Dodgers Vs Braves: NLCS Game 4 Betting Lines, Stats, And Predictions – October 20, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on October 20, 2021

The Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56) are at home for Game 4 of the NLCS versus the Atlanta Braves (88-73), Wednesday at 8:08 PM ET. The Braves won two of the first three games. Los Angeles’ (-225 to win) Julio Urias and Atlanta’s (+185) Jesse Chavez will be the starting pitchers.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 20, 2021, 8:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Dodgers vs Braves Betting Lines

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 159 times this season and won 106, or 66.7%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 47-9 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -225 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.4% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Dodgers and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 11
ERA 2.76
K/9 11.5

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Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been chosen as underdogs in 49 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (46.9%) in those games.
  • Atlanta has played as an underdog of +185 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 33.6% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Braves and their opponents have combined to clear the total four times.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 11
ERA 2.76
K/9 10.1

Braves Probable Pitcher – Jesse Chávez

  • Chavez makes the start for the Braves, his fifth of the season. He is 3-2 with a 2.14 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 33 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared in relief on Tuesday, when he tossed scoreless two-thirds of an inning against the Dodgers while giving up two hits.
  • The 38-year-old has put together a 2.14 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings across 30 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .183 to his opponents.
  • The Braves were the moneyline underdog for two Chávez starts this season — they split the games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 20, 2021 at 8:02 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Dodgers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 105-55
Home 58-22
Road 47-33
vs LHP (Starters) 32-13
vs RHP (Starters) 73-42
Day Games 8-5
Night Games 97-50

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Julio Urías

  • The Dodgers’ Urias (20-3) will make his 33rd start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Sunday when he threw one inning out of the bullpen against the Braves, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 25-year-old ranks eighth in ERA (2.96), fifth in WHIP (1.000), 18th in strikeouts (195), and 19th in K/9 (9.50).
  • In 32 starts this season, Urías has lasted five or more innings 31 times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • His team is 26-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 20, 2021 at 8:02 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 88-73
Home 42-38
Road 46-35
vs LHP (Starters) 23-18
vs RHP (Starters) 63-53
Day Games 15-13
Night Games 73-60

Dodgers Hitting Stats

  • The Dodgers rank fourth-best in MLB play with 237 total home runs.
  • The Dodgers have hit 146 home runs at home this season (1.7 per game).
  • Los Angeles has hit 11 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Trea Turner leads Los Angeles in homers with 28 while also maintaining a team-best .328 batting average.
  • Justin Turner leads Los Angeles in home runs with 27 and runs batted in with 87.

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves rank third in Major League Baseball with 239 home runs.
  • They have won 52 of the 71 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Over the last 10 games, Atlanta has hit 11 home runs.
  • Austin Riley leads the Braves with 33 home runs and 107 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .303.
  • Freddie Freeman has 25 doubles, two triples, 31 home runs and 85 walks while batting .300.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (+185)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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