NBA DFS DraftKings.com & FanDuel.com Lineups & Picks for May 14, 2018
Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster.
Injuries play a huge role in NBA DFS on a nightly basis. Value plays on the various daily fantasy sites can arise at a moment’s notice so always, always check the starting lineups and injury news right before tipoff.
On one-game slate contests, the pricing and lineup structure is different on both DraftKings and FanDuel. There are six utility spots on DraftKings with a $50k salary cap.
On FanDuel, there are now two utility spots and three “special” spots at a $60k salary cap. The MVP on the roster receives 2x multiplier to all FPs, the “STAR” receives 1.5x multiplier and the “PRO” receives a 1.2x multiplier, forcing users to prioritize their selections based on which player they’re highest on.
5/14/18 NBA DFS TOURNAMENT PICKS
Showdown Big Jam $10 entry, $400k guaranteed (DraftKings) – $100,000 to 1st!
Showdown Four Point Play: $4 entry, $35k guaranteed (DraftKings)
Shot Machine: $7.77 entry, $300k guaranteed (FanDuel) – $100,000 to 1st!
Click here for FantasyDraft NBA DFS Contests – $4 free entry!
NBA DFS Playoff Game Breakdown for May 14, 2018
Golden State Warriors (+1.5) at Houston Rockets (Over/Under – 224)
The Rockets host the Warriors looking for redemption after getting dismantled by the Spurs in the second round of last year’s playoffs.
The key addition for Houston (aside from a few solid role players) is Chris Paul ($11.8k, $12.5k). CP3 is a savvy veteran playing in his first conference finals. Paul seemed to smell the potential to alter his legacy with two huge games against Utah to close out the conference semifinals. Now, he could ride that momentum into a prime matchup with Steph Curry ($12.6k, $15.5k).
The two “Point Gods” posted huge combined lines in H2H matchups a few years ago when CP3 was on the Clippers and in his prime. These days, Paul is more of a complementary player at the age of 33, but he’s likely to give Curry some trouble as a physical defender.
Offensively, Paul is a great per-dollar option with a projection of 42.1 FPs according to models on RotoQL. He averaged 21.7 PPG, 8.7 RPG, and 8.7 APG over three meetings with the Warriors this season and is playing with incredible efficiency right now.
James Harden ($13.9k, $18.0k) clearly has more upside than Paul. But he also comes with a great deal of risk. Harden averaged 24.5 PPG, 9.5 APG, and 4.5 TO per game over two meetings with the Dubs this year. He managed 21.8 PPG on 31.5 percent shooting over four meetings last year.
The Warriors have a number of elite defenders they can throw at “The Beard.” We’ve seen a vary wide range of outcomes from Harden when the playoffs heat up. As an example, he scored 20 points with 14 assists in a Game 1 win against the Spurs last May, then managed just 13 points before bouncing back with a 43-point performance. You should only pay up for him in GPP formats or if you’re trying to maximize the upside at your “MVP” slot on FanDuel.
Meanwhile, Clint Capela ($9.8k, $13.0k) is averaging 39.8 FPPG over his last five appearances. He is a very solid option on DK given his propensity for double-doubles. He’s certainly quick enough to stay on the floor against the small-ball Warriors and could give Draymond Green some trouble with his length on the offensive end. Capela did struggle over three meetings with the Dubs this season, but he’s been unleashed in these playoffs. Capela is actually posting the highest offensive rating (136) of anyone this postseason.
P.J. Tucker ($5.0k, $9.5k) remains a reliable value. He should rotate with Trevor Ariza ($4.6k, $8.5k) as the primary defenders of Kevin Durant. Tucker is attempting 4.8 threes and hitting 2.2 per game these playoffs and could thrive in a wide open game.
The last Houston player to consider is a GPP-only option in Eric Gordon ($6.6k, $9.0k). He somehow shot 0-for-15 from 3-point range over two meeting with Golden State this season, which is a bit of an anomaly, but also due to the Warriors’ third-ranked FG defense. He’s been far from reliable in these playoffs.
On the other side, Kevin Durant ($13.0k, $17.0k) is the best candidate to lead the Warriors in this series because of Paul’s ability to pester Curry. Regardless of how that matchup plays out, KD is simply unstoppable with a jump shot that he releases well above his 7-foot frame. This allows him to shoot a stark 54.5% (6-11) from 3-point range over two meetings with Houston this year.
Durant’s projected for 49 FPs according to models on RotoQL, and he naturally ramps up his production by going into “takeover” mode when the Warriors are actually challenged, explaining his superior road splits (27.3 PPG) this season.
Steph Curry ($12.6k, $15.5k) averaged 23.3 PPG but shot just 35.3 percent (12-34) from 3-point range over three meetings with Houston this season. He’s still regaining his rhythm after missing six weeks with a knee sprain. Steph boasts a solid floor but may best be reserved as an “MVP” slot candidate until the series moves to Golden State.
Draymond Green ($12.3k, $12.0k) remains a viable triple-double threat and a fantastic option on DK. He’s averaging 53.4 DK PPG over his last five appearances and should thrive in a game that features two of the top three offenses in the NBA.
Klay Thompson ($8.9k, $10.5k) remains a boom-bust option as a pure shooter contributing limited peripheral stats. He’s a tempting tournament option at that price tag on DK.
For my money, I’d rather roll with the fifth member of Golden State’s “death lineup,” Andre Iguodala ($6.1k, $9.5k). He limited LeBron James throughout an entire NBA Finals two years ago and is capable of frustrating James Harden with his relentless defensive approach. Iggy is averaging 24.1 FPPG over his last five appearances and is playing 27.5 MPG in the playoffs after seeing 25.3 MPG during the regular season.
Finally, Nick Young ($1.0k, $6.0k) is reportedly going to play more in this series, according Steve Kerr. He’s a true longshot with limited upside due to a complete lack of peripheral stats. Only gamble on Young in GPP formats if desperate for salary relief.