Heat Vs Bucks: NBA Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – October 21, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on October 20, 2021

The Miami Heat (0-0) face the Milwaukee Bucks (1-0) at 8:00 PM ET on Thursday, October 21, 2021. The Heat (-2.5 on the spread, -140 on the moneyline) take on the Bucks on Thursday at 8:00 PM ET. This contest has an over/under of 222.5 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect data from sportsbook as of October 21, 2021, 8:01 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat Vs Bucks Betting Odds

Injury Report as of October 21

Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

Bucks: Jrue Holiday: Out (Heel), Brook Lopez: Out (Back), Rodney Hood: Out (Foot), Bobby Portis: Out (Hamstring), Semi Ojeleye: Out (Calf), Donte DiVincenzo: Out (Ankle)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Bucks (+2.5)
Total Pick Over (222.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat Vs Bucks Stat Rankings (2020-21)

Heat Avg. (Rank) Bucks Avg. (Rank)
108.1 (25th) Points Scored 120.1 (1st)
108.0 (5th) Points Allowed 114.2 (22nd)
41.5 (29th) Rebounds 48.1 (2nd)
8.0 (29th) Off. Rebounds 10.3 (12th)
12.9 (14th) 3pt Made 14.4 (5th)
26.3 (9th) Assists 25.5 (12th)
13.3 (16th) Turnovers 13.4 (14th)

Heat Key Players (Stats from 2020-21)

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 52 21.5 6.9 7.1 2.1 0.3 0.5
Victor Oladipo 33 19.8 4.8 4.6 1.4 0.4 2.4
Bam Adebayo 64 18.7 9.0 5.4 1.2 1.0 0.0
Kyle Lowry 46 17.2 5.4 7.3 1.0 0.3 2.8
Tyler Herro 54 15.1 4.9 3.4 0.6 0.3 2.0

Bucks Key Players (Stats from 2020-21)

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Giannis Antetokounmpo 61 28.1 11.0 5.9 1.2 1.2 1.1
Khris Middleton 68 20.4 6.0 5.4 1.1 0.1 2.2
Jrue Holiday 59 17.7 4.5 6.1 1.6 0.6 1.9
Brook Lopez 70 12.3 5.0 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.4
Bobby Portis 66 11.4 7.1 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.1

Betting Trends

  • Miami’s record against the spread last season was 31-38-0.
  • The Heat’s ATS record as 2.5-point favorites or greater was 16-20 last season.
  • Miami had 35 of its 72 games go over the point total last year.
  • Miami games finished with more than 222.5 points 23 times last season.
  • The over/under for this game is 222.5 points, 4.9 more than the average point total for Heat games a year ago.
  • Milwaukee beat the spread 33 times in 72 games last year.
  • The Bucks were winless ATS (0-4) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs last season.
  • Out of 72 Milwaukee games last season, 39 went over the total.
  • Milwaukee’s games finished with over 222.5 points scored 51 times last year.
  • The average total points scored in Bucks games last year (222.5) is 8.0 points higher than the total for this matchup.
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