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PGA DFS

DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Plays for Tour Championship

Welcome back for another week of PGA DFS at DraftKings and FanDuel. We’re here to give you the full report on fantasy golf picks for The Tour Championship at East Lake.

As always, our goal is for PlayPicks to be your first and last stop for an all-around PGA DFS news source each week … and for free! Give me a follow at @DFSJimmie if you haven’t already. And while you’re at it, go ahead and like PlayPicks on Facebook and follow us on Twitter. Now, back to your regularly scheduled PGA breakdown.

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The course

East Lake is a traditional tree-lined golf course, designed by Donald Ross and refreshed throughout the years. A lengthy 7,300-yard par 70, sporting Bermuda grass greens, tight fairways and long rough, East Lake is a formidable test for the final event of the season.

How it plays

East Lake has been around on the tour for some years now, and we have a pretty good idea of how it will play year in and year out. This year, it appears the recent Hurricane Florence didn’t affect conditions at the course, and we should expect a firm and fast course in hot weather.

This is annually one of the tougher courses to hit the fairways. Plus, there are some decent length Bermuda roughs to worry about if golfers do miss. The tree lines keep players from cutting too many corners. While distance does matter at this track, you don’t have to be a long hitter to find success. Just find the fairways. Bermuda putters certainly get a bump up the ranks.

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The breakdown

Like most par 70s, the scoring resides on the par 5’s here. That should be heavily factored in as scoring will overtake place differential in some cases this week. The rest of the scoring occurs on the short par 4’s while the long par 4’s really take a bit out of the scorecards. Finally, the lengthy par 3’s enhance the importance of long-iron ball striking.

Give the Bermuda putters a boost and favor the guys who can hit their fair share of fairways. Beyond that, it’s tough to read too far into the course anymore given that the field is made up of the best 30 guys on tour. Any one of them can show up for four days. Make sure to keep a tight player pool this week, and pay attention to ownership as well. Differentiating lineups will be crucial to success.

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Key stats

  • Strokes Gained BS
  • Prox 175-200+
  • Par 5 Scoring
  • Short Par 4 Scoring

PGA DFS players

Top Tier: $11.5K – $9.5K 

Justin Thomas ($10.7K) 

Justin Thomas posted a sixth and a second in his two appearances at East Lake and seems to be very comfortable with the layout here. JT has plenty of distance to take advantage of the scoring holes and has improved his accuracy this season. Likely the chalkiest option of the expensive tier, Thomas will get plenty of tags on FanShare this week, and rightfully so: he’s a prolific scorer and long iron player. Ultimately, JT is in fine form to take down a second Fed Ex Cup.

Brooks Koepka ($9.7K) 

Brooks has quietly been stalking about the playoffs with a 6th/12th/19th in his last two starts, staying just far enough under the radar to keep from being too chalky. Likely to be the lowest owned of the top tier, Brooks has the game to take down East Lake and cement his position as Player of the Year. Bermuda is his best putting surface, and he has improved his results since his first time around this track with an 18th: he posted a 6th last year.

Tiger Woods ($9.5K) 

The Big Cat is finding his form once again. While it has been a while since we have seen him at East Lake, Tiger should adjust just fine. His driver has steadied the past few weeks, and his approach game remains the best in the field. If Tiger can hit fairways this week, he will contend. If he doesn’t hit fairways, he will struggle mightily. Switching back to his old school putter certainly seemed to give him a positive boost as well.

Others to consider: Everyone in this tier is in play.

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Mid Tier: $9.4K – $7.6K

Francesco Molinari ($8.2K)

Fresh off his T8, Molinari is making his debut at the Tour Championship, and his game couldn’t be a better fit. His super consistent T2G game should play well among the tight fairways and give him plenty of opportunities. Boasting one of the strongest long iron approach games around, Molinari will get it rolling this week.

Tommy Fleetwood ($7.9K)

Tommy is making his first appearance at East Lake (much like Xander last year, mind you) and doing so as he marches toward his inevitable first stateside victory. Lighting it up on the scoreboards and leaderboards this entire year, Fleetwood has shown his upside without notching that victory. While not the best Bermuda grass putter, Fleetwood is a prolific scorer and currently in great form. He’s picked up positive strokes on approach in his last nine events while picking up strokes off the tee in eight of his last nine. As the Ryder Cup approaches, I get the impression Americans are weary of rostering Euros; that could help keep his ownership in check. Even better, I love a low-owned, high-upside play.

Webb Simpson ($7.5K)

While Webb won’t be as chalky as Billy for a few hundred less, expect Simpson to garner plenty of tags on Fanshare this week. A strong Bermuda putter, he likes this layout and has shown the ability to excel on the courses that place a premium on fairways. That was the MO for his marquee victory at the Players Championship this year. With an improved putter and world class ball striking, Webb could well find his way inside the top 10 this week.

Others to consider: Tony Finau, Bryson DeChambeau

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Value Tier: $7.5K and Lower

Note: Billy Horschel will be the highest tagged golfer at FanShare Sports this week. Make sure if you roster him that your lineups are properly differentiated.

Paul Casey ($6.8K)

Casey has some of the strongest course history of the field at this event due to his very consistent ball striking. Likely to be one of the chalkier options down in this range for that reason, Casey knows where to put the ball on approach here to leave himself manageable putts throughout the event. Look for him to anchor a lot of lineups.

Patrick Cantlay ($7.1K)

The slow and steady paces win the races; isn’t that right? Cantlay thinks so with his snail’s pace of play. What he lacks in speed, he compensates for in sheer ball striking ability. That’s all you need around East Lake. Bermuda is his preferred putting surface as well. Highly talented and likely to go a bit under owned, Cantlay looks great this week.

Bubba Watson ($6.5K) 

Bubba is currently first in strokes gained off the tee over the past 50 rounds. He’s also 10th in ball striking and a neutral Bermuda putter. Having won three times already this year and finished inside the top 5 at East Lake twice, Bubba has a ton of scoring upside should he find the fairway more than folks expect this week.

Others to consider: Gary Woodland, Cam Smith, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Reed

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