MLB DFS DraftKings & FanDuel Fantasy Lineups & Picks for May 15, 2018
We’ve got a great slate of MLB DFS games scheduled for Tuesday, 5/15/18. The main slate on DraftKings includes 14 games starting at 7:05 p.m. EST, and the FanDuel main slate also includes 14 starting at the same time.
For today, we’re listing our best MLB DFS pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target in Cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. The info below can also be used for crafting your daily fantasy baseball strategy at FantasyDraft.
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.
Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points! **There are several weather concerns tonight, so please check the weather reports as we get closer to lineup lock**
5/15/18 MLB DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
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Rally Cap: $8 entry, $200k guaranteed (DraftKings)
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Grand Slam: $44 entry, $100k guaranteed (FanDuel)
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Best MLB DFS Pitchers for May 15, 2018
Noah Syndergaard vs. TOR ($10.8k DraftKings, $10.0k FanDuel)
Few pitchers have disappointed as much so far this season as Noah Syndergaard. But “Thor” should be able to drop the hammer in a plus matchup at home tonight. The Blue Jays’ inept offense has taken another step back this year, ranking 24th in collective batting average (.232) with the ninth-highest K-Rate (23.8%) in the Majors. Toronto is missing key players in Steve Pearce (oblique) and Randal Grichuk (knee), while Syndergaard has the advantage of facing most of their batters for the first time. Even if you consider Syndergaard’s start disappointing, you’ll note his K/9 ratio (10.41) is up, and he’s posting the highest swinging strike rate (14.4%) of his young career, so he’s likely to experience positive regression and potentially exceed his 19.1 FP-projection tonight according to models on RotoQL.
Eduardo Rodriguez vs. OAK ($9.2k DraftKings, $7.8k FanDuel)
Pitching at Fenway Park with the elite Red Sox offense to back him, Eduardo Rodriguez makes for a solid Cash play tonight. The Athletics started hot but have slowed considerably with the lowest collective batting average (.212) and the fifth-highest K-Rate (25.8%) in the Majors over the last two weeks. Rodriguez is sporting an 11.33 K/9 ratio with a 12.7% swinging strike rate this year and posted a 10.95 K/9 ratio at Fenway Park last year. Current A’s are just 5-for-42 (.119) with 16 Ks in their careers against the crafty lefty, who appears to be entering his prime.
Tyler Mahle @ SF ($9.0k DraftKings, $7.4k FanDuel)
After getting off to a bit of a shaky start this season, Tyler Mahle has hit his stride, allowing 3 ER or fewer with a 9.64 K/9 ratio over his last six outings. The second-year RHP has handled some of the better offenses in the National League. While walks have been his Achilles heel, he’s facing a Giants team that’s posting the fifth-highest K-Rate (25.1%) with the seventh-lowest BB rate (7.9%) in the Majors. Mahle is also posting a troublesome 18.8% HR/FB ratio, but San Francisco’s AT&T Park has the lowest Home Run Factor in the Majors. He’s a good GPP play with a 10.4% swinging strike rate and a live fastball that can surprise the Giants’ veteran hitters.
Yu Darvish @ ATL ($7.8k DraftKings, $7.7k FanDuel)
If you feel like gambling with one of your SP slots on DK, give Yu Darvish a look in the hopes he’s fully recovered from the illness that’s kept him out since May 2. He was getting on track with a Quality Start (6 IP, 8 Ks, 3 H, 1 unearned run) against the Brewers before a virus presumably hampered his performance against the Rockies to open May. He draws another tough matchup tonight at Atlanta, but Darvish is still posting a solid 28.4% K-Rate against LHBs. He’s held the lefty-heavy Braves lineup to a combined .211 average (12-for-57) with 21 Ks in a moderate sample size. Usual disclaimer here…GPP only.
Other pitchers to consider: Zack Greinke, Alex Wood, Nick Pivetta, Gerrit Cole (but price makes him very hard to play)
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Best MLB DFS Hitters for May 15, 2018
J.D. Martinez vs. OAK ($5.1k DraftKings, $4.6k FanDuel)
Mookie Betts is getting much of the publicity as the early frontrunner for A.L. MVP, but J.D. Martinez has arguably been as impressive over the past two weeks. He’s hitting .354 with 5 HRs on a notable 45.5% HR/FB ratio over his last 12 appearances, so if he lifts one off A’s RHP Daniel Mengden, there’s a good chance it’s leaving the cramped confines of Fenway. Mengden is posting a 1.64 WHIP with a 40.3% hard contact rate and .378 BABIP when facing righties this year. Mengden held Boston to one run in a start at Oakland last month, but was lit up in his last outing against the Red Sox and is ill-equipped to pitch at Fenway Park.
Trea Turner vs. NYY ($4.5k DraftKings, $3.8k FanDuel)
There are a number of potential outcomes that could lead to huge FP-point production from Trea Turner tonight. As a true dual threat, he could go deep off Yankees RHP Masahiro Tanaka, who is posting a 1.95 HR/9 ratio while giving up a 38.7% hard contact rate in RvR matchups this season. Or Turner could swipe a bag or two off the battery of Tanaka and Gary Sanchez, who posted the tenth-lowest caught stealing percentage (.383) among qualified catchers last year. A career .310 hitter with a .211 ISO mark and 80 SB (in 93 attempts) off RHB, Turner is a great GPP option with a projection of 10.8 FPs on RotoQL.
Odubel Herrera @ BAL ($4.4k DraftKings, $3.8k FanDuel)
Another emerging dual threat, Odubel Herrera is rocking a career-best .201 ISO mark with a 16.2% HR/FB ratio so far this year. He’s posting a .437 wOBA with a 180 wRC+ when facing RHPs and bats at hitter-friendly Camden Yards, which has a higher Run Factor for LHBs than righties. Orioles RHP Andrew Cashner is struggling with a 2.57 HR/9 ratio, 4.71 BB/9 ratio, and corresponding 6.05 FIP when facing lefties this season. While he’s been able to strike out plenty of lefties, Herrera’s K-Rate (15.2%) is way down this year, and his BB Rate (10.1%) is way up.
Matt Duffy vs. KC ($3.2k DraftKings, $3.1k FanDuel)
If you want to find a value with upside, Matt Duffy has plenty of pop in his bat, and he’s facing a vulnerable RHP who has just shelled for 9 ER and 3 HRs in his last start. Ian Kennedy has been boom or bust throughout his last few campaigns, so the Rays aren’t the most reliable stack, but Duffy is hitting a scorching .454 (15-for-33) over his last nine appearances and is definitely worth a look. He’s done more damage with a .354 average and .882 OPS off RHPs, and Kennedy is posting a 2.08 HR/9 ratio with a 5.59 FIP in RvR matchups this year.
Other hitters to consider: Giancarlo Stanton, Jose Ramirez, Javier Baez, Rhys Hoskins, Ryon Healy, Whit Merrifield, Yoenis Cespedes, Dexter Fowler, Howie Kendrick, Yasiel Puig
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MLB DFS Stacks to Consider for May 15, 2018
Indians vs. Francisco Liriano (Tigers)
Red Sox vs. Daniel Mengden (Athletics)
Phillies vs. Andrew Cashner (Orioles)
Rays vs. Ian Kennedy (Royals)
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