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MLB DFS

MLB DFS DraftKings & FanDuel Fantasy Lineups & Picks for May 11, 2018

We’ve got a great slate of MLB DFS games scheduled for Friday, 5/10/18. The main slate on DraftKings includes 14 games starting at 7:05 p.m. EST, and the FanDuel main slate also includes 14 starting at the same time.

For today, we’re listing our best MLB DFS pitchers, hitters, and stacks to target in Cash and GPP lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel. The info below can also be used for crafting your daily fantasy baseball strategy at FantasyDraft.

Please note the advice below is relevant for daily fantasy purposes. A player or team might be better or worse from a fantasy perspective than in real life due to matchup, price, and lots of other factors. This is important to consider when constructing a roster. Remember that more than in other sports, variance is a huge part of baseball. Even Mike Trout can go 0-for-4 on a given night, and Max Scherzer can get lit up by a weak team.

Weather can also play a huge role in MLB DFS on a nightly basis, and lineups are constantly shifting. So always, always check the starting lineups and weather reports when playing for an MLB slate. If a game gets rained out, your player gets zero points!

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Best MLB DFS Pitchers for May 11, 2018

Justin Verlander vs. TEX ($13.0k DraftKings, $11.3k FanDuel)

This is a great matchup for Justin Verlander and a poor one for his adversary, Cole Hamels. The Astros have routinely pounded the southpaw as he’s grown older. Verlander continues to dominate despite his advanced age, posting a league-best 1.17 ERA with the fifth-highest K/9 ratio (11.74) so far this season. He’s crushed Texas twice this season to the tune of 16 Ks and 1 run allowed over 14 IP, which is a sustainable trend considering the Rangers are sporting the second-highest K-Rate (26.3%) in the Majors this season. Verlander leads all SPs with a lofty projection of 25.8 FPs tonight, according to models on RotoQL. He should be well worth the cost of his lofty price tag.

Trevor Bauer vs. KC ($11.3k DraftKings, $9.5k FanDuel)

Another pitcher with ample upside in his own right and the potential to see plenty of run support tonight, Trevor Bauer is starting for an Indians (-230) team that is heavily favored at home. The Royals counter with RHP Jason Hammel, who is 0-4 with a 5.15 SIERA this year and not necessarily capable of quieting the surging Indians lineup. Bauer continues to break out with a 10.49 K/9 ratio and 3.69 SIERA through seven outings, and his peripheral numbers are even more impressive with a 16.7% line drive rate and 11.9% swinging strike rate. He’s developed a slider that makes him even tougher on LHBs. This spells trouble for a lefty-heavy Royals lineup.

Kevin Gausman vs. TB ($8.4k DraftKings, $8.6k FanDuel)

New Orioles ace-by-default Kevin Gausman has developed steady tendencies and is coming off a complete-game, two-hit performance at Oakland. Now, he returns home, where he posted a 2.67 ERA and .236 BAA in 2016 and has generally been more effective throughout his young career. Gausman has good swing-and-miss stuff with an average speed of 95.7 MPH on his fastball and a plus slider, but he’s sacrificed some velocity this year to cut down on walks and pitch deeper into games. Therefore, he could pay off as a Cash play in the mid-tier range with another Quality Start.

Brandon McCarthy @ MIA ($5.6k DraftKings, $6.6k FanDuel)

After getting absolutely lit up for 8 ER on 12 hits in his last outing, Brandon McCarthy will assuredly see a low ownership rate tonight. But he draws a great matchup in which to bounce back against the Marlins. Miami barely fields a Major League-caliber lineup. They rank dead last in collective batting average (.224) and wOBA (.278) with a rather pathetic .107 ISO mark this year. McCarthy has been solid with a 3.38 ERA and .247 BAA on the road this season, including a Quality Start at Coors Field. He’s also sporting a 50.4% ground ball rate, his highest mark since 2014. That’s allowed him to be consistent aside from his implosion against the Giants last Saturday. As you’d guess, he’s a GPP play only that allows you access to the big bats on the slate.

Other pitchers to consider: Chris Sale, Max Scherzer, Luke Weaver (especially on FanDuel), Sonny Gray

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Best MLB DFS Hitters for May 11, 2018

Mike Trout vs. MIN ($5.8k DraftKings, $5.5k FanDuel)

He’s always elite, but Mike Trout is especially appealing in tonight’s matchup. Newly acquired Twins RHP Lance Lynn is falling apart now that he’s no longer with the Cardinals’ savvy coaching staff. The 30-year-old is posting a 7.28 ERA with a 1.96 WHIP and 20.8% HR/FB ratio through six outings. Historically, he’s been tough on righties, but he’s allowing a 41.7% hard contact rate to RHBs this season, and Trout has been mashing with a 47.6% hard contact rate in RvR matchups. Trout is projected to produce 11 FPs according to models on RotoQL. That’s a conservative estimate given his recent power surge.

Maikel Franco vs. NYM ($4.2k DraftKings, $3.9k FanDuel)

There’s no denying the talent of young Mets LHP Steven Matz, but he’s been unable to harness his potential with any sort of consistency. His strikeout numbers are up (10.08 K/9 ratio), but he’s giving up a 24% HR/FB ratio so far this year and giving up a 43.3% hard contact rate when facing righties. Maikel Franco is a boom-bust option to consider against Matz with a 16.5% HR/FB ratio in his career against the platoon. He’s launched 3 HRs with 12 total hits over his last 10 appearances and certainly has the potential to take Matz deep. The Phillies also offer more conservative plays in high-priced outfielder Rhys Hoskins or switch-hitting infielder Cesar Hernandez.

Matt Kemp vs. CIN ($3.9k DraftKings, $3.4k FanDuel)

Throughout his career, Matt Kemp has been more dangerous against LHPs. He’s experiencing an overall resurgence with the opportunity to play almost every day for the Dodgers. Cincinnati had originally scheduled LHP Brandon Finnegan to pitch but is instead going with washed up RHP Matt Harvey. Kemp still has plenty of upside against Harvey, who has posted a 2.03 HR/9 ratio and 6.74 ERA over his last 27 MLB appearances.

Yuli Gurriel vs. TEX ($3.7k DraftKings, $3.2k FanDuel)

Since rejoining the Astros lineup after his deserved early-season suspension, Yuli Gurriel has been incredibly consistent. He’s hitting .371 during his current 11-game hitting streak and could jump in on a rally or two against familiar foe Cole Hamels. While Gurriel is 1-for-8 in a limited sample against Hamels, the RHB posted a 38.3% hard contact rate against the platoon last season. His numbers against lefties are bound to regress positively. He’s a solid Cash play amid a number of tempting GPP options facing the struggling Hamels.

Other hitters to consider: Charlie Blackmon, Ozzie Albies, Jose Ramirez, George Springer, Xander Bogaerts, Mitch Haniger, Cody Bellinger, Cesar Hernandez, Ryon Healy, Yonder Alonso

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MLB DFS Stacks to Consider for May 11, 2018

Indians vs. Jason Hammel (Royals)
Angels vs. Lance Lynn (Twins)
Mariners vs. Matt Boyd (Tigers)
Astros vs. Cole Hamels (Rangers)

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