NFL DFS DraftKings Lineups & Picks for Week 4
Football season is back, and we’re back with a full slate of NFL DFS games at DraftKings. We’re listing our NFL DFS best picks at quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end to target in Cash and GPP lineups.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes and slanted towards tournaments. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Injuries can also play a huge role in NFL DFS on a weekly basis. So always, always check the starting lineups when playing for an NFL slate.
DraftKings DFS Tournaments
Best Week 4 NFL DFS Quarterbacks
Drew Brees @ NYG ($6.6k DraftKings)
Brees isn’t always the sexiest play, but if one thing’s clear this season, it’s that the Saints need to score a lot to win football games. Though Week 2 was a low-scoring affair against Cleveland, Brees still managed to walk away with 17.62 DraftKings points. That won’t win you a GPP, but it doesn’t kill your lineup, either. The other two weeks this season, Brees scored 34.56 and 43.54 DraftKings points. Both those games involved the Saints scoring more than 40 points, with their opponents scoring at least 37 in each. This week, the future Hall-of-Famer faces a potential gameflow issue, as the Giants scored under 20 points in each of the first two weeks. But the Saints defense should allow Eli Manning and company to stay competitive. Brees hasn’t thrown a pick this season, and he has numerous weapons at his disposal. The Giants rank 29th in DK points allowed to opposing QBs. Sounds like it could work out.
Deshaun Watson @ IND ($6.3k DraftKings)
After a disappointing Week 1, Watson has scored 26.8 and 29 DraftKings points in the last two weeks. Those are very respectable scores, yet Watson hasn’t broken out in quite the same way as he did last year. This week, he’ll face a Colts defense that ranks 19th in points allowed to the quarterback position, but they’ve faced Andy Dalton, Alex Smith, and rusty-ish Carson Wentz. Watson has athletic ability well beyond those three, and he’s managed at least 36 rushing yards in each game this season. If you want a quarterback with strong upside and a high floor, Watson could be your guy. The Texans are underdogs in this one and already find themselves struggling to save the 2018 season. This is a very meaningful matchup for Watson, who still has much to prove.
Josh Allen @ GB ($5.1k DraftKings)
Fine, I’ll bite. Allen looked great last week, helping the Bills earn a very improbable win against the Vikings. He earned two rushing touchdowns and threw for another, all against a very tough defense, which his matchup this week, the Green Bay Packers, is not. The Packers have allowed the second-most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks this season, and I don’t think opponents saw enough of Allen thus far to really pick apart his game. Ride the rookie while he’s on the way up, and while he’s still really cheap. Of course, this is a GPP article and this is a large field GPP play that will come with little ownership. If you’re wanting to get Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas, Odell Beckham and the like in your lineups…you’re gonna have to punt QB.
Cash Game Options: Andy Dalton, Baker Mayfield, Matt Ryan
Best Week 4 NFL DFS Running Backs
Saquon Barkley vs. NO ($8.1 DraftKings)
Barkley hasn’t broken out yet this season for a singular performance, but he’s had flashes of brilliance. He’s also scored more than 20 DraftKings points in each of the first three weeks. This Sunday, the Giants’ lead back will face the New Orleans Saints in a game with an over/under of 50. The Giants have not yet been in a game with an over/under of 50 this season, but the Saints have been shredded by seemingly worse offenses. While the Giants will likely need to pass a lot in this one, Barkley will offer them a nice change of pace, and his 21 receptions on the season display that he’s probably a real-deal three-down back. Barkley is going to break out at some point this season in a big way. A high-scoring matchup at home against the Saints at least suggests this will be the week.
Jordan Howard vs. TB ($6.3 DraftKings)
Somehow, Howard has 10 catches this season on 11 targets. Once thought to be incapable of working in the passing game, Howard seems to be carving out a role, at least as an escape clause for Mitch Trubisky. Surprisingly, he’s not running the ball that well, averaging less than three yards-per-carry over the past two weeks (though he did score a touchdown last week). The Bucs are crazy-hot right now and are due for some regression. The Bears and Khalil Mack might be too much of a disruptive defense for Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bucs to get on track. This feels like a matchup where neither offense really gets going, and Howard is put to work to run down clock. That’ll work for owners, as he’ll have ample opportunities against a defense allowing the 29th most DK points to opposing backs.
Chris Carson @ ARI ($4.6 DraftKings)
I think we have to go back to Chris Carson this week in a couple of our GPP lineups. The Seattle back had 32 carries last week. He turned those into 102 yards and a touchdown, while also adding two receptions for 22 yards. The Seahawks face a bad Arizona Cardinals team this week, and if they can get in and out of Arizona with a win and a healthy squad, they should be grateful. Look for Seattle to lean on Carson again in this one, as Vegas has the Cardinals implied total at 17.75, with Seattle’s at just 20.75 as the favorites. You probably won’t be able to find a more cost-effective cost-per-touch on this slate, though the low scoring expectation does limit his upside some.
Cash Game Options: Melvin Gordon, Alvin Kamara, Gio Bernard, Tevin Coleman
Best Week 4 NFL DFS Wide Receivers
Odell Beckham Jr. vs. NO ($8.7 DraftKings)
Like a number of guys in this article, OBJ has yet to truly break out this season. I know I mentioned Barkley earlier, but I actually like a (super expensive) stack between the two. While Sterling Shepard shone last week, this offense really is focused on Barkly and Beckham Jr. OBJ has yet to find the end zone in 2018, but in his only other home game, he had 11 receptions on 15 targets against a very tough Jags defense. And last week he was targeted 10 times, managing a respectable 22.9 DK points. The Saints have the worst defense in the NFL, and they rank 28th in DK points to opposing wideouts. With a full-point for each reception, Beckham has a ton of upside with the expectation of a lot of work against an offense that has allowed 48 and 37 points to opponents this season (Week 1 and 3).
Pierre Garcon @ LAC ($4.6 DraftKings)
Garcon has been a non-factor this year (unless you drafted him). That veteran receiver hasn’t managed a double-digit DraftKings-points performance this season, but the change at quarterback may affect the overall trajectory of this offense in 2017. C.J. Beathard is a downgrade, sure. But Garcon didn’t have a place in this offense before Jimmy Garoppolo’s torn ACL, and this could be a strong buy-low spot. The Chargers rank 30th against the wide receiver position in DK points this season, and the Niners are 10.5-point underdogs. They’ll likely be playing from behind, giving Garcon more upside than he’s had all season.
Keelan Cole vs. NYJ ($5.4 DraftKings)
Cole seemed to establish himself as Jacksonville’s No. 1 receiver (at least for DraftKings players) after earning 27.6 DK points in Week 2. However, last week’s nine DK points were a major letdown. Just as quickly as DFS players rushed to Cole in Week 3, they’ll likely run away just as fast in Week 4. But the Jets rank 19th against wideouts, and Cole has seen increased targets week over week every game this season (four, eight, and nine). Bortles missed him on a handful of occasions in a terrible performance last week against Tennessee, and the Jags quarterback is very inconsistent. But he’s looking to Cole, and the Jets rank 26th in DVOA against WR1s. Cole certainly seems to be that. Look for the Jags to reestablish themselves as contenders against a soft Jets squad, and Cole should carve out enough to pay back his modest salary, with upside for more.
Josh Gordon vs. MIA ($6.2 DraftKings)
While Gordon is priced high at DraftKings, that doesn’t automatically make him a fade, as I would love to avoid rostering a guy who should be more popular than is reasonable. But the Pats sat him out last week, so if he’s dressed this week, I assume they are ready to use him. After all, they need all the help they can get with Julian Edelman still suspended. Gordon fills an immediate need for this New England team and gives Tom Brady his most purely talented wideout since Randy Moss. Now, I can’t promise the same returns Moss delivered, but Gordon has the athleticism to have an immediate impact. And Rob Gronkowski will take most of the secondary’s attention. Gordon may not be fully acclimated, but he won’t need a ton of work to make a splash. After all, he still could be an elite wide receiver.
Jarvis Landry @ OAK ($7.4 DraftKings)
The Baker Mayfield Era is here, and Jarvis Landry is better for it. The two connected on a touchdown pass (Landry to Mayfield) last week and appear to have a strong chemistry. With Josh Gordon out in Cleveland, Landry is the clear guy in this passing game. And his 37 targets this season certainly prove that. The Browns WR1 will face an Oakland defense ranking 26th against the position. Landry is an obvious Cash target, but his sheer volume gives him too much upside to overlook in GPPs. At his price, you should see a very efficient cost per touch, and if Baker Mayfield is for real, Landry could do even more with those touches.
Cash Game Options: Michael Thomas, Julio Jones, Tyler Boyd, Sterling Shepard, Quincy Enunwa, Mike Williams (if no Keenan Allen)
Best Week 4 NFL DFS Tight Ends
Rob Gronkowski vs. MIA ($7.0 DraftKings)
While I like the idea of a Gordon play, Gronkowski is safer and offers more upside at just a slightly higher cost. The Dolphins rank dead last against the TE position, and opposing defenses now have to solve for covering two freak pass-catchers with Josh Gordon in town. You can’t double cover both, and I assume Gronk will see slightly less pressure than usual. Since Miami’s already so bad against the position, this salary seems like a steal, given the massive difference in Gronk vs. almost every other tight end.
Benjamin Watson @ NYG ($3.3 DraftKings)
Drew Brees has eight touchdown passes this season, but none to Watson. Fortunately, the New York Giants are one of the worst defenses against tight ends, ranking 28th in DraftKings points allowed to the position over the past 16 games. The Saints are projected 26.75 points, and Watson should fly under the radar of the likes of Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara. He also had a season-high six targets last week, suggesting he could continue to see a growing role in this offense with Mark Ingram still out.
Cash Game Options: Jared Cook, Eric Ebron, Zach Ertz
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