Week 9 NFL DFS Picks | Best Bets For DraftKings And FanDuel Lineups

Written By Nate Weitzer on November 4, 2021

We’re officially past the halfway point of the NFL’s first 17-game season and Week 9 brings a fresh batch of Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) contests offered on DraftKings and FanDuel with big prize pools and exciting formats such as Best Ball and Showdown mode.

Whether you’re located in a state that won’t allow you to wager on NFL odds or just prefer DFS to traditional sports betting, there are many contests to choose from each and every week of the season. Here, we’ll provide you with lineup advice for a variety of contests including cash games (i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up) and GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments.

NFL WEEK 9 DAILY FANTASY | BEST CONTESTS AT DRAFTKINGS & FANDUEL

Week 9 NFL DFS Lineup Picks | Predictions For DraftKings & FanDuel

Whether you play at DraftKings or FanDuel, we want to make the process of choosing your lineup as simple as possible. Below, we have suggestions for several different DFS contest types along with prices for each player from both sites.

Quarterback

Best Play: Justin Herbert (DK: $7,000, FD: $7,600)

Herbert is a great bounce-back candidate this week and his adversary, Jalen Hurts, is also in line for a big game with more appeal in FanDuel’s scoring system. Coming off a pair of rough outings against savvy veteran coaches, Herbert faces rookie HC Nick Sirianni and an Eagles team that allows the highest completion rate (74.3%) in the NFL. The Chargers are attempting the third-most passes per game (40.3) and Herbert averages the 9th-most attempts per game (5.6) in the red zone. He has a higher passer rating (100.9) with a 24:9 TD:INT ratio on the road so far in his career.

Value Play: P.J. Walker (DK: $5,000, FD: $6,300)

It looks like P.J. Walker will start for the Panthers this week with Sam Darnold (shoulder) banged up and in concussion protocol. That is a significant upgrade for all of Carolina’s skill players, especially with Christian McCaffrey (hamstring) set to come off I.R. While the matchup isn’t ideal against a disciplined Patriots defense, Walker is a mobile QB and Bill Belichick’s scheme has been exposed by dual-threat passers in the past.

Walker averaged 8.3 yards per attempt and became the record holder in just about every meaningful category at Temple University. He’s more talented than Darnold, who has been embarrassed by New England’s defense and would be wise to sit this one out.

GPP Play: Taysom Hill/Trevor Siemian (DK: $5,500, FD: $7,000)

We’ll have to watch for news from New Orleans this week with Taysom Hill working to clear concussion protocol and Sean Payton likely to cast a shroud over which player will start at QB now that Jameis Winston (ACL) is done for the year. Hill nearly won the starting job in training camp and played well with a 72.4% completion rate and 98.1 passer rating as a fill-in starter last year. Hill’s rushing prowess makes him a far more appealing draw than Siemian, although Atlanta’s 29th-rated pass defense can be had by either QB.

Fade: Josh Allen (DK: $8,200, FD: $9,000)

The Bills (-14) are massive favorites at Jacksonville and should coast to another easy victory during their long march through the tomato cans of the AFC. Jacksonville’s meek offense simply has no chance against a Buffalo team that allows the fewest PPG (13.3) in the NFL and both of their top backs (James Robinson and Carlos Hyde) are banged up. That will hurt Allen’s volume in the second half. His numbers have still been impressive in big wins, but he could come up short of value at this price tag.

Running Back

Best Play: Aaron Jones (DK: $7,200, FD: $8,500)

Logic indicates that Aaron Jones will see an expanded workload this week with Aaron Rodgers (COVID) out and Jordan Love set for his first start. The Packers receiving corps has also been hit by COVID and they will assuredly look to protect Love by running the ball early and often against one of the worst defenses in modern history. The Chiefs are yielding a league-high 6.4 yards per play and coughing up 4.8 YPC this season.

The Chiefs rank 29th in DVOA rush defense and 31st overall while allowing TDs on 72.4% of opponent red-zone possessions. Jones is 2nd among RBs in red-zone touches (37) and 3rd in receptions (33) so his role is safe even if the Packers fall behind without the reigning MVP.

Value Play: Devontae Booker (DK: $5,900, FD: $6,300)

Saquon Barkley is now on the COVID list while rehabbing his ankle sprain, so he’s unlikely to make an appearance this Sunday before the Giants enter their bye week. Booker has handled a huge workload in four straight games without Barkley, topping out with a 93% snap rate against the Chiefs on Sunday night. He’s running 15 routes per game on the season and has 14 red zone touches over the past four weeks. The Raiders’ defense is giving up the fourth-most rushing YPG (131.3) at a 4.6 YPC clip and allowing the second-highest TD conversion rate (83.3%) in the red zone.

GPP Play: Boston Scott (DK: $5,200, FD: $6,300)

Apparently, the Eagles’ staff prefers Boston Scott as their primary back with Miles Sanders (ankle) on I.R. Scott played on 45% of offensive snaps and out-gained fellow backup Kenneth Gainwell, 60-27, on similar touch counts. Jordan Howard mixed in to further cloud this committee, but Scott is still in play as a low-cost option in tournaments against a very vulnerable run defense.

The Chargers are coughing up a league-high 132.1 rushing YPG at 5.1 YPC and facing the third-highest rush-play rate (48.2%) as a result. Philly has been effective running the ball, but the new coaching staff has leaned on Jalen Hurts instead. This matchup should force their hand by encouraging more conservative run calls. Gainwell ($5,000; $5,200) is also worth a dice roll in GPP formats since he could soak up targets if Philly falls behind.

Fade: Nick Chubb (DK: $6,700, FD: $7,600)

While the Bengals are giving up the most FanDuel PPG to opposing RBs this season, they actually rank 10th in DVOA rush defense and have been playing well aside from their huge blip at the Jets last Sunday. Now motivated to bounce back in a key division game with a low implied total (46.5 points), the Bengals front seven should do a solid job corralling Chubb. The Browns’ primary early-down back looked limited by his calf injury last week and only played on 56% of snaps in his return. D’Ernest Johnson has slotted right into Kareem Hunt’s role, so Chubb is by no means a workhorse in what is currently a dysfunctional offense.

Wide Receiver

Best Play: Tyreek Hill (DK: $7,900, FD: $8,500)

The Packers have avoided giving up huge lines to opposing top WRs thus far since losing Jaire Alexander (shoulder, I.R.) but they will really miss their top CB in this matchup. Tyreek Hill continues to put up great numbers despite the overall struggles of the Chiefs offense. He leads all WRs in targets (90) and is 2nd in Air Yards (938) and FPPG (22.2) under standard 0.5 PPR scoring.

Green Bay ranks 18th in DVOA pass defense and 22nd in total DVOA defense while yielding the third-highest TD conversion rate (78.3%) in the red zone. How quickly the public forgets that Patrick Mahomes and Hill have been the most prolific stack in DFS over the past few seasons.

Value Play: Jaylen Waddle (DK: $5,600, FD: $6,100)

Tyrod Taylor (hamstring) is back under center for Houston, which gives this game more DFS appeal for both sides. The Dolphins should still get theirs on offense against a Houston team that allows the second-most PPG (30.1) and yards per play (6.3) this season. While opposing teams have been cramming it down Houston’s throat with the run game, Miami is averaging a league-low 20.9 rushes per game while passing on 66.7% of downs.

Jaylen Waddle has drawn a 22.7% target share and a 25.8% red zone target share from his former college teammate, Tua Tagovailoa, and he’s a great bet for production in this cupcake matchup.

GPP Play: Marquise Brown (DK: $6,000, FD: $7,700)

In this price range at FanDuel, Ja’Marr Chase ($7,600; $7,900) could be the better play. But Hollywood Brown is a downright bargain at DraftKings this week. He’s facing a Vikings secondary that lost veteran leader Patrick Peterson (hamstring) and promptly gave up 325 passing yards to Cooper Rush in his first NFL start. Brown has drawn the 2nd-most deep targets (18) and has the 8th-most unrealized Air Yards (425) among WRs this season.

He notably dropped a trio of potential TDs in Week 3 and has hauled in 22 of 34 targets since for four TDs in four games. He’s averaging 88.3 receiving YPG with four of his six TDs this year coming at home.

Fade: Deebo Samuel (DK: $7,800, FD: $8,000)

Samuel is coming off another huge game with 171 receiving yards against a stout Bears defense, so he should be a popular play. The Cardinals did a great job on him in Week 5 though, holding him to three catches and 58 scoreless yards on nine targets. That line came with Trey Lance under center and Jimmy Garoppolo might be more accurate, but he’s far less mobile and should be under duress from Arizona’s 6th-ranked pass rush. The Cardinals rank 2nd in DVOA pass defense, are on extra rest, and coming off a frustrating loss ahead of this division game.

Tight End

Best Play: Darren Waller (DK: $6,200, FD: $6,800)

Waller was inactive in Week 7 but has no injury designation as the Raiders come out of their bye week. He might have low ownership since the Giants basically shut down Travis Kelce on Monday night, yet Waller is now in line for even more targets with Henry Ruggs released by the Raiders after his DUI arrest. He already owns the highest route participation rate (89.7%), target share (24.9%), and red zone target share (39.1%) among TEs. Waller is averaging 12.4 yards per catch on the road and the G-Men have yielded plenty of production with opposing TEs accounting for 41 catches and four TDs against them this season.

Value Play: Dallas Goedert (DK: $4,500, FD: $6,200)

Goedert was cheap at DraftKings last week and is slightly less expensive ahead of an even better matchup against a Chargers team that yields the third-most DK PPG to his position. This game has a 50-point implied total with the Eagles (+2) far more likely to get into a shootout against the high-scoring Chargers. Goedert played on 93% of snaps in Week 7 when the Eagles were playing catch-up at the Raiders. His playing time dipped to 68% of snaps in a blowout win over the Lions, and now he should be closer to a full-time player.

GPP Play: Kyle Pitts (DK: $5,900, FD: $6,600)

The public will be running away from Kyle Pitts after he produced just two catches for 13 yards against Carolina’s elite defense. The rookie faces another elite unit this week in New Orleans and will once again draw plenty of attention with Calvin Ridley (personal) away from the team. Of course, Ridley’s absence also means more targets for Pitts, who leads all TEs in Air Yards Share (30.3%) this season. The Falcons always seem to find a way to play the Saints tough and New Orleans is in a letdown spot after rallying to beat the Bucs.

Fade: Mark Andrews (DK: $5,500, FD: $7,100)

Minnesota’s linebackers are typically excellent in coverage and this year has been no different. Eric Kendricks and Anthony Barr have helped the Vikings allow the fourth-fewest DK PPG  to opposing TEs with the second-fewest receptions (24) and zero TDs allowed to the position. Baltimore is still looking to run the ball early and often and Minnesota is yielding 4.6 YPC this season. Andrews could be asked to block quite often with Lamar Jackson targeting his receivers more often than his favorite TE.

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Nate Weitzer

Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.

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