NASCAR DFS Cheat Sheet: DraftKings Picks for Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
Each week, we’ll have an early week cheat sheet for the DFS NASCAR contests at DraftKings. Today, we look at the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire.
NASCAR DFS CONTESTS
Piston: $10 entry, $250k guaranteed – $50,000 to 1st!
Chrome Horn: $4 entry, $100k guaranteed – $10,000 to 1st!
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kyle Busch – Last week’s cheat sheet explained the Kyle Busch phenomenon. If he’s running in the pack, then he’s trapped in quicksand (Kentucky). If he runs up front in clean air, then no one is catching him (Chicago, Charlotte, and Texas). Last week, there weren’t enough pit stops to move him forward, and the insignificance of four tires limited his pit crew’s impact on the race. Busch had the best car in both New Hampshire races last year. Pit penalties ruined his July race, but in the September race, he was perfect. He started first, finished first, and scored 91.25 hog points (fast lap and laps led points).
2. Kevin Harvick – Nothing has changed. Truex had the pole in a green race at a freshly repaved tracked. That’s hardly the measure of success. However, New Hampshire is not the greatest litmus test either. Passing will be rare again this week. In each of the last five races, one of the top two scores started on the front row. Track position means everything. Fast cars like Harvick’s secure track position in qualifying. Harvick did not put up a massive fantasy number at New Hampshire last year, but his 2017 season has been well documented. In 2016, he won the fall New Hampshire race.
3. Martin Truex, Jr. – Fine, he can be considered one of the “Big 3,” but he’s on super secret probation. Truex won last week, but he started on the pole at a track notorious for its lack of passing, and dare we say, lack of racing. Kentucky is a blight on the NASCAR schedule. It always has been. No one can pass, so the cars turn mindless circles. There wasn’t any racing, so there weren’t any cautions. The field was reset the minimum number of times, and in those cases, Truex had the enormous advantage of having the number one pit stall. If Truex wins the pole at New Hampshire, then load up.
4. Clint Bowyer – New Hampshire and Martinsville are similar tracks. The drivers that earn the most hog points and the average running positions between these races tend to correlate. Bowyer won this year’s Martinsville race and scored 145 DraftKings points. When he unloads on Friday, his car will be very close to the right setup. While other teams are making major adjustments and testing through trial and error, Bowyer’s team will be tweaking their setup. The main concern will be driver comfort, and based on Martinsville, Bowyer is comfortable at the flat-banked short tracks.
5. Kyle Larson – This might seem like last week’s article. As in the July Kentucky race, Larson started last in the July New Hampshire race and finished second behind Martin Truex, Jr. In the fall race, Larson started second and finished second behind Kyle Busch. In both races, Larson scored over 17 fast lap points. He was fast, but he was not faster than the fastest. He’ll be in a similar spot in this year’s race, just like every race this season.
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LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Ryan Blaney – The no. 12 car was pretty fast in a lap turner last week. Thus, he should be prepared for this week’s lap turner. At Martinsville, the mother of all 2018 lap turners, Blaney scored the second-most fantasy points.
2. Daniel Suarez – He might not stand out as a short-track racer, but New Hampshire is only half short track. When the drivers spread out and get to turning laps, the race looks like an intermediate track. Last year, Suarez earned two top 10s at New Hampshire.
3. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. – New Hampshire is an underrated Stenhouse track. He has a top 15 finish in four of his last five New Hampshire races.
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RECENT SUCCESS
Kevin Harvick – Kentucky is a freshly paved single-groove track; it’s a pit road race. Harvick was not going to beat the no. 1 pit stall, but he earned his league-leading 13th top-five finish.
Martin Truex, Jr. – Kentucky was his third win this summer. One win can be a fluke, but Truex has four this season.
Kyle Busch – Throw out Daytona. The only thing more certain than wrecking at Daytona is being wrecked by Ricky Stenhouse at Daytona. Kyle Busch has a top 5 finish in each of the last six races.
TRACK HISTORY
Kyle Busch (Fall 2017)
Denny Hamlin (Spring 2017)
Kevin Harvick (Fall 2016)
Matt Kenseth (Spring 2016)
Matt Kenseth (Fall 2015)
PICK TO WIN
Kyle Busch – He’s going to win the pole, and he’s going to drive away from the field. He won at New Hampshire in 2017 and 2015.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.
