Patriots Vs Texans: NFL Betting Trends, Stats And Computer Predictions – Week 5

Posted By PlayPicks Staff on October 10, 2021

The Houston Texans (1-3) will attempt to break their three-game losing run in a Week 5 battle with the New England Patriots (1-3). The Texans, +300 on the moneyline to win, and the Patriots, listed at -8 on the spread, kick things off on October 10, 2021 at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. The over/under for the matchup is set at 39 points.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 10, 2021, 12:49 PM ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Patriots Vs Texans Odds

Computer Pick

Computer picks for Patriots vs Texans
ATS pick Over/Under pick
Texans (+8) Over (39)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Team Stat Rankings

Patriots Texans
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 17.8 (27) 16.8 (28)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.5 (6) 29.0 (26)
Off. Yards per Play (Rank) 5.0 (24) 4.7 (29)
Def. Yards per Play (Rank) 4.8 (4) 6.0 (24)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 7 (27) 7 (27)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 5 (13) 6 (7)

Patriots Betting Insights

  • New England has posted two wins against the spread this season.
  • No New England game has hit the over this season.
  • Just once this season has New England and its opponent combined for more than 39 points.
  • The point total average for Patriots games this season is 44.6, 5.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Texans Betting Insights

  • Houston has two wins against the spread this year.
  • The Texans have won once ATS (1-2) as a 8-point favorite or more this season.
  • Two of Houston’s four games have hit the over.
  • Houston games have had over 39 points three times this year.
  • This season, Texans games have resulted in an average scoring total of 46.5, which is 7.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Patriots Players to Watch

  • Mac Jones leads New England with 1,012 yards (253.0 ypg) on 112-of-160 passing with four touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He also has 27 rushing yards on seven carries.
  • Damien Harris has racked up 172 yards on 49 carries while finding the end zone one time.
  • Jakobi Meyers has hauled in 27 receptions for 246 yards (61.5 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. .
  • Kendrick Bourne has put up a 181-yard season so far with one touchdown, reeling in 14 passes on 19 targets.
  • Nelson Agholor has a total of 165 receiving yards so far this year, hauling in 13 throws and scoring one touchdown.
  • Matthew Judon has 4.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 6.0 TFL and 16 tackles.
  • Kyle Dugger is the team’s tackle leader this year. He’s racked up 21 tackles and 4.0 TFL.
  • J.C. Jackson has a team-leading two interceptions to go along with 17 tackles and four passes defended.

Texans Players to Watch

  • Davis Mills has compiled 357 yards on 56.7% passing while collecting two touchdown passes with five interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Mark Ingram II, has carried the ball 52 times for 171 yards (42.8 per game) with one touchdown.
  • David Johnson has eight receptions for 67 yards (16.8 per game) and one touchdown so far while also carrying the ball 16 times for 67 yards.
  • Brandin Cooks paces his team with 369 receiving yards on 28 receptions with one touchdown.
  • Pharaoh Brown has put together a 73-yard season so far. He’s caught five passes on eight targets.
  • Whitney Mercilus has 3.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 4.0 TFL and nine tackles.
  • Christian Kirksey, Houston’s leading tackler, has 29 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one interception this year.
  • Justin Reid leads the team with two interceptions, while also recording 14 tackles and two passes defended.

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