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NASCAR DFS

NASCAR DFS Cheat Sheet: DraftKings Picks for Bank of America Roval 400

Each week, we’ll have an early week cheat sheet for the DFS NASCAR contests at DraftKings. This week, we look at the Bank of America Roval 400 at Charlotte.

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TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN

1. Martin Truex, Jr.

The pending closure of the No. 78 car garage does not seem to be affecting performance. Truex is just as fast as he was last year. The Charlotte roval is more road course than oval, or at least that is what we believe. No one knows anything other than that the summer roval test was a wreck-filled disaster. The road course portion could turn into a slow Sunday. Either way, there are a lot of turns and a lot of places to make mistakes. Drivers who are good on road courses should be able to handle the multiple turns. Truex is the best road racer in NASCAR over the last two years, and that cannot be debated.

2. Kyle Busch 

At Watkins Glen, Kyle Busch was the best road racer in the best car. He was on his way to a win until a bad pit stop during the last caution buried him in the back of the field. It’s hard to predict what will happen at this track, but one interesting event occurred during the roval test this summer. Kyle Busch figured out how to cheat the backstretch chicane. NASCAR had to rewrite the rules because of Busch. If there is a trick to this track, then Busch will be the first to figure it out.

3. Kevin Harvick

He looks human. Harvick is one of the three fastest drivers, but he’s not the fastest. His edge has vanished. And it’s not just Busch and Truex nipping at his heels: Keselowski, Elliott, and Kurt Busch are right there. If the Charlotte roval is a road course, then it’s similar to Sonoma. The roval’s infield is technical and tight just like the turns at Sonoma. Harvick was the fastest and should have won at Sonoma in June, but his team got outsmarted on pit road.

4. A.J. Allmendinger

The other Cup drivers are pretty good at road courses because they run the same road race tracks every year. In their first road races, most of them stunk. This will be everyone’s first road race at Charlotte, and we’ll find out who the real road race expert is. There is also rain in the forecast all week at Charlotte. There was rain during the Xfinity Watkins Glen race, and none of the drivers knew what they were doing except for one — A.J. Allmendinger. He took the lead and ran away from the field.

5. Brad Keselowski

It’s unlikely the roval will be a test of skill or speed. Neither the best car nor the best driver will win. The first prerequisite for winning will be surviving. The second is strategy. No one has any idea how this race will play it out. Will there be short pitting and fuel saving? If anyone knows these answers, it will be the No. 2 team. They just won three races in a row by executing on pit road and playing strategy. Keselowski has struggled at the technical road course in Sonoma, but he’s improved over the last two years.

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LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG

1. Michael McDowell – The typical road course experts are only experts because they have raced at Watkins Glen and Sonoma for 10 years. That’s not the case this weekend. McDowell is a former road course instructor.

2. Chris Buescher – His teammate is a road course expert. Allmendinger has turned Buescher into an impressive road racer.

3. Chase Elliott – He’s not a long shot, but then again, everyone is a long shot this weekend. Elliott won the last road course race at Watkins Glen.

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RECENT SUCCESS

Brad Keselowski – He finished ninth last week, but we can’t forget his three-race win streak. Keselowski led the third-most laps at Richmond.

Martin Truex, Jr. – Richmond was his second third-place finish in a row. Truex led the most laps last week (163 laps led).

Aric Almirola – At Las Vegas, Almirola finished sixth. He followed that race with a fifth-place finish at Richmond. Almirola might race his way into the championship.

TRACK HISTORY

Track history is unavailable. This is the first-ever roval race.

PICK TO WIN

A.J. Allmendinger – No one knows anything about the Charlotte roval. The driver who figures it out first will be the winner. I’m going with the road course expert.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.

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