MLB DFS

MLB DFS DraftKings.com & FanDuel.com Lineups & Picks for July 11, 2018

There are 11 games on the main MLB DFS slate for Wednesday, 7/11/18. Below is a list of our best MLB DFS picks for pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target in Cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. The info below can also be used for creating your daily fantasy baseball strategy at FantasyDraft.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a critical part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by an unsuspecting team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing an MLB slate.

7/11/18 MLB DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS

Rally Cap: $8 entry, $150k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $25,000 to 1st!
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MLB Rally: $18.88 entry, $200k guaranteed (FanDuel) – 50,000 to 1st!
Grand Slam: $55 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel) – 20,000 to first!
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Best MLB DFS Pitchers for July 11, 2018

Chris Sale vs. TEX ($13.0 DK / $12.6 FD)

Chris Sale has a 1.09 ERA and 0.70 WHIP over his last five starts. That’s a span of 33.0 innings where he’s racked up 56 strikeouts. Sale’s allowed one earned run over his last three starts and two or fewer in 14 of his last 19. The Rangers’ 24.6 K% is the fourth highest in the Majors. They only mustered up one run on four hits over seven innings while striking out 12 times in their one start season against the Boston ace. Sale has the lowest contact rate at 66.9%, while his counterpart Bartolo Colon has the highest, 87.9%.

Kenta Maeda @ SD ($9.3 DK / $9.5 FD)

The Padres’ 25.5% strikeout rate is the second highest, which is good news for Kenta Maeda, who has seen his K/9 rise from 9.38 to 10.93 this season. He’s already faced the Padres twice this season and racked up 17 punch-outs in 10.2 innings. Maeda only has one win in his last five outings, but he has 30 K in 28.1 innings over that span with a 2.54 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He’s allowed three or fewer runs in eight straight starts and two or fewer in all of those eight.

Carlos Carrasco vs. CIN ($9.5 DK / $10.3 FD)

Carlos Carrasco has the fourth highest projected point total tonight, according to RotoQL. The Reds have been one of the hottest teams offensively; they rank second in runs scored since May 8. They also scored seven runs in the ninth last night in Cleveland to win 7-4, but they also struck out 13 times. Trevor Bauer got them 12 times, and Carrasco has some strikeout potential as well. His 9.59 K/9 ranks inside the top 20 as does his 13.3 SwStr%. He certainly has the upside to win you a tournament.

Luke Weaver @ CWS ($7.7 DK / $6.6 FD)

Luke Weaver carried a perfect game into the sixth inning against the Giants the last time out and has been much better of late. Weaver allowed two runs on two hits over eight innings while striking out eight in that start in San Francisco. He’s allowed two or fewer runs in two of his last three outings, and five of his last eight. Overall, he’s given up two or fewer in nine of his 18 starts. Consider him in tournaments as he has upside to get a W, while striking out a few along the way. His K/9 has dipped from 10.74 to 8.26 this season, but nobody in the league strikes out more than the White Sox. Weaver has 21 strikeouts in his last 18.1 innings but has struggled with the long ball and walks. Chicago ranks in the bottom 10 in home runs, and their 6.7 walk rate is the lowest in baseball.

Others to consider: Jacob deGrom, Freddy Peralta, Dylan Bundy (GPP)

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Best MLB DFS Hitters for July 11, 2018

Matt Carpenter @ CWS ($3.9 DK / $3.2 FD)

Matt Carpenter leads his team with 18 hits and 17 runs over the last two weeks. He continues to hit in the leadoff spot for the Cardinals and has 17 home runs on the season. Carpenter has the fourth highest projected point total among hitters, according to RotoQL. He is extremely affordable, just like the rest of the St. Louis bats tonight. It would be more of a contrarian stack had they not put up a 14 spot in Chicago last night, but they have 45 runs in their last six games. The opposing Carlos Rodon has allowed 17 runs, 15 walks, and 17 home runs in 35.2 innings (six starts) this season.

Jonathan Schoop vs. NYY ($3.7 DK / $3.4 FD)

Jonathan Schoop is starting to heat up. He’s in a good spot against Sonny Gray tonight. Schoop has multi-hit games in six of his last eight and enters with an eight-game hit streak. Gray enters with at least four runs allowed in three straight starts and four of his last five. His 55 runs surrendered are the 13th most in baseball. He whopping 5.85 ERA and 4.04 BB/9, so give the Orioles a look.

Ian Desmond vs. ARI ($4.3 DK / $3.9 FD)

Things have not been easy for Shelby Miller in his three starts this season, and now he has to go pitch at Coors Field. Miller has allowed 20 hits, 16 runs, four homers, and five walks in his 14 innings. You’re going to have to pay up for Nolan Arenado, Charlie Blackmon, and Trevor Story, which is fine if you can, but Ian Desmond’s price jumps out. He’s been hitting in the No. 4 and No. 5 spot of late, so he may get a few RBI chances will Miller’s troubles. Nothing wrong with DJ LeMahieu as well.

J.D. Martinez vs. TEX ($5.6 DK / $5.2 FD)

There’s enough value above to spend up on J.D. Martinez. You also don’t need me to tell you to play the home run (28) and RBI (77) leader. Even still, if there was a night to fade Martinez, tonight’s not it. As mentioned above, Bartolo Colon has the highest contact rate (87%) among qualified arms. He’s also allowed 22 home runs, 103 hits, 52 runs, and has a 22% line drive rate.

Others to consider: Yadier Molina, Evan Gattis, Mitch Moreland, Jesus Aguilar, DJ, LeMahieu, Jedd Gyorko (.358 vs. LHP), Rafael Devers, Justin Turner, Paul Dejong, Andrelton Simmons, J.D. Martinez, Marcell Ozuna, Mitch Haniger, Giancarlo Stanton 

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MLB DFS Stacks to Consider for July 11, 2018

Rockies vs. Shelby Miller
Red Sox vs. Bartolo Colon
Cardinals vs Carlos Rodon
Mariners @ Jaime Barria
Brewers @ Dan Straily
Orioles vs. Sonny Gray (GPP)

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