NASCAR DFS Cheat Sheet: DraftKings Picks for Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard
Each week, we’ll have an early week cheat sheet for the DFS NASCAR contests at DraftKings. This week, we look at the Big Machine Vodka 400 at the Brickyard at Indianapolis.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kyle Busch
He won at Indianapolis in 2015 and 2016 but not just the Cup races. He swept the Xfinity and Cup races in 2015 and 2016. Last year, Busch led over half the laps at Indianapolis. On Lap 111 of 160, Truex and Kyle Busch wrecked each other on a restart battle for first place. The closest track in comparison to Indy is Pocono, and Busch won the second Pocono race and scored over 100 fantasy points. Busch should have won the first Pocono race if it wasn’t for an untimely debris caution.
2. Martin Truex, Jr.
Indianapolis was a two-car race last season. Before the madness occurred and nearly three quarters of the field wrecked, the lead was traded back and forth between Truex and Busch. The car that started in the preferred groove took the lead every time as it’s impossible to pass the leader at Indianapolis. The same situation unfolded in the first Pocono race. Truex was on old tires, but he started the final restarts from the preferred groove and went on to win.
3. Kevin Harvick
He’s third because everyone cannot be listed as No. 1. The truth is that Harvick might as well be ranked first. He wasn’t as fast as Busch and Truex at Indy last year, but he was pretty close. This year is a different story. Harvick scored the most hog points in the first Pocono race. He scored the second most hog points in the second Pocono race. Harvick clearly has the car to beat at Indy.
4. Chase Elliott
The summer of 2018 will be remembered as the moment when Elliott evolved from a good driver to an elite driver. Elliott is a legitimate championship contender. He only has one win, but he’s been within striking distance in every race this summer. Last year at Indy, Elliott wrecked, but who didn’t? At Pocono this year, he had the second-best average running position in the second Pocono race. He has the sixth-best average running position in the first Pocono race.
5. Kyle Larson
The field was embarrassed by Kyle Larson last week. If it wasn’t for NASCAR’s stage racing gimmick, then Larson would have lapped the entire field. And if it wasn’t for lap cars causing wrecks at the end, then Larson would have coasted to victory. Indy is not Darlington, but Larson has been good at the long, flat tracks. Larson had the fourth-best car in the first Pocono race. Last year, he was one of the 30 race cars that wrecked at Indy. Normally, Indy is not a wreck fest. Larson earned a top 10 in his first three Indianapolis races.
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LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Daniel Suarez – Indianapolis is a long track just like Pocono. Drivers can gamble on pit road. Suarez earned a second-place finish at Pocono by gambling on pit road.
2. William Byron – He won the 2017 Xfinity race at Indianapolis. At Pocono, Byron drove from 38th to sixth.
3. Austin Dillon – The No. 3 car didn’t help its brand much last week. Every time Dillon was featured on TV, he was getting lapped, wrecking the leader while getting lapped, or earning a pit road penalty. The car is just fast enough to gamble on pit road strategy.
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RECENT SUCCESS
Chase Elliott – Over the last six races, Elliott’s average finishing position was sixth. Throw out his Daytona wreck, and his average finish is eighth over the last 15 races.
Kyle Larson – He finished second at Bristol and third at Darlington. Larson is overdue for his first win of 2018.
Kurt Busch – His top 10 streak extended to seven races last week. It’s hard to imagine that his Haas Ford doesn’t extend that streak to eight this weekend at Indy.
TRACK HISTORY
Kasey Kahne (2017)
Kyle Busch (2016)
Kyle Busch (2015)
Jeff Gordon (2014)
Ryan Newman (2013)
PICK TO WIN
Kyle Busch – This is a unique track. Busch and the JGR #18 Toyota have an amazing track record in the Cup series and the Xfinity series at Indy.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.