NBA DFS DraftKings.com & FanDuel.com Lineups & Picks for May 27, 2018
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
For one-game slates, the pricing and lineup structure is different on both DraftKings and FanDuel. There are six utility spots on DraftKings with a $50k salary cap.
On FanDuel, there are now two utility spots and three “special” spots at a $60k salary cap. The MVP on the roster receives 2x multiplier to all FPs, the “STAR” receives 1.5x multiplier and the “PRO” receives a 1.2x multiplier, forcing users to prioritize their selections based on which player they’re highest on.
5/27/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Showdown Big Jam $10 entry, $425k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Showdown Four Point Play: $4 entry, $70k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Game 7 SPECIAL: $7.77 entry, $350k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Click here for FantasyDraft NBA DFS Contests – $4 free entry!
PLAYERS RULED OUT
Kevin Love (concussion)
Gordon Hayward (ankle)
Kyrie Irving (knee)
Daniel Theis (knee)
NBA DFS Playoff Game Breakdown for May 27, 2018
Cleveland Cavaliers (+2.5) at Boston Celtics (Over/Under – 199.5)
LeBron James ($20.0k, $20.0k) has thrown out a stinker (relative to his lofty standards) in two of his three trips to Boston during this series. But you can’t expect “The King” to go down easy in Game 7.
With Kevin Love (concussion) ruled out, LeBron should see a slight increase in usage, and it’s possible to pair him with some of the cheaper Cavs on DK in the hopes they fill the void left by Love.
James is projected for 56.2 FD points on RotoQL tonight and could pay huge dividends in the “MVP” spot on that DFS site.
George Hill ($4.9k, $9.0k) is coming off his best game of the playoffs with 20 points Friday night and is looking healthy once again. He’s still not a high-upside play but offers a solid floor in the mid-tier price range.
Hill should have added responsibilities on offense with Love out. Then, Larry Nance Jr. ($5.9k, $8.0k) and Jeff Green ($5.2k, $6.5k) will move into the starting lineup.
Nance Jr. makes for a solid value considering he’s averaging 1.45 DK points per minute over his last four appearances. Green finally seemed to regain his rhythm with 14 points, three rebounds, two assists, and two blocks over 31 minutes Friday. This gives him plenty of upside relative to his low price tag on DK. He’s more likely to finish the game than Nance Jr. because he can match up with the rangy Celtics forwards.
All Cavs role players have taken major steps backwards on the road. J.R. Smith ($2.8k, $6.5k), for one, has been borderline unusable even when at home. Kyle Korver ($3.7k, $7.0k) is a mediocre 5-for-15 from deep over three games in Boston. Compare that to his incredible 8-for-12 mark in Cleveland during this series. He has a low floor-ceiling combination on the road against a team that can exploit his defensive shortcomings.
Tristan Thompson ($7.4k, $8.0k) is providing more value than the box score would indicate, but setting dirty screens and hustling so that other players can track down rebounds will not help you in DFS contests. He’s unlikely to see much of a boost with Love out and was hopeless DFS-wise at Boston in Game 5.
For Boston, Jayson Tatum ($10.9k, $12.0k) and Al Horford ($11.7k, $13.0k) have shown stark differences in home/road splits recently.
Tatum’s averaging 17 PPG on 18-for-38 (47.3 percent) FG shooting at home. While his scoring numbers have been similar on the road, his efficiency and peripheral production are down. Most importantly, he’s been aggressive early in games at TD Garden and posted a notable 23.4 percent usage rate in Game 5.
Horford has generally been more effective at home throughout the playoffs. That’s continued to a degree in this series. But he can’t consistently score against Tristan Thompson and seems like the easiest fade of the high-priced options tonight.
As we’ve written throughout the week, Jaylen Brown ($12.3k, $11.5k) and Terry Rozier ($12.7k, $13.5k) clearly have the most exploitable individual matchups against Cleveland’s mediocre wing defenders.
The duo combined for 55 of the 76 points from the Celtics’ starters in Game 6. Rozier shot 6-of-10 from long range with seven assists and zero turnovers. “Scary Terry” has been much better at home throughout the playoffs.
Brown is projected for 27.9 FD points on RotoQL and is a bit more appealing as a tournament play at a lower price tag on FanDuel. While Brown could lead the Celtics in scoring again, he remains a volatile option and is worth fading on DK.
Aron Baynes ($4.9k, $7.5k) drew the start and made an impact defensively on Friday. With Nance Jr. expected to start for Love, Baynes should see around 20-25 minutes of run. But he obviously has a low floor considering he posted a weak 55 offensive rating while going scoreless in Game 6.
Marcus Morris ($6.4k, $10.0k) should replace him sooner rather than later. He has a decent floor as a volume shooter, giving him appeal as a salary relief play on DK. However, Marcus Smart ($9.2k, $10.5k) is the more appealing mid-tier option on FD with a much higher ceiling.
Smart is the emotional leader of the Celtics and, when he’s playing smart, can pile up assists by feeding Boston’s shooters or hitting Horford in pick-and-roll situations.