Boise State Vs. Air Force: College Football Betting Picks, Predictions And Tips – October 16, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on October 16, 2021

The Air Force Falcons (5-1, 2-1 MWC) will look to continue their three-game winning run against the Boise State Broncos (3-3, 1-1 MWC). The Falcons (+128 on the moneyline to win) hit the road on October 16, 2021 at 9:00 PM ET against the Broncos (-3.5). The game’s point total is currently set at 51.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 16, 2021, 12:00 AM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Boise State Vs. Air Force Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Boise State vs Air Force
Spread Over/Under
Boise State (-3.5) Under (51.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

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Team Stat Comparison

Boise State Stats (Rank) Air Force
31.5 (48) Points Per Game 32.7 (42)
21.8 (39) Points Per Game Against 16.2 (13)
282.0 (27) Pass Yards 82.3 (128)
235.5 (82) Pass Yards Against 181.0 (26)
85.8 (123) Rush Yards 341.7 (1)
180.2 (99) Rush Yards Against 93.5 (16)
5 (28) Giveaways 2 (3)
11 (8) Takeaways 5 (84)
+6 Turnover Differential +3

Boise State Vs. Air Force Betting Insights

Boise State Stats And Trends

  • Boise State has four wins in six games against the spread this season.
  • The Broncos have two wins ATS (2-2) as a 3.5-point favorite or greater this year.
  • Two of Boise State’s six games have gone over the point total.
  • Boise State games have finished with more than 51.5 points three times so far this season.
  • Broncos games average 61.4 total points per game this season, 9.9 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Recent Head-To-Head Matchups

In the past three matchups between these two squads, Boise State holds a 3-0 advantage over Air Force. Boise State put up 123 points in those three matchups compared to Air Force’s 68.

Air Force Stats And Trends

  • Air Force is 4-1-0 against the spread this year.
  • Two Air Force games (out of five) have hit the over this season.
  • Air Force’s games have gone over 51.5 points on just one occasion this season.
  • Falcons games average 48.4 total points, 3.1 fewer than the total for this matchup.

Boise State Players To Watch

  • Hank Bachmeier leads Boise State with 1,692 passing yards (282.0 ypg) on 138-of-213 passing with 11 touchdowns compared to four interceptions this season.
  • Cyrus Habibi-Likio has carried the ball 54 times for a team-high 181 yards (30.2 per game), with two touchdowns this year. He’s also tacked on 18 catches for 160 yards (26.7 per game).
  • This season Andrew Van Buren has piled up 46 carries for 131 yards (21.8 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Khalil Shakir’s 584 receiving yards (97.3 yards per game) lead the team. He has 36 receptions with four touchdowns.
  • Stefan Cobbs has put together a 260-yard season so far (65.0 receiving yards per game) with three touchdowns, reeling in 17 passes.
  • Octavius Evans has hauled in 20 catches for 259 yards (43.2 ypg) and one touchdown this season.

Air Force Players To Watch

  • Haaziq Daniels has thrown for 312 yards (52.0 ypg) to lead Air Force, completing 51.6% of his passes and collecting one touchdown pass this season. He’s also run for 340 yards (56.7 ypg) on 66 carries with seven rushing touchdowns.
  • Brad Roberts has carried the ball 129 times for a team-high 567 yards (94.5 per game), with six touchdowns this year.
  • Brandon Lewis’ team-leading 156 receiving yards (31.2 yards per game) have come on seven receptions.
  • Micah Davis has put up a 111-yard season so far (18.5 receiving yards per game) with one touchdown, reeling in six passes.
  • David Cormier’s one catch this season have resulted in 23 yards (11.5 ypg).
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