Dodgers Vs Braves: NLCS Game 3 Betting Lines, Stats, And Predictions – October 19, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on October 19, 2021

The Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56) host the Atlanta Braves (88-73) for Game 3 of the NLCS, Tuesday at 5:08 PM ET. The Braves have a 2-0 lead. Walker Buehler pitches for Los Angeles (-180 to win) while Atlanta (+155) will answer with Charlie Morton.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 19, 2021, 5:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

Dodgers vs Braves Betting Lines

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 106 out of the 159 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Los Angeles has entered 95 games this season favored by -180 or more and is 70-25 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 62.1% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Dodgers and their opponents are 7-3 in their last 10 games with a total.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 12
ERA 2.56
K/9 11.0

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Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been victorous in 23, or 46.9%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • The Braves have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +155 moneyline underdog.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 37.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Braves and their foes are 4-6 in their last 10 contests.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 13
ERA 2.43
K/9 9.6

Braves Probable Pitcher – Charlie Morton

  • Morton gets the start for the Braves, his 34th of the season. He is 14-6 with a 3.30 ERA and 216 strikeouts in 185 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the Brewers, when the right-hander threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 37-year-old’s 3.30 ERA ranks 17th, his 1.030 WHIP ranks seventh, his 216 strikeouts rank ninth, his 10.50 K/9 ranks 10th, and his 2.80 BB/9 ranks seventh.
  • Morton has 29 starts this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Braves have a 2-2 record in Morton’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 19, 2021 at 5:03 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Dodgers Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 105-55
Home 58-22
Road 47-33
vs LHP (Starters) 32-13
vs RHP (Starters) 73-42
Day Games 8-5
Night Games 97-50

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Walker Buehler

  • The Dodgers’ Buehler (16-4) will make his 34th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Giants on Wednesday.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 27-year-old ranks third in ERA (2.47), third in WHIP (.960), 10th in strikeouts (212), 20th in K/9 (9.20), and 16th in BB/9 (2.20).
  • In 33 starts, Buehler has pitched through or past the fifth inning 31 times. He has a season average of 6.0 frames per outing.
  • His team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 22-11.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 19, 2021 at 5:03 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 88-73
Home 42-38
Road 46-35
vs LHP (Starters) 23-18
vs RHP (Starters) 63-53
Day Games 15-13
Night Games 73-60

Dodgers Hitting Stats

  • The Dodgers are fourth-best in MLB play with 237 total home runs.
  • The Dodgers have put up two or more long balls in 63 games this season, and are 51-12 in those outings.
  • Los Angeles has hit 12 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Trea Turner leads Los Angeles in batting average (.328) and home runs (28) this season, while also chipping in with 77 RBI.
  • Justin Turner is batting .278 this season with a team-high 27 home runs and 87 RBI.

Braves Hitting Stats

  • The Braves rank third in Major League Baseball with 239 home runs.
  • They are 52-19 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Over the last 10 games, Atlanta has hit 13 home runs.
  • The Braves are batting .255 with five home runs and 19 runs scored during their five-game winning streak.
  • Austin Riley paces the Braves with 33 home runs and 107 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .303.
  • Freddie Freeman is hitting .300 with 25 doubles, two triples, 31 home runs and 85 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (+155)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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