Week 9 NFL Parlay Picks And Predictions

Posted By Brian Sausa on November 5, 2021 - Last Updated on November 7, 2021

The calendar has flipped to November and we’re almost halfway through the inaugural 18-week NFL season. To this point, online sportsbooks across the United States have been flooded each and every Sunday with tons of action coming in on the most popular sport in the country. And outside of bets on the standard moneylines, spreads, and totals, the most popular type of wager out there is the parlay.

There are several ways to bet parlays with online betting sites so below, we’ll explain some of the different choices and make our Week 9 NFL parlay picks. If you’re into other bet types aside from parlays, feel free to check out some of our other weekly NFL betting content, which is listed below:

Week 9 NFL PARLAYS | BEST PARLAY BETS THIS WEEK

If you want to build a custom parlay, each sportsbook offers dozens of markets and hundreds of individual betting options for every game. If you’re looking for suggestions, check out our Week 9 NFL parlays.

*odds are subject to change after writing*

NFL Parlays Week 9 | Bills vs. Jaguars Picks For Same Game Parlay

Same game parlays are very popular, especially for standalone prime-time games. These bets can combine the result of the contest (ML, spread, and totals) with a variety of props to build a parlay of any odds they want, entirely constructed of selections from the same contest.

Below, we’ve combined the moneyline with an alternate total and several props to build an SGP for the Bills vs. Jags matchup on Sunday, which comes out to +1200 at DraftKings:

  • Buffalo Bills -9.5
  • Josh Allen 30+ Rushing Yards
  • Trevor Lawrence 14+ Rushing Yards
  • Stefon Diggs Anytime TD Scorer
  • Both Teams Score Over 16.5 Points

The Bills and Jaguars meet in what could be the biggest mismatch of the Week on paper. Jacksonville’s 32nd-ranked DVOA  defense also ranks 30th in yards per play and 27th in pressure rate. Josh Allen is going to have all day to find the likes of Stefon Diggs, and we’re willing to bet they connect in the endzone. He’s also surpassed 30 rushing yards on five occasions this season, so it’s a worthy addition to our bet.

Trevor Lawrence has only scampered for 11 yards in each of the past two games, but he beat this total in the four games prior and he could be scrambling a bit against the top-rated DVOA defense in football. In the end, we do think the Jaguars put up some points, whether it happens in the normal flow of the game or in garbage time. The Jags’ team total is right at 16.5, so it could be a sweat for this one.

NFL Week 9 Parlay Picks | What The Sportsbooks Are Offering

For each individual NFL contest, sportsbooks also offer bettors the chance to link the moneyline or spread together with the over/under. Think of this as a sort of same-game parlay (SGP), just without any props.

Correlation bets featuring a team and the total are growing in popularity and are offered in diverse ways at sites like FanDuel and BetMGM, among others. Even if the site you’re using doesn’t offer them, you can still create an SGP that includes both elements.

Patriots at Panthers (1 p.m. ET)

Patriots ML & Under 48.5 (+120 at BetMGM): Both of these teams can play defense and don’t play at an incredibly fast pace, so we’re comfortable adding points to this low total while covering several key numbers. Both offenses struggle on early downs while the defenses excel, so we expect to see plenty of third-down attempts and long drives.

Despite New England going on the road, we’re more confident in its offense than we are in Carolina to put the ball in the endzone rather than settle for three. Both offenses struggle in the red zone, but it’s the Patriots’ defense that is a top 10 unit when its back is against the wall.

Pro Football Focus has the Patriots’ rushing offense as one of the best in the NFL, while the Panthers’ run defense is average. Expect New England to run it with success and win the game with its defense against one of the worst overall offenses in football.

Cardinals at 49ers (4:25 p.m. ET)

San Francisco 49ers +4.5 & Under 46.5 (+175 at FanDuel): The last time San Francisco and Arizona met, it was Trey Lance’s first start in the NFL and the Cardinals only managed to escape with a seven-point home win. This time around, Jimmy G will be playing quarterback for the Niners at home, and the Cardinals are on extra rest after playing last Thursday.

We think the Niners’ run game starring Eli Mitchell will take up chunks of yardage and time off the clock, leading to Kyler Murray having fewer possessions and fewer points going on the scoreboard. In the end, we see a one-score game decided by a late field goal rather than the up-and-down shootout we’ve seen from Arizona a few times this year.

We are keeping in mind that this spread was Niners +3.5 before Week 8 action, then dropped to +1 after San Francisco put up 33 on the Bears. With this pre-built parlay being offered by FanDuel, we are getting an extra point on the original spread and covering the key number of three. The total is now at 45.5 points, so we’re taking the under at one point higher, which was the original number.

Week 9 NFL Parlay Picks | Betting The Favorites

One consistently popular NFL parlay strategy is to link several favorable lines into the same bet. The goal is to build a safer wager while enhancing the payout, even though the odds aren’t astronomical like we see with some parlays. This could include alternate spreads and totals, or moneylines for larger favorites.

This week, we’re getting +135 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook for the following:

  • Dallas Cowboys ML 
  • Baltimore Ravens ML
  • Saints-Falcons Under 49.5

Here, we’ve got two favorites on the moneyline and one under getting a few extra points. The Ravens are coming off a bye and Minnesota lost to Dallas without its starting quarterback. The Vikings struggle to stop the run and that’s where Baltimore excels, and we’re not trusting Kirk Cousins in that environment.

Dallas is giving away almost 10 points and while we could increase this line slightly by making them -2.5 or another short spread, at some point it becomes worth it to avoid the points entirely if this is the route you are going. They should have no trouble with Denver, assuming Dak is back.

The Saints’ offense relied on Alvin Kamara before Jameis Winston went down, and that will continue to be the case. New Orleans’ defense also remains one of the best in the league and Atlanta didn’t look so good against Carolina without Calvin Ridley. This total is at 42.5 but by crossing over 43, 44, 47, and 48, we now have eight of the nine most common totals covered. You can take this at under 48.5, but FanDuel doesn’t offer it as an alternate total so we went with 49.5.

Week 9 NFL Betting Odds

HOW DO NFL PARLAYS WORK?

Parlays are bets which consist of two or more selections, resulting in the odds being boosted higher than you’d see from a typical straight bet. The potential to win much more than you risk is one of the reasons why parlays are so popular.

Exact parlay odds depend on multiple factors including the number of selections and the exact lines of each one, but all parlays will feature enhanced odds in some fashion. Remember that all legs of your parlay need to win for you to receive the full payout, and a push will remove the selection and keep the parlay alive.

You can include moneylines, spreads, totals, and even props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up 12 or more depending on the sportsbook. Parlays are wholly customizable, meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go, how many sides will be included, and how difficult to make each leg of the parlay.

While some bettors want high odds and a huge payday, just like you see on social media. But just because the occasional big wins are what you see go viral, they are closer to the exception and not the rule.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds. Of course, it’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk money you’re prepared to lose.

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Brian Sausa

Brian Sausa is a longtime sports writer with extensive betting experience and knowledge of the industry. A journalism graduate with an extensive sports background, Brian has been employed by multiple professional leagues including MLB, MiLB (Minor League Baseball), and the NHL.

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