Both in standard leagues and daily I had just a brutal week this past week. True story, my most important league lineup did not generate a position player touchdown. I still managed to get 95 points because I have a really solid group of players, but lost by 4….Just brutal, and it was an inopportune time for Andrew Luck to have his worst game of the season as well…So many factors. Oh well, I look to bounce back and so do a lot of fellow players. Here at PlayPicks we advocate multi roster flexibility in GPP tournaments. It is extremely tough to predict the perfect lineup to take down a tournament but giving yourself more then one bullet is always advised. With the Perfect Team each week it is my goal to bring you a lineup that you could feel comfortable entering across a wide ranging amount of various games if you were to only use one lineup in a weekend.
I have one big stay away this week and that’s Josh Gordon. I generally don’t mind going for highly owned players, as sometimes you just can’t pass up a prime matchup…but I have a few thoughts on why no this week for Gordon.
- They might ease him back into the swing of things
- More importantly: the Browns want to run, and will be able to run. There is likely to not be any goal line looks for Gordon, so if he doesn’t score from deep it might be a light week (which he’s certainly capable of scoring from deep). But also, if he doesn’t score in the first quarter it could be a long day for fantasy owners as the Browns might just try to hang on to the lead by running with their two talented rookies vs a terrible Falcons run D.
I’m betting that Isaiah Crowell ends up being highly owned and I think he’s worth it as he’s got massive upside in this matchup and his price is so cheap….You’re going to be behind the eight ball if you don’t own him…but I don’t think Gordon is worth the potential price+ownership%. I could certainly be wrong, but I think there are better options at that price.
QB: Andrew Luck—-10,300: Luck coming off of his worst performance as a pro, at home vs a struggling Jags secondary….I’m envisioning a bunch of fantasy points on his end as the Colts try to rebound from a tough loss. Also it is not like he is going to hand the ball off to Trent Richardson 30 times even if the Colts are up big on the Jaguars.
RB: Isaiah Crowell—–5,500: The decision of the Browns to cut Ben Tate is massive for Crowell’s fantasy value. While there is still the chance that fellow rookie Terrence West has the proverbial hot hand this week, the Browns run the ball so much it seems nearly impossible they won’t get at least 15 touches Crowell’s way. That and playing a terrible Falcons run defense makes Crowell a must-play.
RB: Charles Sims—4,900: I think you’re getting a lot of potential bang for your buck here. Sims looked better last week against a much tougher Redskins front 7 and now gets to play a Bears defense that really struggles vs pass catching backs. He’s so cheap and he has the starting job locked in.
WR: Odell Beckham Jr—7,500: ODB is just so freaking good, it’s tough for me to not play him. He has the high floor of a possession WR and the big play ability of a number 1 WR and he’s playing he feeble Dallas secondary. I do worry about teams playing the Cowboys, since they hold on to the ball for song long it might diminish they play count….but OBD only needs 1,2,3 touches to make your fantasy day a winner.
WR: Sammy Watkins—-7,500: You’re going to need to monitor the weather in this one. If it’s cold, that’s one thing, but if there is a lot of wind and snow it could be something that would give me pause as Orton does not have the strongest arm to throw through materializing weather. That being said, Watkins torched the Jets last time they played and looks to do the same this week.
WR: TY Hilton—-8,500: Andrew Luck hook up pt. 1
TE: Colby Fleener—5,400: Andrew Luck hook up pt. 2
K: Justin Tucker—-5,100: Kicker gets to be really dicey from this point on. Baily, Carpenter, Sturgis and a few other really good kicking options are playing outdoors in potential weather situations….Tucker gets to play the Saints indoors which I think has two benefits. 1) Playing indoors is helpful for any kicker and 2) The Saints are better at home and the Ravens are worse on the road. The Saints still won’t be good enough to completely shut out the Ravens, but I could see a situation where the Ravens can move the ball just enough to get Tucker in big-game field goal range.
DST: Buffalo Bills—-5,100: I think they’re going to be the best value this week. Even though the game has been moved to Det Vegas has not adjusted the over under the game as much as I thought they would. So I still feel comfortable rolling out the Buf D verse Vick and the Jets.