Astros Vs Braves: World Series Game 6 Betting Lines, Stats, And Predictions – November 2, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on November 1, 2021

The Houston Astros (95-67) host the Atlanta Braves (88-73) in Game 6 of the World Series, Tuesday at 8:09 PM ET. The Braves have a 3-2 advantage, and will clinch with a victory. Houston (-130 to win) has Luis Garcia starting, while Atlanta (+110) counters with Max Fried.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of November 2, 2021, 8:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Astros vs Braves Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 82 out of the 135 games, or 60.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston has a record of 73-41 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 9
ERA 4.24
K/9 9.9

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have won in 23, or 46.9%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Atlanta has a win-loss record of 13-19 when favored by +110 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Braves and their opponents are 4-6 when it comes to hitting the over.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 15
ERA 4.45
K/9 9.3

Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried

  • Fried gets the start for the Braves, his 29th of the season. He is 14-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 158 strikeouts in 165 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance was on Thursday against the Astros, when the left-hander tossed five innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old ranks 10th in ERA (3.04), 14th in WHIP (1.090), and 16th in BB/9 (2.20).
  • Fried has pitched five or more innings in a game 25 times this year heading into this outing.
  • The Braves have a 3-4 record in Fried’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of November 2, 2021 at 8:02 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 96-67
Home 51-30
Road 45-37
vs LHP (Starters) 35-28
vs RHP (Starters) 61-39
Day Games 3-6
Night Games 93-61

Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Astros Probable Pitcher – Luis Garcia

  • The Astros’ Garcia (11-8) will make his 29th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Braves.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 30 games this season with a 3.24 ERA, 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings and a batting average against of .229.
  • Garcia has started 28 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 22 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • His team is 13-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of November 2, 2021 at 8:02 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 88-73
Home 42-38
Road 46-35
vs LHP (Starters) 23-18
vs RHP (Starters) 63-53
Day Games 15-13
Night Games 73-60

Astros Hitting Stats

  • The Astros average 1.4 home runs per game to rank ninth in baseball with 221 total home runs.
  • The Astros have hit 113 home runs at home this season (1.3 per game).
  • Houston has hit nine home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Yuli Gurriel leads Houston in batting average (.319) this season while adding 15 home runs and 81 RBI.
  • Kyle Tucker is batting .294 with an OBP of .359 and a slugging percentage of .557 this season.

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves’ 239 home runs rank third in Major League Baseball.
  • They have averaged 1.5 home runs per game in their 88 road contests this season.
  • Over the last 10 games, Atlanta has hit 15 home runs.
  • Austin Riley leads the Braves in home runs (33) and runs batted in (107).
  • Freddie Freeman has shown off his power as he leads his team with 31 home runs.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (+110)

Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy