White Sox Vs Astros: ALDS Game 4 Betting Lines, Stats, And Predictions – October 11, 2021

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on October 12, 2021

A pair of baseball’s best hitters will face off when the Chicago White Sox (93-69) and Houston Astros (95-67) meet on Tuesday at 2:07 PM ET, at Guaranteed Rate Field. Tim Anderson has a .309 batting average (fifth in league) for the White Sox, while Yuli Gurriel ranks second, batting .319 for the Astros. Chicago (-110 to win) has Carlos Rodon on the hill, while Houston (-110) counters Lance McCullers Jr..

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 12, 2021, 2:00 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to place a bet at DraftKings.

White Sox vs Astros Betting Lines

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have entered the game as favorites 127 times this season and won 80, or 63%, of those games.
  • Chicago has a record of 79-46, a 63.2% win rate, when favored by -110 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the White Sox, based on the moneyline, is 50%.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the White Sox and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 13
ERA 4.30
K/9 9.0

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Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (48.1%) in those games.
  • Houston has a win-loss record of 13-15 when favored by -110 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Astros and their opponents are 4-6 when it comes to hitting the over.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 16
ERA 4.79
K/9 9.1

Astros Probable Pitcher – Lance McCullers Jr.

  • McCullers makes the start for the Astros, his 29th of the season. He is 13-5 with a 3.16 ERA and 185 strikeouts in 162 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last time out was on Thursday against the White Sox, when he tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
  • This season, the 28-year-old ranks 12th in ERA (3.16), 13th in K/9 (10.30), and first in BB/9 (4.20) among pitchers who qualify.
  • McCullers will try to collect his 26th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Astros were named the moneyline underdog for two McCullers starts this season — they won both.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 12, 2021 at 2:03 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

White Sox Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 93-69
Home 53-28
Road 40-41
vs LHP (Starters) 25-17
vs RHP (Starters) 68-52
Day Games 5-3
Night Games 88-66

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White Sox Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodón

  • Rodon (13-5) will take to the mound for the White Sox and make his 25th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, Sept. 30, when he tossed five innings without allowing a run on one hit in a matchup with the Reds.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 2.37, a 5.3 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a WHIP of .950.
  • In 24 starts, Rodon has pitched through or past the fifth inning 21 times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
  • His team has been victorious in 70% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 14-6.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 12, 2021 at 2:03 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Hitting Splits

Split Record
Overall 96-67
Home 51-30
Road 45-37
vs LHP (Starters) 35-28
vs RHP (Starters) 61-39
Day Games 3-6
Night Games 93-61

White Sox Hitting Stats

  • The White Sox rank 19th in MLB action with 190 total home runs.
  • The White Sox average 1.4 homers per game when playing at home this season (112 total in home contests).
  • Chicago has hit 13 home runs over the past 10 games.
  • Jose Abreu is batting .261 this season with a team-high 30 home runs and 117 RBI.
  • Anderson is batting .309 with an OBP of .338 and a slugging percentage of .469 this season.

Astros Hitting Stats

  • The Astros’ 221 home runs rank ninth in Major League Baseball.
  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 62 games this season and are 49-13 in those matchups.
  • Houston has hit 16 home runs over the last 10 games.
  • Gurriel has accumulated a team-high batting average of .319.
  • Kyle Tucker is batting .294 with 37 doubles, three triples, 30 home runs and 53 walks.

Game Prediction

Moneyline Pick:
White Sox (-110)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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