MLB DFS DraftKings.com & FanDuel.com Lineups & Picks for July 5, 2018
There are 12 games on the main MLB DFS slate for Thursday, 7/5/18. Below is a list of our best MLB DFS picks for pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target in Cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. The info below can also be used for creating your daily fantasy baseball strategy at FantasyDraft.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Jose Altuve can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!
*Chance of delays in Detroit with storms in the area
7/5/18 MLB DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Full Count: $55 entry, $300k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $50,000 to 1st!
Rally Cap: $8 entry, $160k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Grand Slam: $88 entry, $200k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $50,000 to 1st!
Rally: $9.99 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel)
Click here for FantasyDraft MLB DFS Contests – $4 free entry!
Best MLB DFS Pitchers for July 5, 2018
Justin Verlander vs. CWS ($13.4k DraftKings, $12.2k FanDuel)
One of the most consistent pitchers in baseball this year faces one of the most consistently poor offenses tonight at home. It’s a matchup that makes DFS lineups easy to construct. While he slipped up in his past two starts, Justin Verlander is still having his best season since his MVP campaign in 2011, boasting a career-best 10.92 K/9 ratio with a 0.86 WHIP and 3.03 SIERA through 18 starts. The White Sox are posting the second-highest K-Rate (26.4%) and sixth-lowest wOBA (.292) in the Majors over the last 30 days. Current White Sox are 28-for-120 (.233) with a 31.6% K-Rate in their careers against Verlander. The Astros ace has logged 23 Ks while allowing just 4 ER over his last three full starts against the White Sox and justifiably leads all pitchers with a projection of 23 DraftKings points tonight, according to models on RotoQL.
Matt Boyd vs. TEX ($7.8k DraftKings, $6.1k FanDuel)
While the Rangers represent a dangerous opponent for a young LHP, Matt Boyd has been up to the challenge. He’s struggled in a couple of outings on the road but is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA and .184 BAA over seven outings at Comerica Park this season. Texas has logged the third-most Ks (218) in the American League when facing LHPs this year, and Boyd has figured out how to pitch at the highest level with a slider that ranks 11.9 runs above average, according to Brooks Baseball.
Max Fried @ MIL ($7.5k DraftKings, $5.9k FanDuel)
The Brewers’ boom-bust offense can be deadly when facing lefties, but Max Fried has plenty of appeal as a tournament play in this matchup. The former No. 7 overall pick is coming off an impressive 11-strikeout performance in St. Louis, and the Brewers lead the Majors with a 26.9% K-Rate over the last 30 days. Milwaukee has the second-lowest collective batting average (.221) when facing LHPs and will be without one of their best RHBs in Lorenzo Cain (groin). With a 12.23 K/9 ratio through a small sample of six appearances (two starts) this year, Fried clearly has the potential to provide great returns in DFS contests. Just keep your exposure light since he’s also demonstrated a tendency to walk batters and cough up the long ball.
Other pitchers to consider: Johnny Cueto, Luke Weaver, Andrew Cashner
Best MLB DFS Hitters for July 5, 2018
Paul Goldschmidt vs. SD ($5.2k DraftKings, $4.3k FanDuel)
Facing a vulnerable LHP at home during a torrid hot streak makes Paul Goldschmidt one of the top options tonight without question. Six-foot-three Padres southpaw Eric Lauer is giving up a .322 BAA with a 1.63 HR/9 ratio and a notable 33.3% line drive rate when facing RHBs this year. After a slow start, Goldschmidt is 44-for-107 (.411) with 11 homers, 9 XBH and 18 walks to post a 1.313 OPS over the past month. He boasts a .452 wOBA and 51.6% hard contact rate when facing lefties this year and seems to have found his rhythm at Chase Field.
Anthony Rendon vs. MIA ($4.4k DraftKings, $4.2k FanDuel)
After taking on a surging Red Sox team with an elite SP staff, the Nationals welcome one of the worst teams in the MLB for a home stand. Miami is starting inexperienced RHP Elieser Hernandez in the series opener, and the 23-year-old has not been sharp over his first 13 starts with a 5.49 SIERA and 5.78 xFIP. He’s only eliciting a 27.4% ground ball rate, while Anthony Rendon is posting the highest hard contact rate (41.1%) and lowest ground ball rate (30.1%) of his career. He’s 10-for-30 (.333) with three doubles and three homers over a seven-game hitting streak and is projected for 9.3 DraftKings points, the second most among third basemen.
Ender Inciarte @ MIL ($4.3k DraftKings, $3.3k FanDuel)
Ender Inciarte has hit his way back into the leadoff spot for Atlanta. That’s a great place to be ahead of tonight’s plus matchup. Brewers RHP Jhoulys Chacin isn’t giving up many homers but has been putting LHBs on base routinely with a 5.09 BB/9 ratio and 5.70 xFIP against the platoon this season. With a measly 1.30 K/BB ratio in his career against lefties, Chacin is in a tough spot against the Braves’ elite lineup. Inciarte doesn’t carry much upside on his own, but he could set the table for thumpers such as Ozzie Albies and Freddie Freeman (if active), while potentially looking to steal a bag off Chacin and potential battery-mate Manny Pina.
Travis Jankowski @ ARI ($3.9k DraftKings, $2.6k FanDuel)
A cheaper LHB to consider tonight is Padres outfielder Travis Jankowski. He certainly made a case to hit atop the Padres lineup with three hits and a stolen base in Oakland Tuesday. Now, he’ll face a boom-bust RHP in Shelby Miller, who has recorded 11 Ks but also given up 11 ER and 3 homers over two starts this season. Miller is giving up a 35.2% hard contact rate and 1.16 HR/9 ratio in his career against the platoon, while Jankowski is hitting .306 off righties this year. Miller has longshot appeal in GPP formats due to his strikeout potential but is also worth targeting in GPP formats with an oft-overlooked Padres stack.
Other hitters to consider: Mike Trout, Alex Bregman, Jean Segura, Jose Martinez, Buster Posey, Juan Soto, Evan Gattis, Max Kepler, Daniel Murphy, Cory Spangenberg, Chris Owings
MLB DFS Stacks to Consider for July 5, 2018
Nationals vs. Elieser Hernandez (Marlins)
Braves vs. Jhoulys Chacin (Brewers)
Angels vs. Marco Gonzales (Mariners)