MLB DFS DraftKings.com & FanDuel.com Lineups & Picks for September 11, 2018
There are 13 games on the main MLB DFS slate for Tuesday, 9/11/18. Below is a list of our best MLB DFS picks for pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target in Cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!
Note: There could be delays in Philadelphia, New York (Mets), Oakland, and Boston tonight. Check for weather updates on Tuesday afternoon.
9/11/18 MLB DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Turn Two: $222 entry, $300k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Extra Inning: $10 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50,000 to 1st!
RIDICULOUS Rally: $18.88 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $25,000 to 1st!
Firm Squeeze: $6.66 entry, $60k guaranteed (FanDuel)
Best MLB DFS Pitchers for September 11, 2018
Jacob deGrom vs. MIA ($13.5k DraftKings, $11.8k FanDuel)
The Red Sox are only expected to let Chris Sale toss 40 pitches in his return, making Jacob deGrom the unquestioned top play on this 13-game slate. He’ll face a Marlins team with the fourth-lowest wOBA (.293) and lowest ISO Mark (.122) when facing RHPs this season. A frontrunner for the N.L. CY Young, deGrom leads the MLB with a 1.68 ERA on the year and is top 10 in most other pitching categories. He’s somehow failed to earn a win over three starts against Miami this season but boasts a 10.42 K/9 ratio in those outings. The Mets ace has a much higher floor now that his team is suddenly raking with the fourth-highest wOBA (.326) in the N.L. over the last 30 days.
Mike Foltynewicz @ SF ($11.3k DraftKings, $10.2k FanDuel)
After holding his own against two true contenders in the Cubs (+109 run differential) and Red Sox (+219), Mike Foltynewicz faces a Giants team with the third-lowest run differential (-56) in the National League. The Giants also have the lowest collective wOBA (.268) and second-highest K-Rate (25.7%) since the ASB and a league-low 34 runs over the last 14 days. While Foltynewicz struggled in his sole outing against San Francisco in May, he’s been lights out since the opening months of the season. He is holding hitters to a 16.7% line drive rate and .269 wOBA during the second half.
Mike Fiers @ BAL ($9.4k DraftKings, $7.6k FanDuel)
Aside from a slip-up against the Mariners, Mike Fiers has been lights out since joining the Athletics. He’s allowed just 6 ER over his five other outings with Oakland, including a brutal matchup against the Yankees last Wednesday. Now, he’ll face an Orioles team with the lowest collective batting average (.240) and third-highest K-Rate (23.3%) among A.L. teams this year. Current O’s are a combined 9-for-53 (.170) with a notable 18 Ks over a small sample against Fiers. He has his lowest ERA (3.36) since his breakout 2014 season and is a quality bargain on FanDuel.
Zack Greinke @ COL ($8.0k DraftKings, $9.4k FanDuel)
Fading Zack Greinke proved an effective strategy during last Thursday’s three-game slate. Using him at this low price tag on DraftKings might be similarly effective on tonight’s large slate. Moving from Chase Field to Coors simply doesn’t justify a $3,000 decrease in price for a capable veteran with experience pitching in the thin Denver air. Greinke has recorded 23 Ks and allowed a reasonable 12 ER over his last four outings (25.2 IP) at Colorado. His adversary, Rockies RHP Antonio Senzatela, has been touched up for 10 ER over his last two starts (9.1 IP) at Coors. At 34 years old, Greinke has found a way to mix up his pitches with a plus changeup and curveball, and he should provide good returns as a mid-tier SP on DK.
Other pitchers to consider: Joe Musgrove, Miles Mikolas, Jaime Barria, Brad Keller
Best MLB DFS Hitters for September 11, 2018
Paul Goldschmidt @ COL ($5.9k DraftKings, $4.7k FanDuel)
If you save at SP tonight, you can likely afford the most obvious play at Coors Field in Paul Goldschmidt. Arizona’s slugger is hitting .368 since Aug. 1 and slashing .346/.426/.669 on the road this season. Goldschmidt is 12-for-23 with 5 HR and 3 XBH at Coors this season and should be all over RHP Antonio Sentazela, who is coughing up a 1.76 HR/9 ratio with a 48.3% hard contact rate against RHBs at home. The inflated Run Factor at Coors could be just what the rest of the D’Backs need to get hot and support Goldschmidt.
Anthony Rendon @ PHI ($4.6k DraftKings, $4.0k FanDuel)
Anthony Rendon is rolling right now and faces a familiar foe tonight in Phillies RHP Nick Pivetta. Rendon is 10-for-23 with 5 doubles and a HR over his last six appearances and happens to be 6-for-10 with 3 HRs in his career against Pivetta. The Phillies’ 25-year-old starter has coughed up a 16.7% HR/FB ratio over his first two MLB seasons and struggled with his control lately, walking eight with 3 HRs allowed over his last three outings. Citizens Bank Park also has a higher HR Factor than Nationals Park, and Rendon is 12-for-29 (.414) with 4 HRs in Philly this season.
Nelson Cruz vs. SD ($4.3k DraftKings, $3.1k FanDuel)
You almost have to get some exposure tonight against RHP Bryan Mitchell, who is being fed to the wolves, so the last-place Padres can protect their future prospects. Nelson Cruz is a good place to start with a Mariners stack considering Mitchell’s struggles with the long ball. A throw-in in the Yankees trade of Chase Headley for Jabari Blash, Mitchell is allowing RHBs to hit .344 with a 30.8% line drive rate and 2.22 HR/9 ratio this season. Cruz is still rocking his “boom stick” with a 25.5% HR/FB ratio in RvR matchups, and he’s a solid 10-for-38 with 2 HRs over his last nine appearances.
Steve Pearce vs. TOR ($4.0k DraftKings, $3.5k FanDuel)
The Red Sox have twice beaten down Blue Jays LHP Ryan Borucki and are an enticing stacking option tonight against the rookie. Mookie Betts (5-5 with 4 XBH off Borucki) and J.D. Martinez are the big guns to consider while Steve Pearce could serve as a great value along with Ian Kinsler or Brandon Phillips at second base. Pearce is hitting .337 with a 1.007 OPS and 18.2% HR/FB ratio off LHP, and 5 of his 8 hits at Fenway (over 40 at-bats) have been homers this season. Borucki allowed a .314 BAA with a 6.59 ERA over six August appearances and likely doesn’t have the stuff necessary to contain the slugging Red Sox.
Other hitters to consider: Mookie Betts, Bryce Harper, Lorenzo Cain, Jed Lowrie, Eduardo Escobar, Ramon Laureano, Jean Segura, Daniel Murphy, Adam Duvall, Willy Adames, Tyler Flowers
MLB DFS Stacks to Consider for September 11, 2018
Mariners vs. Bryan Mitchell (Padres)
Red Sox vs. Ryan Borucki (Blue Jays)
Yankees vs. Trevor May (Twins)
Diamondbacks vs. Antonio Senzatela (Rockies)
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