that venue, Richards allowed four runs over five innings, while striking out two. Hey, I said it was risky. If you want high upside at a low cost, Richards is your guy in what will be his final start of the season.
Other pitchers to consider: Aaron Nola, Zack Godley, James Paxton
Best MLB DFS Hitters for September 29, 2018
David Dahl vs. ($5.4 DraftKings, $4.0k FanDuel)
Dahl has been on the warpath lately, with four home runs and a triple over his last four games. I’m normally not one to ride the hot hand, but Dahl is on fire, and today he’ll face right-hander Stephen Strasburg at Coors Field. Strasburg has a 9.35 ERA at Coors Field over the past three seasons, and he’s far from consistent at this point. The Rockies are fending off the Dodgers in the AL West, while the Nationals will sit out this postseason in one of the more drastic disappointments in a string of disappointments for this depressed franchise.
David Peralta @ SDP ($4.6 DraftKings, $4.0k FanDuel)
In one at-bat against Jacob Nix, David Peralta sent the baseball over the outfield fence, driving in three for good measure. Peralta, like Dahl, is an expensive lefty, but he also has four home runs over his last 11 games. The Diamondbacks outfielder has also crushed righties this year to the tune of a .956 OPS, and 22 of his 30 home runs. Nix, meanwhile, is allowing a .955 OPS to LHBs, making Peralta a safe, high-upside option for those targeting this exploitable matchup.
Charlie Blackmon vs. WAS ($5.1 DraftKings, $4.4k FanDuel)
While I hate calling out two guys from the same team (let alone two outfielders from the same team), I really like Blackmon as a leverage play if you want to maximize your Dahl fade. It’s entirely plausible that Dahl comes crashing back to Earth. It’s also possible that Blackmon continues on his streak of under 7 DK points per game over his last 10. But Blackmon is 7-for-14 lifetime against Stephen Strasburg with four doubles and a home run. Strasburg, as I said before, struggles at Coors Field albeit in a very limited sample size. Still, Blackmon and the Rockies are playing for the postseason, and Washington’s season can’t come to an end fast enough. I like a contrarian Rockies stack, headlined by Dahl or Blackmon, depending on your level of comfort with risk.
Ryan Braun vs. DET ($4.7 DraftKings, $3.0k FanDuel)
Braun’s ability against left-handed pitching is undeniable. The 35-year-old has nine home runs in 124 at-bats against lefties in 2018. He has nine home runs against RHPs too, only he has more than twice the number of at-bats against them. His Brewers are looking toward the playoffs, but they’d like to pick up the NL Central if they can. It’s a big game for Milwaukee at home, and Detroit’s Daniel Norris will seek to derail the streaking Brewers. Braun’s scorching .479 wOBA against lefties over his last 50 ABs is stronger evidence to support him today compared to what Norris can muster. The lefty is 0-5 with a 5.22 ERA this season, and Braun hits amid some very serious company. Thus, a Brewers stack is in order if you can afford them. Fortunately, you can probably afford Braun.
Other hitters to consider: Mike Moustakas, Christian Yelich, Lorenzo Cain, Mike Zunino, Cameron Maybin, Ketel Marte, A.J. Pollock, Eduardo Escobar, Nelson Cruz, Edwin Encarnacion, Michael Conforto, Trea Turner, Ryon Healy, Khris Davis
MLB DFS Stacks to Consider for September 29, 2018
Rockies vs. Stephen Strasburg (Nats) — Contrarian
Brewers vs. Daniel Norris (Tigers)
Diamondbacks vs. Jacob Nix (Padres)
Athletics vs. Tyler Skaggs (Angels)
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